Senior Associate Scientist AKADEMIYA2063 TRACKING KEY CAADP INDICATORS AND IMPLEMENTATION PROCESSES Wondwosen Tefera

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Tracking Key CAADP Indicators and Implementation Processes Wondwosen Tefera, Paul Maina Guthiga, Julia Collins, and Tsitsi Makombe

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Outline • Introduction and background • Progress in CAADP Indicators • Conclusions and Recommendations

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Introduction and background

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Introduction and background • The ATOR serves as the official CAADP M&E report

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Introduction and background • The ATOR serves as the official CAADP M&E report • A chapter is dedicated in the ATOR: tracking progress on CAADP core indicators,

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Introduction and background • The ATOR serves as the official CAADP M&E report • A chapter is dedicated in the ATOR: tracking progress on CAADP core indicators. • Since 2015, ReSAKSS tracks and reports progress made in CAADP using the CAADP RF (2015-2025)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Introduction and background • The ATOR serves as the official CAADP M&E report • A chapter is dedicated in the ATOR: tracking progress on CAADP core indicators. • Since 2015, ReSAKSS tracks and reports progress made in CAADP using the CAADP RF (2015-2025) • The CAADP RF combines a logical flow of three levels of results.

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Introduction and background • The ATOR serves as the official CAADP M&E report • A chapter is dedicated in the ATOR: tracking progress on CAADP core indicators • Since 2015, ReSAKSS tracks and reports progress made in CAADP using the CAADP RF (2015-2025) • The CAADP RF combines a logical flow of three levels of results • 27 of the 38 CAADP RF indicators are reported in the ATOR and the ReSAKSS website [considerable overlap with the BR indicators] • Some indicators and subgroups are discussed

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators GDP percapita • Uneven growth observed • Strongest growth was seen during early CAADP period • GDP per capita growth slowed since 2008 Level I Indicators GDP percapita growth (%)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Undernourishment • Increasing undernourishment during the Malabo period. • Major contributing factors: climate shocks, conflicts, and reduced commodity prices. Level I Indicators Prevalence of undernourishment (%)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Cereal import dependency • For Africa, it remained steady during the Malabo period (at 30%) • Dependency is highest in north Africa and lowest in east Africa. • High dependency ratio can reflect high vulnerability to global market shocks. Level I Indicators Cereal Import Dependency Ratio(%)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Agricultural Production and Productivity • Agriculture value added almost doubled during the CAADP period Level II Indicators Agriculture value added (constant 2015 US$, billion)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Agricultural Production and Productivity • Agriculture value added almost doubled during the CAADP period • The 6% CAADP target is not met Level II Indicators Agriculture value added (annual average growth, %)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Agricultural Production and Productivity • Agriculture value added almost doubled during the CAADP period • The 6% CAADP target is not met • Few countries were able to meet the 6% target Level II Indicators Agriculture value added (annual average growth, %)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Intra-African agricultural trade • Grew < 50% in the Malabo period • Remained less than 20% of the total Ag import in the continent Level II Indicators Agriculture value added (annual average growth, %)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Intra-African agricultural trade • Grew < 50% in the Malabo period • Remained less than 20% of the total Ag import in the continent • Southern Africa dominates intra-African agricultural trade Level II Indicators Intra-African agricultural export (US$, Billion)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Gov’t expenditure on agriculture (GAE) • GAE grew at a slower rate Level III Indicators Government expenditure on agriculture (annual % change)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Gov’t expenditure on agriculture (GAE) • GAE grew at a slower rate • GAE share in total government expenditure remained below the 10 percent target for Africa and subregions. Level III Indicators Share of GAE in total government expenditure (%) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Africa Central Eastern Northern Southern Western 2003-2008 2008-2014 2014-2023

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Gov’t expenditure on agriculture (GAE) • GAE grew at a slower rate • GAE share in total government expenditure remained below the 10 percent target for Africa and subregions. • Few countries meet the 10% target Level III Indicators Share of GAE in total government expenditure (%)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Progress in CAADP Indicators Gov’t expenditure on agriculture (GAE) • GAE relative to the size of the agriculture sector remained small for Africa and the subgroups • GAE is small compared to the wealth created by the agriculture sector. Level III Indicators Share of GAE in Ag. value added(%)

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Conclusion and Recommendation

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR Conclusion and recommendation • Africa has made major progress in several areas in the last two decades • Progress on many of the indicators has either slowed or reversed in recent years. • Africa remained below the CAADP spending and ag. growth targets • There is a needs to ✓improve agricultural production and productivity ✓Boost intra-African ag. Trade ✓Efficient allocation of GAE

#2024ReSAKSS #2024ATOR • Displays the results in a variety of formats (maps and charts) • Allows to customize indicators and countries/subgroups • ReSAKSS website: www.resakss.org

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