www.morconsulting.c
Future Cities Hackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Modelling parking bay utilisation and
proposing an adaptive pricing model
Amit, Bart, Dominic, Ian, Jackie, Mateusz
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Goal
• We model parking bay usage
• Are bays used efficiently?
• Could people park more intelligently?
• Could we price adaptively to encourage a
change in behaviour?
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
About Us
• Amit Nandi
• Bart Baddeley (littlebigdata.co.uk)
• Dominic Steinitz
(idontgetoutmuch.wordpress.com)
• Jackie Steinitz
• IanOzsvald.com (@ianozsvald)
• Mateusz Łapsa-Malawski
(chayamuni.com)
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Outline of our method
• Take 1 day of data
• Extract lat,lng pairs (>=1 per street)
• Count start and end usage events
• Model change by hour
• Note over-usage (council gets free cash!)
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
“Parking start” events on 1 day
• Note 9am, 1pm, lunch lull
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Model of arrivals and expiries
• 9am peak, lunch, evening, overcapacity
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Fines by day
• Monday-Sunday
• Penalties by hour
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Live occupancy data is coming
• Live data will increase
visibility of available
parking spaces
• Smartphone App
“ParkRight” in App
Stores
• Small data sample
available today for
analysis
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
What do we know?
• We know which bays are heavily used or
lightly used from Cashless Meters
• We know when fines get handed out (and
where if geocoding were added)
• We have a pretty good idea about uneven
resource usage
• Where do the parking bays cluster?
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Location of bays in Westminster
• Capacity/Spaces 1...36 (light to dark)
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Zoomed to Trafalgar Square
• Amit Nandi
•
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Smartphone app for parking?
• Notify users of nearby (probably)
underused spaces
• Slice by time of day, warn of the number of
fines issued nearby at this time of day
• Integrate paid local advertising with useful
Council messages in the App?
• Next diagram white == low occupancy
FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Confusing pricing for the bays!
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Proposal for adaptive pricing
• Make under-utilised parking cheaper and
easier to find
• Encourage drivers to park in less-used
streets (it relieves congestion)
• Encourage Traffic Management Agents to
target trouble areas (increases income)
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FutureCitiesHackathon 2013
(DataScienceLondon)
Thank you!
• The code is all online:
https://github.com/idontgetoutmuch/
ParkingWestminster (Apache license)
• This presentation and images are all
Apache licensed