Run in periodと決定木と生存時間解析（MERC勉強会）

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$0/4035EJBHSBNPG$0.1"445SJBM 5

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3VOJO 6 ద֨ج४Λ   ຬͨ͢ *$ ϥϯμϜ   ׂ෇ ؍࡯ظؒ (PPEBEIFSFODF #BEBEIFSFODFTJEFF f f FDU #JBT

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1PQVMBUJPOPGTVCTUVEZ 9

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3FTVMUT 11 ܾఆ໦ ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS

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3FTVMUT 12

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3FTVMUT 13 ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS

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ܾఆ໦ %FDJTJPOUSFF

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ܾఆ໦ͷಛ௃ 15 w ໨తม਺Λ࣭తσʔλͱ͢Δ෼ྨ໰୊ w ϩδεςΟοΫճؼϞσϧͱҟͳΓɼ   ʮ୯७ͳنଇʯʹجͮ͘ํ๏Ͱ͋ΔͨΊɼ݁Ռͷ௚ײతͳཧղ΍ղऍ͕༰қ w ໨తม਺ͷ༧ଌΑΓ΋ɼϦεΫͷ૚ผԽʹয఺Λ౰ͯΔɽ w ϦεΫͷҟͳΔ෦෼ूஂΛൃݟ͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖Δ w ෼ྨ໦ɼճؼ໦ͱ΋ݺ͹ΕΔ ܾఆ໦ͷઆ໌͸ɼ   ʰྛݡҰɼԼฏӳणʢʣɼ3ͰֶͿ౷ܭతσʔλղੳɼߨஊࣾɽʱ   Λࢀߟʹͨ͠

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ࣝผม਺ʢ*OEJDBUPSʣ 16 ม਺Yͷ஋͸࣮਺VΑΓখ͍͞ نଇ I{x < u} 5SVF 'BMTF ࣝผม਺ʢ*OEJDBUPSʣ ܾఆ໦ نଇΛෳ਺૊Έ߹Θͤͯ   ඪຊΛϦεΫͷҟͳΔूஂʹ෼ׂ͢Δ

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ҟ࣭ੑ 17 ϦεΫࠩ ѱੑͷ   ϦεΫ ϦεΫࠩ ѱੑͷ   ϦεΫ Vͷํ͕ϦεΫΛ   ͸͖ͬΓ෼͚͍ͯΔ Vͷํ͕ɼ   ΑΓҟ࣭Ͱ͋Δ

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ܾఆ໦ͷ਺ཧ 18 1%'ϝϞΛࢀর

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3FTVMUT 19 ܾఆ໦ ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS

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ੜଘ࣌ؒղੳΛݟਾ͑ͨ   Πϕϯτͷൃੜͷࢦඪ

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Πϕϯτͷൃੜͷࢦඪ 21 ൃੜׂ߹ ൃੜ཰ ੜଘׂ߹ ੜଘ֬཰ ྦྷੵൃੜ཰ *ODJEFODFSBUF *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPO 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO 4VSWJWBMSBUF $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF ܯ࡯΋ͨ͘͞Μ͍Δ

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0QFO f i YFE DMPTFEDPIPSU 22 $PIPSU 0QFODPIPSU $PIPSU $MPTFEDPIPSU $PIPSU 'JYFEDPIPSU ։์ தؒ ด࠯ ର৅   ࣬ױ   ൃ঱ ର৅   ࣬ױ   ൃ঱ $FOTPSJOH -PTTUPGPMMPXVQ *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPOɿº *ODJEFODFSBUFɿ˓ $FOTPSJOH͕   গͳ͚Ε͹ൃੜׂ߹΋ଥ౰ *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPOɿ˚ *ODJEFODFSBUFɿ˓ *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPOɿ˓ *ODJEFODFSBUFɿ˓

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Πϕϯτͷൃੜͷࢦඪͷ·ͱΊʢӳޠϕʔεʣ 23 *ODJEFODFSBUF *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPO 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO 4VSWJWBMSBUF $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE ୯Ґ͕ͳ͍ ୯Ґʹ࣌ؒΛؚΉ 1PSUB .JRVFM FE"EJDUJPOBSZPGFQJEFNJPMPHZ0YGPSEVOJWFSTJUZQSFTT $MPTFEDPIPSU 'JYFEDPIPSU 0QFODPIPSU $FOTPSJOHͳ͚Ε͹ $FOTPSJOHΛؚΊͯɼ$VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODFΛܭࢉ͢Δํ๏

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 24 ඃݧऀࣝผίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ඃݧऀࣝผίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ฒͼସ͑

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 25 ඃݧऀࣝผίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFSBUSJTL ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ೔໨ʹ/P͸ࢮ๢ˠ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ͸ɼਓ͕ࢮ๢ͷϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͨ /VNCFSBUSJTLɿΠϕϯτͷϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯΔਓ਺

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 26 ೚ҙͷ࣌ؒ·ͰʹΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ਓͷ਺Λ਺͑Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ˠ ੜଘ਺ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·ͰਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ଧͪ੾Γ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 27 ೚ҙͷ࣌ؒ·ͰʹΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ਓͷ਺Λ਺͑Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ˠ ੜଘ਺ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·ͰਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ଧͪ੾Γ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ ࢮ๢ ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ   ೔ʹ ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 28 ࣌఺͝ͱͷੜଘׂ߹ʢ৚݅෇͖֬཰ʣΛܭࢉ͢Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 29 ࣌఺͝ͱͷੜଘׂ߹ʢ৚݅෇͖֬཰ʣΛܭࢉ͢Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 30 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBMΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM 4VSWJWBMSBUF 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO4VSWJWBMGVODUJPO ೔·Ͱ ࢮ๢ º ࢮ๢ ºº ଧͪ੾Γ ººº ࢮ๢ ººº º ࢮ๢ ººº º º ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 31 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBMΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM 4VSWJWBMSBUF 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO4VSWJWBMGVODUJPO ೔·Ͱ ࢮ๢ º ࢮ๢ ºº ଧͪ੾Γ ººº ࢮ๢ ºººº ࢮ๢ ººººº ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 32 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODFΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWF TVSWJWBM $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM ೔·Ͱ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS

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,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE 33 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODFΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ   ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWF TVSWJWBM $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM ೔·Ͱ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ଧͪ੾Γ ࢮ๢ ࢮ๢ ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS

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3FTVMUT 34 ܾఆ໦ ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS

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3FTVMUT 35

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3FTVMUT 36 ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS ,BQMBO.FJFS   FTUJNBUPS

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ࢀߟจݙ 37 w ྛݡҰɼԼฏӳणʢʣɼ3ͰֶͿ౷ܭతσʔλղੳɼߨஊࣾɽ w ໦ݪਖ਼തɼ໦ݪխࢠʢʣɼΞυόϯετ෼ੳӸֶͷਤදͰಡΈղ ͘Ӹֶతਪ࿦ͷ࿦ཧͱ਺஋ɼϝσΟΧϧɾαΠΤϯεɾΠϯλʔφγϣφϧɽ w )PTNFS %8 -FNFTIPX 4 .BZ 4 ੜଘ࣌ؒղੳೖ໳ ݪ ॻ ౦ژେֶग़൛ɽ