Slide 1

Slide 1 text

A Language to Foster Innovation KP Frahm & Wolfgang Wopperer-Beholz March 8th | SXSW 2019

Slide 2

Slide 2 text

Klaus-Peter
 Head of Innovation Management,
 dpa Wolfgang
 Sense-maker 
 and facilitator,
 self-employed

Slide 3

Slide 3 text

So, innovation.

Slide 4

Slide 4 text

So, innovation. So, innovation. So, disruption

Slide 5

Slide 5 text

So, innovation. So, innovation. So, disruption So, disruption creative destruction

Slide 6

Slide 6 text

Average company lifespan on S&P 500 Index (in years) Year (each data point represents a rolling 7 year average of average lifespan) DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard & Poor’s Projec�ons based on current data Average company lifespan on S&P 500 Index (in years) Year (each data point represents a rolling 7 year average of average lifespan) DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard & Poor’s Projec�ons based on current data Average company lifespan on S&P 500 Index (in years) Year (each data point represents a rolling 7 year average of average lifespan) DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard & Poor’s Projec�ons based on current data Innosight Executive Brie!ng Winter 2012

Slide 7

Slide 7 text

So, innovation. So, disruption So, creative destruction

Slide 8

Slide 8 text

Data: Innosight analysis based on public S&P 500 data sources. See endnote on methodology. www.innosight.com Chart 1: Average Company Li fespan on S&P 500 Index Years, rolling 7-year average 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Innosight 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast

Slide 9

Slide 9 text

Data: Innosight analysis based on public S&P 500 data sources. See endnote on methodology. www.innosight.com Chart 1: Average Company Li fespan on S&P 500 Index Years, rolling 7-year average 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Innosight 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast

Slide 10

Slide 10 text

Data: Innosight analysis based on public S&P 500 data sources. See endnote on methodology. www.innosight.com Chart 1: Average Company Li fespan on S&P 500 Index Years, rolling 7-year average 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Innosight 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast

Slide 11

Slide 11 text

Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: 1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 12

Slide 12 text

Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: 1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 13

Slide 13 text

!

Slide 14

Slide 14 text

Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: 1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 15

Slide 15 text

Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: 1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Exhibit 3: Hypothetical Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 16

Slide 16 text

Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: 1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Exhibit 3: Hypothetical Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 17

Slide 17 text

Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: 1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 18

Slide 18 text

Exhibit 6: S&P 500 Turnover, 1990-2016 Source: Thomson Reuters; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Credit Suisse. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual Turnover S&P 500 Turnover Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”

Slide 19

Slide 19 text

Exhibit 6: S&P 500 Turnover, 1990-2016 Source: Thomson Reuters; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Credit Suisse. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual Turnover S&P 500 Turnover Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance” Exhibit 6: S&P 500 Turnover and U.S. M&A Volume, 1990-2016 Source: Thomson Reuters; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Credit Suisse. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual Turnover Volume (Trillions of 2015 U.S Dollars) U.S. M&A Volume S&P 500 Turnover

Slide 20

Slide 20 text

Will the real problem please stand up?

Slide 21

Slide 21 text

Percentage of Exits 0 % 25 % 50 % 75 % 100 % 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 VC exits via M&A via IPO M&A vs. IPOs Sources: Jay R. Ritter, University of Florida; National Venture Capital Association

Slide 22

Slide 22 text

Photo by Jesse Bowser on Unsplash Long-term Goals

Slide 23

Slide 23 text

Photo by Laura Ockel on Unsplash Different Paradigm

Slide 24

Slide 24 text

The real problem:

Slide 25

Slide 25 text

So, innovation. So, disruption So, creative destruction So, short-termism

Slide 26

Slide 26 text

Creative Destruction Accelerate Short- termism Decelerate /

Slide 27

Slide 27 text

Model 1 
 
 
 Model 2 
 
 / Model 1 Language 1 
 
 
 Model 2 Language 2 
 
 Model 1 Language 1 products
 businesses
 5- to 10-year business cycles
 Model 2 Language 2 
 
 Model 1 Language 1 products
 businesses
 5- to 10-year business cycles
 Model 2 Language 2 business models
 paradigms
 50- to 70-year long waves

Slide 28

Slide 28 text

Complexity Photo by Brannon Naito on Unsplash

Slide 29

Slide 29 text

Different interests

Slide 30

Slide 30 text

Model 3 Language 3 
 
 
 Model 4 Language 4 
 
 / Model 3 Language 3 Value for users
 Quality of design
 Focus on retention
 Model 4 Language 4 Value of customers
 Quality of forecasts
 Focus on conversion

Slide 31

Slide 31 text

Help? http://zyzixun.net/image-download/3141703.html

Slide 32

Slide 32 text

Controlled Vocabulary?

Slide 33

Slide 33 text

Photo by JC Gellidon on Unsplash Photo by Olga Guryanova on Unsplash Photo by Roman Mager on Unsplash Photo by Blake Guidry on Unsplash Photo by Cassie Matias on Unsplash

Slide 34

Slide 34 text

The limits of my language are the limits of my world. Ludwig Wittgenstein

Slide 35

Slide 35 text

Photo by Analise Benevides on Unsplash

Slide 36

Slide 36 text

Shared vocabulary Understanding Fixed vocabulary Exclusion /

Slide 37

Slide 37 text

Help? http://zyzixun.net/image-download/3141703.html

Slide 38

Slide 38 text

A shared language to talk about languages.

Slide 39

Slide 39 text

Sense-making frameworks: meta-languages to develop 
 specific models and languages.

Slide 40

Slide 40 text

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyne!n_framework http://www.storycoloredglasses.com/p/con#uence-sensemaking-framework.html https://labs.spotify.com/2014/03/27/spotify-engineering-culture-part-1/ http://donellameadows.org/systems-thinking-resources/ https://www.#ickr.com/photos/jurgenappelo/5201864328 http://wulrich.com/csh.html

Slide 41

Slide 41 text

Sense-making frameworks 
 open discussion, pull apart assumptions, and surface problems. Cynthia Kurtz

Slide 42

Slide 42 text

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/220231316_A_concept_geometry_for_conceptual_spaces Conceptual Spaces Black White Green Red Yellow Blue bitter salty sour sweet Depth Length Height

Slide 43

Slide 43 text

https://nma.vc Tools for everyday use

Slide 44

Slide 44 text

A sense-making framework for product innovation:

Slide 45

Slide 45 text

The Product Field.

Slide 46

Slide 46 text

inside outside purpose implementation Introduction Realization

Slide 47

Slide 47 text

No content

Slide 48

Slide 48 text

purpose on the inside

Slide 49

Slide 49 text

implementation on the inside

Slide 50

Slide 50 text

implementation on the outside

Slide 51

Slide 51 text

purpose on the outside

Slide 52

Slide 52 text

No content

Slide 53

Slide 53 text

The Product Field

Slide 54

Slide 54 text

Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create successful products No shared language The Product Field

Slide 55

Slide 55 text

Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create successful products No shared language The Product Field

Slide 56

Slide 56 text

Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create successful products No shared language The Product Field Startups Enterprises Busines Model Canvas Trainings Website Sense- making framework Canvas Ignoring complexity Better Products Better world Wolfgang Mark Nick Increasing complexity Digitalations Method Develop- ment Facilitation Conferences Includes all stake- holders

Slide 57

Slide 57 text

Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create successful products No shared language The Product Field Startups Enterprises Busines Model Canvas Trainings Website Sense- making framework Canvas Ignoring complexity Better Products Better world Wolfgang Mark Nick Increasing complexity Digitalations Method Develop- ment Facilitation Conferences Includes all stake- holders

Slide 58

Slide 58 text

Rinse and repeat.

Slide 59

Slide 59 text

Some examples:

Slide 60

Slide 60 text

„There seems to be a problem in the upper-left, again.“

Slide 61

Slide 61 text

No content

Slide 62

Slide 62 text

No content

Slide 63

Slide 63 text

No content

Slide 64

Slide 64 text

No content

Slide 65

Slide 65 text

„Let’s take a look at the context again.“

Slide 66

Slide 66 text

No content

Slide 67

Slide 67 text

No content

Slide 68

Slide 68 text

solution

Slide 69

Slide 69 text

problem

Slide 70

Slide 70 text

alternatives

Slide 71

Slide 71 text

No content

Slide 72

Slide 72 text

„Are we doing idea push 
 or value pull?“

Slide 73

Slide 73 text

No content

Slide 74

Slide 74 text

No content

Slide 75

Slide 75 text

No content

Slide 76

Slide 76 text

No content

Slide 77

Slide 77 text

A tool to create alignment and buy-in.

Slide 78

Slide 78 text

A tool to think and act autonomously.

Slide 79

Slide 79 text

A language to foster innovation: a meta-language, embodied in a sense-making framework for everyday use.

Slide 80

Slide 80 text

Use it with your team, with your stakeholders, on a regular basis, to think for yourself.

Slide 81

Slide 81 text

(At least not over innovation.) https://knowyourmeme.com/photos/1022354-the-hitchhikers-guide-to-the-galaxy

Slide 82

Slide 82 text

Book signing: 2 pm, SXSW Book Shop Product Thinking Meetup: 3/12, 11 am https://productfield.com @productfield @kpfrahm @wowo101