Exploratory セミナー #60 時系列データの加工、可視化、分析手法の紹介

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EXPLORATORY ΦϯϥΠϯɾηϛφʔ #60 ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ɺՄࢹԽɺ ෼ੳख๏ͷ঺հ

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ུྺ HP(Hewlett Packard)ͰeCommerceɺςϨηʔϧεɺϑΟʔϧυηʔϧε ͳͲଟذʹΘͨΔϏδωεͷϚωδϝϯτɺϓϥϯχϯάΛܦݧɻ ࣾ಺֎Ͱ஝ੵ͞Εͨ๲େͳσʔλΛ׆༻ͯ͠ϏδωεΛ੒௕ͤ͞ΔͨΊʹ ͸σʔλαΠΤϯεʹཪଧͪ͞Εͨҙࢥܾఆ͕ॏཁͩͱ਎Λ࣋ͬͯ஌Δɻ ݱࡏ͸Ϗδωε։ൃͱͯ͠ɺExploratoryͷಋೖࢧԉɺΦϯϥΠϯηϛφʔ ΍ษڧձͷاըɾӡӦΛ௨ͯ͠ɺص্ͷۭ࿦Ͱ͸ऴΘΒͳ͍ຊ౰ͷҙຯͰ ׆༻Ͱ͖ΔσʔλαΠΤϯεͷීٴʹऔΓ૊Ήɻ 2 εϐʔΧʔ ଜཬ Ү࠸ Business Development EXPLORATORY @Ikuyamm

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Vision ͩΕ΋͕σʔλΛ΋ͱʹ ΑΓΑ͍ҙࢥܾఆ͕Ͱ͖Δ

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Mission σʔλαΠΤϯεͷຽओԽ

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σʔλαΠΤϯεɾϫʔΫϑϩʔ ఻͑Δ σʔλΞΫηε σʔλ ϥϯάϦϯά ՄࢹԽ ΞφϦςΟΫε ౷ܭ/ػցֶश ࣭໰

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ExploratoryɹϞμϯˍγϯϓϧ UI ఻͑Δ σʔλΞΫηε σʔλ ϥϯάϦϯά ՄࢹԽ ΞφϦςΟΫε ౷ܭ/ػցֶश ࣭໰

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EXPLORATORY ΦϯϥΠϯɾηϛφʔ #60 ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ɺՄࢹԽɺ ෼ੳख๏ͷ঺հ

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ΞδΣϯμ 1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet 4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά 8

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ΞδΣϯμ 1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet 4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά 9

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࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵ 2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵ 3. ूܭͱ݁߹ 10

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࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵ 2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵ 3. ूܭͱ݁߹ 11

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12 ച্σʔλ

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σʔλͷ֓ཁ • ͋ΔεʔύʔετΞͷߪങཤྺσʔλ • ֤ߦ͕Ұͭͷ੡඼ʹର͢ΔΦʔμʔ • ྻ͸ͦΕͧΕͷΦʔμʔʹؔ͢ΔҎԼͷΑ͏ͳଐੑΛද͢: • Կ͕ചΕͨͷ͔ • Ͳ͜ͰചΕͨͷ͔ • ͍ͭചΕͨͷ͔ 14

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จࣈܕ vs. ೔෇/࣌ؒ

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16 characterʢจࣈྻʣܕ

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California Texas New York Florida Oregon ࿈ଓੑͳ͠ ॱংؔ܎͸ඞͣ͠΋͋Δͱ͸ݴ͑ͳ͍ 17 characterʢจࣈྻʣܕ

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18 ೔෇σʔλΛcharacterܕͷ··νϟʔτͰՄࢹԽ͢Δͱɺσʔλͷฒ ͼ͕೔෇ॱʹͳΒͳ͍ɻ

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19 Dateʢ೔෇ʣ/ POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕ

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Dateʢ೔෇ʣ/ POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕ 20 ೔෇௨Γʹσʔλ͕ฒͿɻ

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೔෇ʹؔ͢Δ༷ʑͳσʔλͷม׵͕Մೳ 21

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characterʢจࣈྻʣܕͷ೔෇σʔλΛͲͷΑ͏ʹɺDate ʢ೔෇ʣܕ΍POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕʹม׵͢Δͷ͔ɻ 22

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• Yearʢ೥ʣ • Monthʢ݄ʣ • Dayʢ೔ʣ • Hourʢ࣌ʣ • Minuteʢ෼ʣ • Secondʢඵʣ 23 ͜Ε͚ͩ஌͍ͬͯΕ͹େৎ෉

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2017-01-01 y m d 2017-01-01 08:10:10 y m d h m s 24 ೔෇ϑΥʔϚοτ

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2017-01-01 year month day ZNE ΋ͱͷσʔλ͕೥ʢyearʣɺ݄ʢmonthʣɺ೔ʢdayʣͷॱ൪Ͱ͋Ε͹ ymdؔ਺Λ࢖ͬͯσʔλλΠϓΛcharacterܕ͔ΒDateܕ΁ม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ 25

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΋ͱͷจࣈྻͷฒͼॱͷΈ͕ॏཁɻͦΕͧΕͷؒʹ͋Δจࣈྻ͸ؔ܎ ͳ͍ɻ ymd("2015-10-01") ymd("2015/10/01") ymd("Created on 2015 October 1st") 26 ymd

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΋ͱͷσʔλ͕݄ʢmonthʣɺ೔ʢdayʣɺ೥ʢyearʣͷॱ൪Ͱ͋Ε͹ mdyؔ਺Λ࢖ͬͯσʔλλΠϓΛcharacterܕ͔ΒDateܕ΁ม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ 01-01-2017 year month day NEZ 27

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΋ͱͷσʔλʹ࣌ؒ৘ใ͕͋Ε͹ymd_hmsؔ਺Λ࢖ͬͯσʔλλΠϓΛ characterʢจࣈྻʣܕ͔ΒPOSIXct ʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕ΁ม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ 2017-01-01 09:12:00 hour ZNE@INT second minute 28

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Let’s Try

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characterܕͷྻDateܕʹม׵͍ͨ͠ɻ 30

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Dateʢ೔෇ʣ/ POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣλΠϓʹม׵͢Δɻ 31

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Dateܕʹม׵͞Εͨɻ 32

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αϚϦϏϡʔ͔Β͸DateܕͷαϚϦ৘ใΛ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ 33

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࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵ 2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵ 3. ूܭͱ݁߹ 34

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ΞϝϦΧͷҠಈ܏޲σʔλʢApple Mapʣ 35

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36 • Ξοϓϧ͕ެ։͍ͯ͠ΔϚοϓ͔Βऔಘͨ͠ɺΞϝϦΧͷెาͷ Ҡಈ܏޲σʔλɻ • 1ߦ͕1भΛද͢ɻ • ೔෇ͷྻ͕͋Γɺ஋͸֤भͷ2020೥1݄13೔ͷҠಈྔΛج४ʹ͠ ͨҠಈྔͷൺ཰Λද͢ɻ ΞϝϦΧͷҠಈ܏޲σʔλʢApple Mapʣ

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ϥΠϯνϟʔτΛ࢖ͬͯɺҠಈ܏޲ΛՄࢹԽ͍ͨ͠ɻ 37

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νϟʔτͷλΠϓʹϥΠϯΛબͼɺX࣠ʹ೔෇ΛׂΓ౰͍ͯͨɻ͔͠͠ɺ ͜ͷσʔλ͸೔͝ͱʹྻ͕͋ΔͨΊʹ࣌ܥྻͷਪҠΛՄࢹԽͰ͖ͳ͍ɻ 38

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ࠃ 2020/1/1 2020/1/2 2020/1/3 ΞϝϦΧ 2,000 1,000 1,500 ೔ຊ 4,000 2,000 2,500 ΠΪϦε 500 1,000 1,200 ϫΠυܕσʔλ σʔλ͕૿͍͑ͯ͘ͱɺԣํ޲ʢϫΠυʣʹ৳ͼΔσʔλͷܗɻ ച্ 39

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ϩϯάܕσʔλ ϫΠυܕσʔλ ࠃ ೔෇ ച্ ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/1 2,000 ೔ຊ 2020/1/1 4,000 ΠΪϦε 2020/1/1 500 ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/2 1,000 ೔ຊ 2020/1/2 2,000 ΠΪϦε 2020/1/2 1,000 ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/3 1,500 ೔ຊ 2020/1/3 2,500 ΠΪϦε 2020/1/3 1,200 ࠃ 2020/1/1 2020/1/2 2020/1/3 ΞϝϦΧ 2,000 1,000 1,500 ೔ຊ 4,000 2,000 2,500 ΠΪϦε 500 1,000 1,200 40 ϫΠυܕͷσʔλ͸ϩϯάܕʹม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ Gather

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ࠃ ೔෇ ച্ ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/1 2,000 ೔ຊ 2020/1/1 4,000 ΠΪϦε 2020/1/1 500 ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/2 1,000 ೔ຊ 2020/1/2 2,000 ΠΪϦε 2020/1/2 1,000 ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/3 1,500 ೔ຊ 2020/1/3 2,500 ΠΪϦε 2020/1/3 1,200 41 ϩϯάܕͷσʔλʹม׵͢Δ͜ͱͰɺ೔෇ͷྻΛ࢖ͬͯ࣌ܥྻͷσʔλ ΛՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ

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Let’s Try

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43 ೔͝ͱʹ͋Δ೔෇ͷྻΛෳ਺બͼɺϫΠυ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷબ୒͞Ε ͨൣғΛબ୒͢Δɻ

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ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷμΠΞϩά͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ 44

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։࢝ͷྻʹ࠷ॳͷ೔ɺ຤ඌͷྻʹ࠷ޙͷ೔ͷྻΛબ୒͢Δɻ 45

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Ωʔྻʹ͸dateɺ஋ͷྻʹ͸valueΛೖྗ࣮ͯ͠ߦ͢Δɻ 46

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ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ม׵͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ͨɻ 47

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ʮdateʯྻΛCharacterܕ͔ΒDateܕʹม׵͢Δɻ 48

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σʔλλΠϓͷม׵͔ΒDate(೔෇)/POSIXct(೔෇࣌ؒ)λΠϓʹม׵Λ બͼɺYear, Month, DayΛબ୒͢Δɻ 49

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ܭࢉΛ࡞੒ͷμΠΞϩά͕։͘ͷͰɺͦͷ··࣮ߦ͢Δɻ 50

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Dateܕʢ೔෇ʣʹม׵Ͱ͖ͨɻ 51

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52 ϩϯάܕͷσʔλʹม׵ͨ͠ΒɺνϟʔτͰՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ

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3ͭͷՃ޻ͷϙΠϯτ 1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵ 2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵ 3. ूܭͱ݁߹ 53

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2ͭͷҟͳΔσʔλ ച্σʔλʢ1ߦ1஫จʣ අ༻σʔλʢ1ߦ1िؒ౰ͨΓͷඅ༻ʣ 54

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1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹ·ͱΊͯɺ2ͭࢦඪΛಉ࣌ʹՄࢹԽ͍ͨ͠ɻ 55

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1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹ2ͭͷࢦඪΛ·ͱΊΒΕΕ͹ɺച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂඅ༻ Λಉ࣌ʹՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ 56

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೔෇ͷ୯Ґ͕ἧ͍ͬͯͳ͍ͷͰɺ1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹ·ͱΊΒΕͳ͍ɻ 1ߦ1஫จ 1ߦ1िؒ 57

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͜ͷ··2ͭͷσʔλΛ݁߹͢Δͱɺिͷ࢝·ΓҎ֎͸ܽଛ஋ʹͳͬͨΓɺಉ͡ ೔ͷ஫จ͕͋ͬͨͱ͖ɺશͯͷ஫จʹඅ༻͕௥Ճ͞Εͯ͠·͏ɻ 58

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ച্ͷσʔλΛि͝ͱʹूܭ͢Ε͹ɺඅ༻ͷςʔϒϧͱ݁߹Ͱ͖Δɻ ച্σʔλʢ1ߦ1िؒʣ අ༻σʔλʢ1ߦ1िؒʣ 59

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Let’s Try

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஫จ೔ͷྻϔομϝχϡʔ͔ΒूܭʢSummarizeʣΛબ୒͢Δɻ 61

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ि͝ͱʹूܭ͍ͨ͠ͷͰɺεέʔϧʹؙΊॲཧͷʮिʯΛબ୒͢Δɻ 62

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஋ʹച্Λબ୒͠ɺ࣮ߦ͢Δɻ 63

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ि͝ͱʹച্ΛूܭͰ͖ͨɻ 64

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ि͕݁߹ΩʔʹͳΔͷͰɺʮिʯͷྻϔομʔϝχϡʔ͔Βɺ ݁߹ʢྻΛ௥Ճ͢Δ/JoinʣΛબ୒͢Δɻ 65

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݁߹ઌͷσʔλϑϨʔϜΛબ୒͠ɺΩʔྻʹ೔෇Λબ୒͢Δɻ 66

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1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹि͝ͱͷച্ͱϚʔέςΟϯάඅ༻Λ·ͱΊΒΕͨɻ 67

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νϟʔτϏϡʔʹҠಈͯ͠ɺച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂͷඅ༻ΛՄࢹԽ͢Δɻ 68

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ച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂͷඅ༻Λಉ࣌ʹՄࢹԽ͢ΔͱɺͦΕͧΕେ͖͕͞ ҟͳΔͨΊɺ஋͕খ͍͞ํͷτϨϯυ͕֬ೝͮ͠Β͍ɻ 69

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Y࣠ϝχϡʔ͔ΒY2࣠ΛઃఆͰ͖Δɻ 70

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Y2࣠ΛׂΓ౰ͯΔʹνΣοΫΛ෇͚ͯద༻͢Δɻ 71

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Y2࣠Λઃఆͯ͠ɺ2ͭͷҟͳΔࢦඪͷτϨϯυΛൺ΂΍͘͢ͳͬͨɻ 72

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ΞδΣϯμ 1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet 4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά 73

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࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 74 1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ 2. ϑΟϧλ 3. දܭࢉ

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1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ 2. ϑΟϧλ 3. දܭࢉ 75 ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ

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࣌ܥྻσʔλ͸όʔ΍ϥΠϯνϟʔτͳͲͰՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ 76

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όʔ͸ߴ͞Λൺ΂Δ͜ͱʹద͍ͯ͠Δɻ 77

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ϥΠϯͷ৔߹ɺ্Լͷํ޲ੑΛݟΔ͜ͱʹద͍ͯ͠ΔͨΊɺτϨϯυ Λ͔ͭΈ΍͍͢ɻ 78

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DateܕͷྻΛX࣠ʹબ୒͢ΔͱࣗಈͰɺʮ೥ʯ͝ͱʹूܭͨ݁͠Ռ͕Մ ࢹԽ͞ΕΔɻ 79

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X࣠ͷεέʔϧ͔Βूܭ͢Δ೔෇ͷ୯ҐΛࢦఆͰ͖Δɻ 80

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ؙΊॲཧʹʮ݄ʯΛࢦఆ͢Δͱ݄͝ͱʹूܭ͞ΕΔɻ 81

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ؙΊॲཧʹʮिʯΛࢦఆ͢Δͱɺि͝ͱʹՄࢹԽ͞ΕΔɻ 82

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83 ച্ͷτϨϯυΛཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ

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84 Y࣠ͷϝχϡʔ͔ΒɺτϨϯυϥΠϯΛઃఆͰ͖Δɻ

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τϨϯυϥΠϯͰ͸͍͔ͭ͘ͷλΠϓΛબ୒Ͱ͖Δɻ 85

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ઢܗճؼΛબ୒͢Δͱɺ௚ઢతͳτϨϯυΛ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ 86

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LOESSΛબ୒͢Δͱɺ೔෇ͷ۠ؒΛࣗಈͰ۠੾ͬͯɺͦͷ۠ؒͰͷσʔ λͷ͹Β͖͕ͭ࠷΋খ͘͞ͳΔઢΛҾ͘ɻ 87

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LOESS͸ઢܗճؼΑΓ΋ࡉ͔͘τϨϯυΛଊ͑ΒΕΔͨΊɺྫ͑͹ɺ 2021೥ʹച্͕େ͖͘૿Ճ͍ͯ͠Δ͜ͱΛ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ 88

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ͱ͜ΖͰɺɺɺ 89

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ച্Λ೥͝ͱʹൺֱ͍ͨ͠ɻ 90

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ʮ݄ʯͷ৘ใΛநग़ͯ͠ɺ৭ʢάϧʔϓԽʣʹʮ೥ʯ Λબ୒͢Ε͹ྑ͍ɻ 91

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X࣠ͷεέʔϧ͔Βɺநग़ɺʮ݄-ϩϯάʢ1-12݄ʣʯΛબ୒͢Δɻ 92

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஫จ೔͔Βʮ݄ʯͷ৘ใ͕நग़͞ΕΔɻ 93

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৭ʢάϧʔϓԽʣʹ஫จ೔Λબ୒͢Δͱɺ஫จ೔͕೥ͰؙΊΒΕΔͷͰɺ ֤೥ͷ݄͝ͱͷച্ਪҠ͕ՄࢹԽ͞ΕΔɻ 94

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2021೥ͱ2020೥ͷσʔλʹߜΓ͍ͨɻ 95

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ຌྫΛΫϦοΫͯ͠ɺදࣔ͢ΔຌྫΛબ୒Ͱ͖Δɻ 96

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σʔλ΍νϟʔτʹϑΟϧλΛ͔͚͍ͨɻ 97

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1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ 2. ϑΟϧλ 3. දܭࢉ 98 ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ

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σʔλϥϯάϦϯά 99 σʔλϥϯάϦϯάͷεςοϓ΍νϟʔτ಺ͰϑΟϧλΛઃఆͰ͖Δɻ νϟʔτ/ΞφϦςΟΫε

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• ૬ର೔෇ • ౳͍͠/౳͘͠ͳ͍ • ͲΕ͔ʹ౳͍͠/ͲΕʹ΋౳͘͠ͳ͍ • ΑΓલ/ΑΓޙ • Ҏલ/Ҏޙ • ൣғ಺/ൣғ֎ • ܽଛ஋Ͱ͋Δ/ܽଛ஋Ͱͳ͍ 100 ೔෇σʔλͷϑΟϧλԋࢉࢠͷछྨ

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Let’s Try

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102 • νϟʔτɾϑΟϧλΛબ୒͢Δɻ • ྻʹ೔෇ྻΛબ୒͢Δɻ • ԋࢉࢠʹͲΕ͔ʹ౳͍͠ʢෳ਺ͷ஋ʣ Λબ୒͢Δɻ

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103 • ೔෇λΠϓʹ೥Λબ୒͢Δɻ • ஋΋2020, 2021ͱλΠϓ࣮͠ߦ͢Δɻ

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104 2020೥ͱ2021೥ͷσʔλʹߜΓࠐΊͨɻ

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105 2021೥7݄ͷച্͕େ͖͘མͪࠐΜͰ͍Δɻ

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106 αϚϦϏϡʔͰ֬ೝ͢Δͱɺ7݄ͷσʔλ͕·ͩἧ͍ͬͯͳ͍ɻἧ͍ͬͯ ͳ͍ʮࠓ݄ʯͷσʔλ͸ϑΟϧλͰऔΓআ͖͍ͨɻ

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107 ϑΟϧλΛ௥Ճ͢Δɻ

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108 ϑΟϧλΛ௥Ճ͠ɺԋࢉࢠʹʮ౳͘͠ͳ͍ʯΛબ୒͢Δɻ

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109 ஋ͷλΠϓΛબ୒͢Δͱɺࠓ೔Λى఺ʹͨ͠஋ͷλΠϓ͕֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ

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• ࠓ೥ • ࠓ࢛൒ظ • ࠓ݄ • ࠓि • ࠓ೔ • લظؒ • N೔લ • N೔िؒલ • Nϲ݄લ • N೥લ 110 ࠓ೔Λى఺ʹͨ͠஋ͷλΠϓ

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111 ·ͩɺἧ͍ͬͯͳ͍σʔλΛऔΓআ͘͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ͨɻ

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112 σʔλιʔε͔Β࠶ΠϯϙʔτϘλϯΛΫϦοΫͯ͠ɺ࠷৽ͷσʔλΛ Πϯϙʔτͯ͠΋ɺৗʹʮࠓ݄ʯͷσʔλ͕ϑΟϧλ͞ΕΔɻ

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1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ 2. ϑΟϧλ 3. දܭࢉ ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 113

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1. ྦྷੵ߹ܭ 2. Ҡಈฏۉ දܭࢉ 114

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೥͝ͱʹྦྷܭʢྦྷੵ߹ܭ஋ʣͷച্Λൺֱ͍ͨ͠ɻ 115 ݄͝ͱͷച্ ݄͝ͱͷച্ͷྦྷੵ߹ܭ

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஫จ೔ ച্ ྦྷੵ߹ܭ 2021-01-01 100 100 2021-02-01 200 300 2021-03-01 140 440 2021-04-01 120 560 2021-05-01 110 670 2021-06-01 110 780 ྦྷੵ߹ܭ 116

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Y࣠ϝχϡʔ͔ΒɺΫΠοΫදܭࢉɺྦྷੵ߹ܭ஋Λબ୒͢Δɻ 117

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118 ྦྷੵ߹ܭ஋ΛՄࢹԽͰ͖ͨɻ

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1. ྦྷੵ߹ܭ 2. Ҡಈฏۉ දܭࢉ 119

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̍೔͋ͨΓͷച্ͷτϨϯυΛཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ 120

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121 มಈ͕େ͖͍೔͝ͱͷച্ͷ͓͓·͔ͳτϨϯυΛཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ

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122 ҠಈฏۉΛར༻͢Δ͜ͱͰɺେ·͔ͳτϨϯυΛཧղͰ͖Δɻ

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123 Ұఆͷେ͖͞ͷ΢Οϯυ΢αΠζʢ۠ؒʣΛઃఆ͠ɺ ΢Οϯυ΢αΠζؒʹ͋ΔσʔλͷฏۉΛ֤஋Ͱܭࢉ ͨ͠΋ͷɻ ಥग़ͨ͠஋΋ฏۉΛऔΔ͜ͱͰͳΊΒ͔ʹͳΔͨΊɺ ͓͓·͔ͳτϨϯυΛ௫Ήͷʹద͍ͯ͠Δɻ Ҡಈฏۉ

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೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ 2021-01-01 100 2021-01-02 120 2021-01-03 150 2021-01-04 200 2021-01-05 300 ΢Οϯυ΢αΠζΛ3ͱͨ͠৔߹ 124 ฏۉ஋ͷҠಈܭࢉ - Ҡಈฏۉ (Moving Average)

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೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ 2021-01-01 100 2021-01-02 120 2021-01-03 150 123.33 2021-01-04 200 2021-01-05 300 ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλͷฏۉΛܭࢉ͢Δɻ ( 100 + 120 + 150 ) / 3 = 123.33 125

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೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ 2021-01-01 100 2021-01-02 120 2021-01-03 150 123.33 2021-01-04 200 156.67 2021-01-05 300 ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλͷฏۉΛܭࢉ͢Δɻ ( 120 + 150 + 200 ) / 3 = 156.67 126

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೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ 2021-01-01 100 2021-01-02 120 2021-01-03 150 123.33 2021-01-04 200 156.67 2021-01-05 300 216.67 ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλͷฏۉΛܭࢉ͢Δɻ ( 150 + 200 + 300 ) / 3 = 216.67 127

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೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ 2021-01-01 100 2021-01-02 120 2021-01-03 150 123.33 2021-01-04 200 156.67 2021-01-05 300 216.67 ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλ͕ແ͍৔߹͸ɺܭࢉ͕Ͱ͖ͳ͍ ͷͰܽଛ஋ʹͳΔɻ 128

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ച্ 100 120 150 200 300 Ҡಈฏۉ ܽଛ஋ ܽଛ஋ 123.33 156.67 216.67 ӈدͤ (Right Aligned) ച্ 100 120 150 200 300 Ҡಈฏۉ ܽଛ஋ 123.33 156.67 216.67 ܽଛ஋ தدͤ (Center Aligned) ച্ 100 120 150 200 300 Ҡಈฏۉ 123.33 156.67 216.67 ܽଛ஋ ܽଛ஋ ࠨدͤ (Left Aligned) ΢Οϯυ΢ͷ഑ஔ (Window Align) 129

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130 ೔͝ͱͷച্ΛՄࢹԽ͢Δɻ

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131 ࠓ೥ͷσʔλʹϑΠϧλ͢Δɻ

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132 Y࣠ʹച্Λબ୒͢Δɻ

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133 Y࣠ͷ஋ʹച্Λ௥Ճ͢Δɻ

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134 2ͭ໨ͷY࣠ϝχϡʔ͔ΒΫΠοΫදܭࢉɺҠಈฏۉΛબ୒͢Δɻ

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135 1೔͋ͨΓͷച্͕૿Ճ܏޲ͳ͜ͱ͕Θ͔Δɻ

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ΞδΣϯμ 1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet 4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά 136

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ະདྷͷച্Λ༧ଌͯ͠ɺϏδωεͷଧͪखͷݕ౼ʹ׆͔͍ͨ͠ɻ ࣮ଌ஋ ༧ଌ஋ 137

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Prophet • Facebookʹ͍ͨσʔλαΠΤϯςΟετ ʢSean J. Taylor & co.ʣ͕࡞ͬͨ࣌ܥྻ༧ ଌΞϧΰϦζϜͰɺΦʔϓϯιʔεͱͯ͠ ެ։͞Ε͍ͯΔɻ(https:// facebook.github.io/prophet) • ౷ܭɺ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌͷઐ໳஌͕ࣝͳͯ͘΋ ࢖͑ΔΑ͏ʹσβΠϯ͞Ε͍ͯΔɻ Sean J. Taylor @seanjtaylor 138

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• ҎԼͷཁૉͷ࿨ͱͯ͠ද͢͜ͱͷͰ͖Δ׈Β͔ͳۂઢͷ͏ͪɺաڈ σʔλʹ࠷΋ϑΟοτ͢Δ΋ͷΛ୳͢ɻͦͷۂઢΛະདྷʹԆ௕͢Δ ͜ͱʹΑͬͯ༧ଌ͢Δɻ • େہతͳτϨϯυ • पظͷقઅੑ (೥ɺिɺ೔ͳͲ) • ॕ೔ޮՌ - ΫϦεϚεɺ৽೥ɺ೥࣍ΠϕϯτɺͳͲɻ Prophet 139

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ΞφϦςΟΫεɾϏϡʔ͔Β࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ(Prophet)Λબ୒͢Δɻ 140

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೔෇ͷ৘ใͱ༧ଌΛ͍ͨ͠஋Λબ୒ͯ͠ɺ࣮ߦ͢Δɻ 141

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কདྷͷച্ͷ݅਺Λ༧ଌͰ͖Δɻ 142

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τϨϯυ λϒΛΫϦοΫ͢ΔͱτϨϯυϥΠϯͷೖͬͨνϟʔτ͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ άϦʔϯͷઢ͕τϨϯυϥΠϯ 143

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੺ͷόʔ͸ɺτϨϯυʹมԽ͕͋ͬͨ࣌఺ʢνΣϯδϙΠϯτʣΛද͢ɻ ๮ͷߴ͞͸ɺνΣϯδϙΠϯτͰͷ τϨϯυϥΠϯͷ܏͖ͷมԽྔɻ 144

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೥पظλϒΛΫϦοΫ͢Δͱ೥पظͷقઅੑͷνϟʔτ͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ 145

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ຖ೥ɺ7݄͔Β11݄ͷؒʹച্͕མͪࠐΉ܏޲͕͋Δɻ 146

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िपظͷقઅੑΛݟΔͨΊʹɺ࣌ؒ୯ҐΛ೔ʹมߋ࣮ͯ͠ߦ͠௚͢ɻ 147

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िपظλϒΛΫϦοΫ͢Δͱिपظͷقઅੑͷνϟʔτ͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ 148

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ຖि຤ʹ͔͚ͯച্͕མͪࠐΉ܏޲͕ΈͯͱΕΔɻ 149

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ม਺ॏཁ౓λϒΛΫϦοΫ͢ΔͱԿ͕༧ଌʹେ͖ͳӨڹΛ༩͍͑ͯΔͷ͔͕ݟ͑Δɻ 150

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ͱ͜ΖͰɺɺɺ 151

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ച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂͷඅ༻͸૬͍ؔͯͨ͠ɻ 152

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ച্ͱΩϟϯϖʔϯඅ༻΋૬͍ؔͯ͠ΔΑ͏ͩɻ 153

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Ͳͷඅ༻͕ച্ʹ༩͑ΔӨڹ͕Ұ൪େ͖͍͔஌Γ͍ͨɻ 154

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ProphetͰ͸ɺ֎෦༧ଌม਺Λར༻ͯ͠ɺ༧ଌͨ͠஋ͱ ͷଞͷม਺ͷ૬ؔͷڧ͞ΛൺֱͰ͖Δɻ 155

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֎෦༧ଌม਺ʹσδλϧ޿ࠂɺμΠϨΫτϝʔϧɺΩϟϯϖʔϯͷඅ༻ Λ௥Ճ࣮͠ߦ͢Δɻ 156

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ม਺ॏཁ౓λϒͰ͸ɺ೥ͷपظੑͷ΄͔֎෦༧ଌม਺ͷྻ͕༧ଌ஋ͷਫ਼౓Λ ্͛ΔͨΊʹͲͷม਺͕ͲΕ͚ͩߩݙ͍͔ͯͨ͠Λ֬ೝ͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖Δɻ 157

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ޮՌλϒͰ͸ɺ೥ͷपظੑͷ΄͔֎෦༧ଌม਺ʹબ୒ͨ͠ྻͷ༧ଌ஋΁ͷޮՌΛ ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ 158

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ΞδΣϯμ 1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet 4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά 159

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ਓͷҠಈ܏޲ͷνϟʔτ 160

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Ҡಈ܏޲ͷύλʔϯ͔ΒभΛΫϥελʔʹ෼͚ͯɺभ͝ͱͷಛ௃Λཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ 161

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࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯάʂ 162

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ΞϝϦΧͷभ͝ͱͷҠಈσʔλʢApple Mapʣ 163

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• 1ߦ͕1ͭͷभͷ1೔ͷҠಈྔΛද͢ɻ • ֤஋͸ɺ֤भͷ2020೥1݄13೔ͷҠಈྔΛج४ʹͨ͠Ҡಈྔͷൺ ཰Λද͢ɻ ΞϝϦΧͷभ͝ͱͷҠಈσʔλʢApple Mapʣ 164

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࣌ܥྻ෼ੳ͔Βɺ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯάΛબ୒͢Δɻ 165

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άϧʔϓʹɺΫϥελʔʹ෼͚͍ͨର৅Λબ୒͢Δɻ 166

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೔෇/࣌ؒɺΫϥελʔ෼͚ʹར༻͢Δ஋Λબ୒͠ɺ࣮ߦ͢Δɻ 167

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Ϋϥελʔͷ਺ΛσϑΥϧτͷ3͔Βมߋ͍ͨ͠ͱ͖͸ɺϓϩύςΟ͔Β มߋ͢Δɻ 168

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ࠓճͷσʔλ͸ى఺Ͱ͋Δ2020೥1݄13೔͔Βͷൺ཰ͳͷͰɺඪ४Խͳ ͠Ͱͦͷ··Ϋϥελʔ෼͚͢Δɻ 169 ஋Λඪ४Խ͢ΔʹFALSEΛબ୒͢Δɻ

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ҠಈྔͷมԽͷύλʔϯ͔ΒभΛ5ͭʹΫϥελʔʹ෼͚ΒΕͨɻ 170

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ΫϥελʔɾϝϯόʔͷλϒΛબ୒͢Δͱɺάϧʔϓʹઃఆͨ͠Χςΰ Ϧ͕ɺͲͷΫϥελʹଐ͍ͯ͠Δ͔ΛදܗࣜͰ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ 171

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Ϋϥελ1ͷभ͸2020೥3݄ʹҠಈྔ͕େ͖͘ݮΓɺ7݄ʢՆʣʹ͔͚ͯճ ෮͍ͯ͠Δɻ͞Βʹ2021೥ʹೖΔͱҠಈྔ͕Ұؾʹ૿Ճ͍ͯ͠Δɻ 172

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Ϋϥελ2ͷभ͸Ҡಈྔ͕΄ͱΜͲ૿͑ͣɺগͳ͍··ɻ 173

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Ϋϥελ3ͷभ͸2020೥ɺ2021೥ͱ΋ʹ7݄ʹ͔͚ͯɺಉ͡Α͏ͳਫ४ ͰɺҠಈྔ͕രൃతʹ૿͍͑ͯΔɻ 174

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Ϋϥελ4ͱ5͸ࣅͨΑ͏ͳ࣌ܥྻͷύλʔϯ͕͋ΔΑ͏ʹݟ͑Δ͕ɺΫϥελ4ͷํ ͕ى఺೔͔ΒͷҠಈྔͷ૿ݮ͕େ͖͘ɺΫϥελ5ͷ૿ݮ͸؇΍͔ɻ 175

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ΫϥελϦϯάͷ݁Ռ͸σʔλϑϨʔϜͱͯ͠อଘͯ͠ɺࣗ༝ʹՄࢹԽ͢ Δ͜ͱ΋Ͱ͖Δɻ 176

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177 ྫ͑͹ʮUS Statesʯͷ஍ਤΛ࢖ͬͯɺΫϥελʔ͝ͱʹ৭෼͚ͯ͠ɺ ஍ཧతͳτϨϯυΛՄࢹԽͯ͠Έͨɻ

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ΞδΣϯμ 1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ 2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ 3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet 4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά 178

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179 ࢀߟϦϯΫ - ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ • ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ม׵͢Δํ๏ - ϦϯΫ • ଞͷσʔλϑϨʔϜͷྻΛ݁߹͢Δํ๏ - ϦϯΫ • ՄࢹԽͷͨΊͷσʔλϥϯάϦϯά - ϦϯΫ

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• νϟʔτΪϟϥϦʔ - ϦϯΫ • ηϛφʔ #54 - ίϩφσʔλͷՄࢹԽ - ϦϯΫ • ηϛφʔ #47 ExploratoryͷϑΟϧλʔɺશһू߹ʂ - ϦϯΫ 180 ࢀߟϦϯΫ - ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ

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181 ࢀߟϦϯΫ - ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ • ηϛφʔ #25 - ProphetΛ࢖ͬͨ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ - ϦϯΫ • Prophetͷ࢖͍ํ - ϦϯΫ

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࣍ճηϛφʔ

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EXPLORATORY ΦϯϥΠϯɾηϛφʔ #61 Φʔϓϯσʔλͷ׆༻

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Exploratory presents. σʔλαΠΤϯεษڧձ ˌ20 2021೥8݄20೔ʢۚʣ12:00 PM

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187 ࣌ؒ λΠτϧ ൃදऀ 12:00 ΦʔϓχϯάɾExploratory v6.7ͷ͝঺հ Exploratory, inc ੢ా צҰ࿠ 12:25 Ϛʔέοτɾόεέοτ෼ੳΛ׆༻ͨ͠ECαΠτͷߪങ෼ੳ גࣜձࣾΤʔτΡδΣΠ ࠤ౻ ࢙ব༷ 12:50 ٳܜ 13:00 ౷ܭϞσϧΛ࢖ͬͯύʔιφϧσʔλΛޮ཰త͔ͭ҆શʹ׆༻͢Δํ๏ DSInnovationגࣜձࣾ ໺৲ ধ༷ 13:25 ະఆ ೔ຊ੒௕౤ࢿΞϥΠΞϯεגࣜձࣾ ૔෋ ༤ฏ༷ 13:50 ࣭ٙԠ౴ ΞδΣϯμ

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σʔλαΠΤϯεɾϒʔτΩϟϯϓ #22 EXPLORATORY 2021೥8݄։࠵ σʔλαΠΤϯεͷख๏Λϓϩάϥϛϯάͳ͠ʹجૅ͔Βମܥతʹֶͼɺ ͞Βʹ࣮ࡍͷۀ຿Ͱ࢖͏ͨΊͷεΩϧΛ਎ʹ͚͍͖ͭͯͨͩ·͢ɻ

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8݄ΦϯϥΠϯ։࠵ʂ ೔ఔɿ8݄17೔(Ր), 18೔(ਫ), 19೔(໦)

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• ϏδωεͰ࢖͑Δࢥߟྗͷҭ੒ σʔλαΠΤϯεͷεΩϧशಘ͚ͩͰͳ͘ɺσʔλΛ࢖ͬͨΑΓΑ͍ҙࢥܾఆΛߦ͏ͨ Ίʹඞཁͳ౷ܭతɾ֬཰తࢥߟྗ΋शಘͰ͖Δɻ • ݱ৔Ͱ࢖͑ΔεΩϧͷशಘ ڭࣨͷத͚ͩͰ௨༻͢Δཧ࿦ΑΓ΋ɺ࣮ࡍͷϏδωεͷݱ৔Ͱͷ໰୊Λղܾ͢ΔͨΊʹ ࢖͑ΔεΩϧͷशಘʹॏ৺Λ͓͍ͨτϨʔχϯάɻ • ϓϩάϥϛϯάͳ͠ RݴޠͷUIͰ͋ΔExploratoryΛ෼ੳπʔϧͱͯ͠࢖༻͢ΔͨΊɺࢥߟྗͱσʔλαΠΤϯ εͷख๏ͷशಘʹ100ˋूதͰ͖Δɻ ಛ௃

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σʔλϥϯάϦϯάɾτϨʔχϯά 9݄։࠵ʂ EXPLORATORY

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9݄ΦϯϥΠϯ։࠵ʂ ೔ఔ: 9݄9೔(໦),10೔(ۚ) ૣׂ: 7݄8೔(໦)·Ͱ

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࿈བྷઌ ϝʔϧ ikuya@exploratory.io ΢ΣϒαΠτ https://ja.exploratory.io ϒʔτΩϟϯϓɾτϨʔχϯά https://ja.exploratory.io/training-jp Twitter @ExploratoryJp

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EXPLORATORY