Slide 1

Slide 1 text

Refresh Savannah @ErikReagan Measuring Time & Effort How and How Much

Slide 2

Slide 2 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah

Slide 3

Slide 3 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah

Slide 4

Slide 4 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah

Slide 5

Slide 5 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah How Long Is the Coast of Britain? Statistical Self-Similarity and Fractional Dimension

Slide 6

Slide 6 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah “Geographical curves are so involved in their detail that their lengths are often infinite or, rather, undefinable. However, many are statistically "self- similar," meaning that each portion can be considered a reduced-scale image of the whole. In that case, the degree of complication can be described by a quantity D that has many properties of a "dimension," though it is fractional; that is, it exceeds the value unity associated with the ordinary, rectifiable, curves.”

Slide 7

Slide 7 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah

Slide 8

Slide 8 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah

Slide 9

Slide 9 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah How Long Is the Coast of Britain? Statistical Self-Similarity and Fractional Dimension

Slide 10

Slide 10 text

The Coastline Paradox

Slide 11

Slide 11 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah How do we measure?

Slide 12

Slide 12 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah How do we measure?

Slide 13

Slide 13 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah How do we estimate?

Slide 14

Slide 14 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah 1. Bottom-Up 2. Top-Down 3. Comparative 4. Parametric 5. Three-point

Slide 15

Slide 15 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah Estimating ➞ Measuring

Slide 16

Slide 16 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah Fudge Ratio

Slide 17

Slide 17 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah 1. Start guestimating things 2. Write down your guestimate 3. Do 4. Write down the actual time spent 5. Calculate your "fudge ratio"

Slide 18

Slide 18 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah Estimate and perform a task

Slide 19

Slide 19 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah 20 15hrs estimated hrs actual 1.33 fudge ratio

Slide 20

Slide 20 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah Estimate a task

Slide 21

Slide 21 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah 20 hrs estimated new hrs estimated 26.6 1.33 fudge ratio

Slide 22

Slide 22 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah How much do we estimate?

Slide 23

Slide 23 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah

Slide 24

Slide 24 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah The One-Sitting Rule

Slide 25

Slide 25 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah Compensate for Experience

Slide 26

Slide 26 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah The 40-70 Rule

Slide 27

Slide 27 text

@ErikReagan Refresh Savannah an accurate Fudge Ratio an appropriate unit of measurement the optimal estimate

Slide 28

Slide 28 text

Refresh Savannah @ErikReagan Thanks! @ErikReagan @FocusLabLLC