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ࣗݾհ • V !VQVSB • TQPBOB ӡӦϝϯόͷҰਓ • ΘΜͺ͘૬࿈ଓ໊ݹࢢϕετ • ࣄۀձࣾͷσʔλΞφϦετ • ,BHHMF.BTUFS "U$PEFS ਫ 2
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1,ઓ • αοΧʔͳͲͰنఆͷڝٕ࣌ؒΛऴ͑ͯ ܾண͕͔ͳ͔ͬͨ߹ʹɺϖφϧςΟɾ ΩοΫͰউഊΛܾ͢Δํ๏ • ޓ͍ʹճͣͭࢼߦ͠ɺಘͷଟ͍νʔϜ ͕উར͢Δ 3
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1,ઓ 4
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࣮ʮઌ߈༗རʯʁ • ઌ߈ͷউ͕ • ӳࠃͷڭҭɾݚڀػؔϩϯυϯɾεΫʔϧɾΦϒɾ ΤίϊϛΫεʢ-4&ʣͷݚڀνʔϜͷใࠂʢʣ • ͔Βʹ͔͚ͯࠃ֎ͰߦͳΘΕͨओ ཁͳେձͷ1,ઓ݅Λੳͨ݁͠Ռɺ࠷ॳʹ ऽͬͨνʔϜͷˋ͕উར • 1,ͷઌ߈ɾޙ߈ΛܾΊΔτεʹউͬͨओকɺਓ ʹਓͷׂ߹Ͱઌ߈ΛબΜͰ͍ͨ IUUQXXXMTFBDVLXFCTJUFBSDIJWFOFXT"OE.FEJBOFXTBSDIJWFT1FOBMUJFTBTQY 5
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࣮ʮઌ߈༗རʯʁ ܾΊͳ͖Ό͍͚ͳ͍ 6
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"##"ํࣜ • ઌ߈ˠޙ߈ˠઌ߈ˠޙ߈ʜ Ͱͳ͘ • ઌ߈ˠޙ߈ˠޙ߈ˠઌ߈ˠઌ߈ˠޙ߈ʜ ͱ͍͏ॱ൪ͰऽΓਐΊΔ 7
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1,ઓʢ"##"ํࣜʣ 8
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͜ΕͰվળ ͞ΕΔͷʁ 9
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ֶతͳٞ • 1,ͷ௨ৗ࣌ͷޭ • 1,ͷϦʔυ͞Ε͍ͯΔ࣌ͷޭ − • ֤ΩοΧʔ͕ޭࣦഊͰ߹͚2%& • ͨͩ͠ಉͩͱαυϯσεɾɾɾ ˠߟ͑Δ͜ͱ͕ଟͯ͘ࡶ 10
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γϛϡϨʔγϣϯͰղ͘ • ֬ܭࢉͰݫີʹղ͘ͷͰͳ͘ɺ1,Λ γϛϡϨʔτ͢ΔΈͰԿࢼߦ͠ɺ ٖࣅతʹ֬ΛٻΊΔ ʢϞϯςΧϧϩɾγϛϡϨʔγϣϯʣ 11
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ݕূํ๏ ݱߦͷ1,ઓΛ࠶ݱ͢ΔγϛϡϨʔλ ͷ࡞ ऽΔॱ൪Λ"##"ํࣜʹมߋ͠ɺઌ߈ ͷউΛௐࠪ 12
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ݱߦͷ1,ઓͷ࠶ݱ • ཚΛ͍۪ʹ࣮ • ϋΠύʔύϥϝʔλ, • 1,ͷ௨ৗ࣌ͷޭ • 1,ͷϦʔυ͞Ε͍ͯΔ࣌ͷޭ − 13
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ݱߦͷ1,ઓͷ࠶ݱ TIPPU JG SBOEPNSBOEPN 5SVF 'BMTF , += 1 , += 0 JG, < 2 UIFO3456 = − FMTF3456 = • উഊ͕ܾ͢Δ·Ͱ܁Γฦ͢ • Կࢼ߹܁Γฦ͢ 14
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ΛܾΊΔ • 1,ઓͰͳ͍࣌ͷ1,ʢͭ·Γࢼ߹தͷ 1,ʣͷޭΛ࠾༻ • υΠπେձ·ͰͷϫʔϧυΧοϓ େձͰճͷ1,͕༩͑ΒΕɺಘ Ͱ͖ͨͷճɻޭɻ 15
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ΛܾΊΔ • ఆٛ͢Δͷ͕͍͠ɾɾɾ • ࠓճطʹΛఆͰݻఆͰ͖͍ͯΔͷͰ ʮઌ߈ͷউ͕ʯͱ͍͏ࣄ࣮͔Βɺ ٯࢉͰ͖ΔͷͰʁ 16
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ྫ͑ = 0.5ͷ߹ • ҎԼͷ݅Ͱສճ1,ઓΛ࣮ࢪ • 1,ͷ௨ৗ࣌ͷޭ • 1,ͷϦʔυ͞Ε͍ͯΔ࣌ͷޭ • ઌ߈ͷউͩͬͨ 17
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= 0.1͕ྑͦ͞͏ 18
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ࠓճͷઃఆ • ཚΛ͍۪ʹ࣮ • ϋΠύʔύϥϝʔλ, • 1,ͷ௨ৗ࣌ͷޭ • 1,ͷϦʔυ͞Ε͍ͯΔ࣌ͷޭ − • = 0.81, = 0.1 • ͜ͷͱ͖ઌ߈ͷউ 19
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"##"ํࣜʹมߋ • ʮΩοΫνʔϜΛຖճަʯ ˠʮճʹճ͚ͩΩοΫνʔϜΛަʯ 20
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ݕূ݁Ռ • ઌ߈ͷউʹԼ • ͷݱঢ়ΑΓɺෆެฏײ͕ݮΓͦ͏ • ʢԚ͍ʣιʔείʔυԼهϒϩάʹ • IUUQTVQVSBIBUFOBCMPHDPNFOUSZ 21
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·ͱΊ • 1,ઓͷઌߦ༗རΛ؇͢Δ"##"ํࣜ • ݱߦͷ1,ઓΛ࠶ݱ͢ΔγϛϡϨʔλ • "##"ํࣜʹมߋ͠ɺઌ߈ͷউ͕ޙ߈ ͱಉఔ·ͰԼ͢Δͱ֬ೝͨ͠ 22