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iftf.org © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-XXXX Dispatches from 2030 Preparing Healthcare for the Caring, Coordination, Collaborative, and Crypto- Economies 1 Rachel Maguire, Research Director Institute for the Future For WorkforceNEXT Healthcare Summit January 9, 2018

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Institute for the Future 4 • 50 year-old non-profit focused on foresight • 30+ years of foresight for health and health care • Qualitative research focusing on human futures

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• What does the growing caring economy mean for job creation? • How will the coordination economy reshape health care work? •What collaborative care models will emerge from constantly & passively tracked data? •What are the talent implications from a healthcare blockchain and the larger crypto- economy? 6 dispatches from 2030

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7 dispatches from 2030 economies: an entire network of producers, distributors, and consumers of goods and services in a local, regional, or national community.

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Caring economy 8

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Boomers turn 45 Boomers turn 65 Boomers turn 80 Caregiving Support Ratio

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Coordination economy 12

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communication commerce action internet’s purpose

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Collaborative economy 19

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“To get 10,000 people enrolled in a medical study normally, it would take a year and 50 medical centers around the country, that’s the power of the phone.” —Alan Yeung, medical director of Stanford Cardiovascular Health 22

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Crytpo economy 26

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definitions •Cryptography: practice and study of techniques for secure communication •Blockchain: Cryptography technology underpinning virtual currencies (Bitcoin) 27

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•caring economy •coordination economy •collaborative economy •crypto-economy 33 dispatches from 2030

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1. distributed health 2. blended expertise 3. cryptographic systems and design 34 preparing for 2030

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iftf.org © 2015 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-XXXX questions, comments thank you! 35