Propensity to Cycle Tool - CTC-Cyclenation Conference

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The propensity to cycle tool (PCT) Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Cyclenation-CTC Conference Created with open source software Slides: speakerdeck.com/robinlovelace Source: http://www.cyclingmegacities.com/2015/08/10/day-3-disconnected-cycle-ways/

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1: Context http://homepag e.ntlworld.com/ pete.meg/wcc/f acility-of-the- month/January 2015.htm

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Isolated, hemmed-in routes

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Space re-allocation

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Knowledge -> power

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The Coventry Cycling Network?

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Transport planning tools of the trade: pricey and inaccessible http://www.oasys-software.com/products/engineering/massmotion.html

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Empower yourself with the open source revolution ● New free software coming on-line all the time. Sometimes the best. New 'plugin' for free GIS system QGIS: Aequilibrae http://www.aequilibrae.com/

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Source: http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=1184 Cycling in the wider context

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Exploring the wider benefits: ● “Cycling has saved me” ● “You feel fresh and alert at work” ● “I've saved a packet since selling the car” ● “My bicycle has given me independence”

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Collaboration Credit: flickr CC license

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A free planning tool: CycleStreets.net http://www.cyclestreets.net/journey/44700192/

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A caveat about open source ● We want less stuff like this… ● ● ● And more like this!

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2: The Propensity to Cycle Tool (PCT) Credit: Robin Lovelace

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What does it do? ● Visualises current cycling rate ● Interactive visualisation of cycling 'desire lines' ● Illustrates scenarios of the future... ● At high-geographical resolution ● Including route-allocated potential

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Policy context ● Department for Transport funded ● Phase 1 – Prototype: Feb – July '15 ● Phase 2 – Nationwide deployment: 2016 – 2017 – Version 1 – aggregate level model: Summer 2016 – Version 1.5 – aggregate level model++: winter 2016 – Version 2 – 'microsimulation version': early 2017

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Technological context http://blog.rstudio.org/2015/06/24/leaflet-interactive-web-maps-with-r/

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It's all open source – 'fork my code!' https://github.com/npct

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How the model works Source: NPCT model Output (Leeds) See http://arxiv.org/abs/1509.04425

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Tool Features ● Scenario selection ● Cycle route information to show ● Top n lines ● Top n% of network segments ● Freeze scope ● Satellite view

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3: Live demo!

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Next steps ● Deploy the NPCT nationwide ● Add education layer ● Tweaks to the model ● Micro-level model ● Include 'amplifier' effects ● Training – allow others to modify

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Thanks for listening! Credit: Robin Lovelace Email. r.lovelace@leeds Twitter: @robinlovelace GitHub: robinlovelace

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Key references ● Goodwin, P. (2013). Get Britain cycling: report from the inquiry. London. Retrieved from http://allpartycycling.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/g et-britain-cycling_goodwin-report.pdf ● Kay, D., Reynolds, J., Rodrigues, S., Lee, A., Anderson, B., Gibbs, R., … Gill, T. (2011). Fairness in a car dependent society. Sustainable Development Commission: http://www.sd- commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=1184 ● Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., Woodcock, J. (2015). The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. arXiv:1509.04425 [cs]. ● Melia, S. (2015). Urban Transport Without the Hot Air. Cambridge: UIT.

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The Propensity to Cycle Academic Team ● James Woodcock ● Rachel Aldred ● Anna Goodman ● Robin Lovelace