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KICKSTArTER SUCCEss

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Our Data. We Had 87000 projects. 300,000 users. We Used 15000 projects 400,000 users (with repetitions). We Collected Twitter + Facebook Shares. Project Creator’s Facebook Friend Count.

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Cleansing. We Were Left With 12000 projects. We Chose Projects with >1 backers. Log scale. We Discarded Facebook data (extremely inconsistent)

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Hypothesis. Global reach affects the success of projects.

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Backers. Hexbin Density Plot

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Projects. Hexbin Density Plot

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Features. Backer Location Variance Presence of Video Backers Comments Images Pledges Minimum Pledge Maximum Pledge Tweets Facebook Friends Art Dance Design Fashion Film/Video Food Games Music Publishing Technology

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Backers Comments Pledges Updates

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No content

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Significant Features. Backer Location Variance 2e-16 Has video 0.000455 Backers 2e-16 Comments 2e-16 Image Count 0.000290 Maximum Pledge 2e-16 Tweet Count 3.75e-05 Design 3.60e-05 Games 3.25e-14 Technology 0.001938

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(without Backers) Comics 0.049473 Design 3.60e-05 Food 0.013668 Games 3.25e-14 Technology 0.001938 Backer Location Variance 0.001512 Comments 2e-16 Image Count 0.000524 Number of Pledges 0.017430 Maximum Pledge 2e-16 Tweet Count 9.14e-06 Significant Features.

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1504 130 78 3033 Classifiers. Random Forest 94% Accuracy

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Classifiers. 0 0 1634 3111 3052 1516 59 118 GaussianRBF 65% Accuracy Linear 96.3% Accuracy SVM

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Density plot: Hidden Radio and Bluetooth Speaker