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FUTUR CATCHING UP WITH THE

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SHINE | FF NORR MILJÖLAB I | 26.11.08 FUTUR CATCHING UP WITH THE

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JOHN MANOOCHEHRI | RESOURCE VISION SHINE | FF NORR MILJÖLAB I | 26.11.08 FUTUR CATCHING UP WITH THE

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PAST FUTURES

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FUTURE PERFECT

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SALVATION 15,000 BCE - 1500 CE

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SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT 500 BCE

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DARK AGES 500 BCE - 1500 CE

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DARK AGES SALVATION 500 BCE - 1500 CE

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GLOBAL TRAVEL 1733

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ENERGY & INDUSTRY 1851

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PERSONAL CONSUMPTION 1958

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EVERYTHING 1969

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GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT 1970s

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FUTURE IMPERFECT

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SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT ? 1854

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NATURE ? 1872

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RESOURCES ? 1904

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POLLUTION ? ENERGY ? 1952

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POLLUTION ? INDUSTRY ? 1968

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Limits to Growth Image

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EVERYTHING ? 1972 Limits to Growth Image

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COMPLEXITY ? 1986

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CLIMATE ? 1992

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1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s NATURE ? INFRASTRUCTURE ? GLOBAL TRAVEL ? GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT ?

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PERSONAL CONSUMPTION ? 2008

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ENERGY

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PRESENT FUTURES

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WHAT

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Comfort | Survival RESOURCES

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Comfort | Survival Ethics NATURE RESOURCES

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Species | Ecosystems | Landscapes NATURE

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Air | Land | Water | Noise | Light | EM POLLUTION

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Climate | Water | Nutrients SYSTEMS

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LIVING PLANET REP Flooded grasslands and savannahs Montane grasslands and shrublands Tundra Mediterranean forests, woodlands, and scrub Deserts and xeric shrublands Mangroves Water bodies Rock and ice Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests Tropical and subtropical coniferous forests Temperate broadleaf and mixed forests Temperate coniferous forests Boreal forests/taiga Tropical and subtropical grasslands, savannahs, and shrublands Temperate grasslands, savannahs, and shrublands Map 1: TERRESTRIAL BIOGEOGRAPHIC REALMS AND BIOMES Nearctic Palaearctic Oceanic Oce Neotropical Afrotropical Indomalayan Australasian Antarctic

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LIVING PLANET REP Flooded grasslands and savannahs Montane grasslands and shrublands Tundra Mediterranean forests, woodlands, and scrub Deserts and xeric shrublands Mangroves Water bodies Rock and ice Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests Tropical and subtropical coniferous forests Temperate broadleaf and mixed forests Temperate coniferous forests Boreal forests/taiga Tropical and subtropical grasslands, savannahs, and shrublands Temperate grasslands, savannahs, and shrublands Map 1: TERRESTRIAL BIOGEOGRAPHIC REALMS AND BIOMES Nearctic Palaearctic Oceanic Oce Neotropical Afrotropical Indomalayan Australasian Antarctic Minerals | Biota | Water | Fuels RESOURCES

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Eco-Footprint BIOCAPACITY

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Too many people Too many old, young War POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS GEOPOLITICS POVERTY No future

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Comfort | Survival Ethics NATURE RESOURCES SOCIETY Civilisation

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WHY

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Transmission Loss • Wastage

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Piping • Heating • Processing Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Piping • Heating • Processing Travel • Waste Heat Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Piping • Heating • Processing Travel • Waste Heat Big • Metal-Concrete-Glass • Waste Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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FOSSIL ENERGY FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Piping • Heating • Processing Travel • Waste Heat Big • Metal-Concrete-Glass • Waste Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Piping • Heating • Processing Travel • Waste Heat Big • Metal-Concrete-Glass • Waste Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY FOOD LEISURE TRANSP• ENERGY WATER CITIES INFRASTR• PRODUCTS Transport • Waste • Inputs Travel • Having Stuff Private • Pointless Transmission Loss • Wastage Piping • Heating • Processing Travel • Waste Heat Big • Metal-Concrete-Glass • Waste Wasteful • Unused • Cheap Crap

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CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL LOCAL > GLOBAL SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL LOCAL > GLOBAL SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE CYCLICAL > LINEAR

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL LOCAL > GLOBAL SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE FUNCTIONAL > DISPLAY CYCLICAL > LINEAR

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL LOCAL > GLOBAL SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE ACCESSIBLE > DRIVE-TO FUNCTIONAL > DISPLAY CYCLICAL > LINEAR

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL LOCAL > GLOBAL WALK > DRIVE SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE ACCESSIBLE > DRIVE-TO FUNCTIONAL > DISPLAY CYCLICAL > LINEAR

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SOLAR ENERGY CONSUMER SOCIETY BAD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY OIL COAL LOCAL > GLOBAL WALK > DRIVE SOLAR-BIOMASS > FOSSIL HUMAN-ANIMAL > ENGINE ACCESSIBLE > DRIVE-TO FUNCTIONAL > DISPLAY CYCLICAL > LINEAR PROTEIN-FIBRE > SUGAR-CARB

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FUTURE FUTURES

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Sustainable Supply TECHNO-GREEN

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Sustainable Supply TECHNO-GREEN MANAGEMENT SUBSTITUTES POLLUTION CONTROL

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Resource Efficient Production TECHNO-SMART

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Resource Efficient Production TECHNO-SMART MATERIALS PROCESSES PRODUCTS

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Smart Cities | Smart Lifestyles DESIGN-SMART

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Smart Cities | Smart Lifestyles DESIGN-SMART CHP CARSHARING SERVICES

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Upshifting LIVE-GREEN

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Upshifting LIVE-GREEN QUALITY COMMUNITY FAMILY SELF

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UP CATCHING

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WHO RUNS THE WORLD

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ENERGY

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ENERGY SOCIAL VISION

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ENERGY

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ENERGY SOCIAL VISION

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ENERGY SOCIAL VISION DESIGN

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FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY

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GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY TECHNO-GREEN TECHNO-SMART DESIGN-SMART LIVE-GREEN

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN GLOBAL > LOCAL FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN GLOBAL > LOCAL FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER LINEAR > CYCLICAL

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN GLOBAL > LOCAL FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER DISPLAY > ‘FUNCTIONAL’ LINEAR > CYCLICAL

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN GLOBAL > LOCAL FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER DRIVE-TO > ACCESSIBLE DISPLAY > ‘FUNCTIONAL’ LINEAR > CYCLICAL

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN GLOBAL > LOCAL DRIVE > WALK-CYCLE FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER DRIVE-TO > ACCESSIBLE DISPLAY > ‘FUNCTIONAL’ LINEAR > CYCLICAL

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CULTIVATION SOCIETY GOOD DESIGN FOSSIL ENERGY SOLAR ENERGY SMART GREEN GLOBAL > LOCAL DRIVE > WALK-CYCLE FOSSIL > SOLAR-BIOMASS ENGINE > COMPUTER DRIVE-TO > ACCESSIBLE DISPLAY > ‘FUNCTIONAL’ LINEAR > CYCLICAL SUGAR-CARB > PROTEIN-FIBRE

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YOU DO

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SHINE | FF NORR MILJÖLAB I | 26.11.08 [email protected] FUTUR CATCHING UP WITH THE