Where, when and who: Geographic, temporal and demographic patterns in cyclist road traffic casualties in West Yorkshire

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Where, when and who: Geographic, temporal and demographic patterns in cyclist road traffic casualties in West Yorkshire 1 st International Conference of Transport and Health, London, 7 th July 2015 Robin Lovelace University of Leeds [email protected]

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A plug  Demonstration of the National Propensity to Cycle Tool (NPCT)  Wednesday, 4pm, 16:00 - 17:30 - Bring a laptop!

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Structure  Main findings  Policy impact  Next steps This presentation is based on Lovelace, R., Roberts, H., & Kellar, I. (2015). Who, where, when: the demographic and geographic distribution of bicycle crashes in West Yorkshire. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour.

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Context

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The case study area

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Bicycle crashes: an urban phenomonon?

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Cycle risk is focussed in Leeds?

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Estimating risk

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Other patterns in the data  Clear seasonality  Upward trend

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Shock finding!

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II Policy Impact

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Debate on BBC Leeds  Initial questions/premise to be challenged  Heckles  Supportive voices  Difficult to keep focus on evidence  For sound, see here:  https://audioboom.com/DrIanKellar

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Lots of hot air on social media  See, for example, https://twitter.com/robinlovelace/sta tus/604408777312460800  But little evidence of any policy change…

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 Linking road network with perceptions  Psychological experiments  Analysis of entirety of UK  Links with Near Miss Project  Work on relative risk groups (MAMILS)  Route-allocated risk III Next steps

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Conclusions Urgent need for crowd-sourced data on dangerous places Research on risk can be risky Best way to promote cycling: make it an everyday activity!

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Identifying best practice  Now this is more like it, right? https://youtu.be/n884OXqG1Ro?t=20 m36s

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References/resources Lovelace, R., Roberts, H., & Kellar, I. (2015). Who, where, when: the demographic and geographic distribution of bicycle crashes in West Yorkshire. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour. Retrieved from http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/83930/ Accident data http://data.gov.uk/dataset/road-accidents-safety-data 5 accident hotspots map: http://rpubs.com/RobinLovelace/83969 http://www.crashmap.co.uk/