Slide 4
Slide 4 text
OXIDE
Wright’s Law?
• In 1936, Theodore Wright studied the costs of aircraft manufacturing,
finding that the cost dropped with experience
• Over time, when volume doubled, unit costs dropped by 10-15%
• This phenomenon has been observed in other technological domains
• In 2013, Jessika Trancik et al. found Wright’s Law to hold better
predictive power for transistor cost than Moore’s Law!
• Wright’s Law seems to hold, especially for older process nodes