1. This will never work.
2. Why isn’t it dead yet?
3. Oh, this is interesting…
4.
5.
6.
Getting into Bitcoin
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No content
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Source: Unchained Capital (2017)
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Source: BlockTower, Ari Paul (May 2018)
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The Rabbit Hole
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… has many entries
The Rabbit Hole
…
…
…
…
…
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The Rabbit Hole
… is a journey
2
4
3
1
…
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The Rabbit Hole
“All roads lead to Bitcoin.”
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Part Two
Bitcoin’s Journey
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0 1
Stage n: Bitcoin exists.
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0 1¢
Stage n: Bitcoin exists.
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0 1¢
Stage N: bitcoin has value.
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NgU Technology
N > 0
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Source: Saifedean Ammous (2018)
1
2
3
4
5
Demand for
store of value
Price rises
Mining becomes
more profitable
More processing power
goes to mining
Network becomes
more secure
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–Satoshi Nakamoto
“It might make sense just to get some in case it catches on. If
enough people think the same way, that becomes a self fulfilling
prophecy.”
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No content
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1 2
3
4
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1 2
3
4
1. Proof of Concept
2. Payments
3. E-Gold
4. Financial Asset
5. ?
Source: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Cross Asset Model by Plan B (2020)
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Source: Visions of Bitcoin by Hasu and Nic Carter (2018)
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Source: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Cross Asset Model by Plan B (2020)
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Source: Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Cross Asset Model by Plan B (2020)
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Source: Satoshi Rides the Waves of Change by hodl.rocks
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Source: HODL Waves by Unchained Capital (2018)
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Source: HODL Waves by Unchained Capital (2020)
HODL of 2018
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Source: Don't Buy Bitcoin. It's Going To Crash by Alex Millar (2015)
6¢ → 36¢ → 58¢ → $29 →
$13 → $213 → $130 → $1.100 →
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Bitcoin = Cyclical
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No content
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1
2
3
4
5
Number Go Up
Mining = Profit
Trust & usage
go up
Security & Price
Security go up # of miners go up
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1
2
3
4
5
Number Go Up
Media Hype
New Wave of
People
Some “get it”
and become
bitcoiners
More development,
more education,
more HODL.
Price & Adoption
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1
2
3
4
5
Improvement
proposed
Improvement
discussed
PR opened
PR merged
New version released
Development