A Tale of Two Futures - Speaker Deck

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WOLFGANG WOPPERER BEHOLZ CO-FOUNDER MINDMATTERS CO-FOUNDER BETAHAUS HAMBURG CO-CREATOR PRODUCTFIELD ( )

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A TALE OF TWO FUTURES Day One – 13.11.2015

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http://i0.wp.com/newsfirst.lk/english/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/back-to-the-future-time-circuit-board.jpg

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(FUTURE DAY)

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http://d.ibtimes.co.uk/en/full/1396036/delorean.jpg

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THIS WAS SUPPOSED TO BE THE FUTURE:

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http://assets3.thrillist.com/v1/image/1502029/size/tmg-article_main_wide_2x

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https://rookin.files.wordpress.com/2015/01/hovercar.jpg

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https://marcusomahony.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/mr_fusion_by_emmokapp.jpg

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BUT:

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http://www.innovationfiles.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/futureatlas.com_.jpg

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1981 https://startupblog.files.wordpress.com/2007/06/xerox-star.jpg http://i.computer-bild.de/imgs/5/8/2/3/0/0/0/Apple-iMac-1024x576-97ea294353f8a908.jpg 2015

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http://www.eco-mobil.at/uploads/pics/VW_Golf_Golf_VII_large.jpg 1974 2015

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1957 2015 https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/3b/All_Nippon_Airways_Boeing_787-8_Dreamliner_JA801A_OKJ.jpg https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/de/Boeing_707-138B_Qantas_Jett_Clipper_Ella_N707JT.jpg

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1855 1895 1935 1975 2015 N uclear Pow er Transistor TC P/IP W ord W ide W eb Integrated C ircuit Laser G UI Dry C ell Battery Radio Diesel Engine Vacuum Tube Television Telephone Light Bulb A ircraft Program m able C om puter Satellites G as Engine A utom obile Steel Dynam ite Sm artphone Personal C om puter Solar C ell TODAY’S TECHNOLOGIES Digital C am era M obile Phone

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WHERE WE SHOULD BE http://kk.org/mt-files/thetechnium-mt/Martino72-43.jpg

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WHERE WE ARE

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MISSED DREAMS

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http://www.technologyreview.com/sites/default/files/legacy/tfp_brookings3.png

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http://www.technologyreview.com/sites/default/files/legacy/tfp_brookings3.png MISSED WEALTH

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„THE GREAT STAGNATION“

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BUT WAIT…

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http://static6.businessinsider.com/image/51dc2bbcecad04770700001f/the-only-thing-back-to-the-future-missed-with-its-representation-of-video-chat-is-the-annoying-sounds-skype-makes-when-you-start-and-end-a-call.jpg

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http://vignette3.wikia.nocookie.net/bttf/images/c/c7/Back_to_the_Future_II.png/revision/latest?cb=20131107120316

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http://geekandsundry.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/back-to-the-future-2-4.jpg

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http://static.businessinsider.com/image/54a8d7e8ecad04ca4368d5bc/image.jpg

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http://www.highdefdigest.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/BTTF2-34-Biometric-Payments.jpg

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http://vignette3.wikia.nocookie.net/bttf/images/f/f0/Texaco_2015.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20150113042534

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http://36.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m7hwccjgud1qz82gvo1_1280.jpg

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INFORMATION!

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https://vimeo.com/95078536 DISRUPTING DOG WALKING

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uMM0lRfX6YI DISRUPTING MOBILITY

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DISRUPTING PHOTOGRAPHY http://petapixel.com/2015/04/09/this-is-what-the-history-of-camera-sales-looks-like-with-smartphones-included/ Analog

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DISRUPTING PHOTOGRAPHY http://petapixel.com/2015/04/09/this-is-what-the-history-of-camera-sales-looks-like-with-smartphones-included/ Analog Digital

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DISRUPTING PHOTOGRAPHY http://petapixel.com/2015/04/09/this-is-what-the-history-of-camera-sales-looks-like-with-smartphones-included/ Analog Digital Smartphones

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DISRUPTING PHOTOGRAPHY http://petapixel.com/2015/04/09/this-is-what-the-history-of-camera-sales-looks-like-with-smartphones-included/ Analog Digital Smartphones

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EXPONENTIAL CHANGE!

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MOORE’S LAW http://education.mrsec.wisc.edu/SlideShow/images/computer/Moores_Law.png

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KRYDER’S LAW BUTTERS’ LAW NIELSEN’S LAW HENDY’S LAW SWANSON’S LAW

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CARLSON CURVE https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Historic_cost_of_sequencing_a_human_genome.svg

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CARLSON CURVE https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Historic_cost_of_sequencing_a_human_genome.svg MOORE’S LAW

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1855 1895 1935 1975 2015 DN A Editing A utom ated DN A Sequencing Personal G enom ics N uclear Pow er Transistor TC P/IP W ord W ide W eb Integrated C ircuit Laser G UI Dry C ell Battery Radio Diesel Engine Vacuum Tube Television Telephone Light Bulb A ircraft Program m able C om puter Satellites G as Engine A utom obile Steel Dynam ite Sm artphone Personal C om puter Solar C ell Blockchain TOMORROW’S TECHNOLOGIES 3D Printing 3D Integrated C ircuit Spintronics Invisibility C loak Scanning Tunneling M icroscope C arbon N anotube Transistor Drone Digital C am era M obile Phone Deep Learning A utonom ous C ar

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(EXPONENTIAL CHANGE.)

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http://www.nasa.gov/images/content/136063main_bm4_high.jpg

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https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_Genome_sequence_when_printed_fills_a_huge_book_of_close_print.JPG

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http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html

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https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/8a/07/88/8a078831031979119efeb2159ed4f3d6.jpg

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http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html

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WHAAAT!? http://capsulejournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Minion-what-Capsule-mars-2015.jpg

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http://www.mazaaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Mission-Teamwork.jpg

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http://marketrealist.com/2015/06/going-may-tough-tech-employment-short-term/

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6260861765/

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6266375337/

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http://www.singularity.com/images/charts/ExponentialGrowthofComputing.jpg

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http://www.singularity.com/images/charts/ExponentialGrowthofComputing.jpg

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http://www.singularity.com/images/charts/ExponentialGrowthofComputing.jpg

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http://blogs-images.forbes.com/ryanmac/files/2014/10/marcandreessen-e1413816287173-1940x1090.jpeg SOFTWARE IS EATING THE WORLD.

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AND NOW?

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DON’T TRUST YOUR INTUITION.

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6261268977/

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6261268977/

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http://www.emdanforth.com/images/icebergfull.jpg PRODUCT

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http://www.emdanforth.com/images/icebergfull.jpg INFORMATION PRODUCT

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www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/5640777961/

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www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/5640777961/

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6872482431/ https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6865783267/

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https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6872482431/ https://www.flickr.com/photos/davegray/6865783267/

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http://www.mac-history.de/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/ARC8Oct68-13.jpg https://i.imgur.com/b9PeRwb.jpg

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IT’S STILL DAY ONE.

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WOLFGANGWOPPERER.COM @WOWO101 MINDMATTERS.DE HAMBURG.BETAHAUS.DE PRODUCTFIELD.COM CC-BY-SA 4.0