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The Keys to the White House 20 24

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2020: Who is Allan Lichtman? (7:13) “[G]overning, not campaigning, counts in electing the American president…. Debates, advertising, TV appearances, news coverage, and campaign strategies … count for virtually nothing on Election Day.”

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GROUND RULES If 8 or more keys are True, then the incumbent party candidate wins. If 6 or more keys are False, then the challenger party candidate wins.

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Key #1 MIDTERM GAINS (T/F)

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Key #2 NO PRIMARY CONTEST (T/F)

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Key #3 INCUMBENT SEEKING RE- ELECTION (T/F)

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Key #4 NO THIRD PARTY (T/F)

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Key #5 STRONG SHORT-TERM ECONOMY (T/F)

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Key #6 STRONG LONG-TERM ECONOMY (T/F)

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Key #7 MAJOR POLICY CHANGE (T/F)

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Key #8 NO SOCIAL UNREST (T/F)

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Key #9 NO SCANDAL (T/F)

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Key #10 NO FOREIGN POLICY/ MILITARY FAILURE (T/F)

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Key #11 MAJOR FOREIGN POLICY/ MILITARY SUCCESS (T/F)

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Key #12 CHARISMATIC INCUMBENT (T/F)

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Key #13 UNCHARISMATIC CHALLENGER (T/F)

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If 8 or more keys are True, then the incumbent party candidate wins. (Kamala Harris)

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If 6 or more keys are False, then the challenger party candidate wins. (Donald Trump)

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13 KEYS TRACKER ALLAN LICHTMAN

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13 KEYS TRACKER ALLAN LICHTMAN

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13 KEYS TRACKER ALLAN LICHTMAN

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9/5/2024 PREDICTION 13 KEYS TRACKER

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The Keys to the White House 20 24

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