“Beneficial Electrification” Why diversity is apparently good for everything except energy Biden Administration policies to eliminate personal consumption of fossil fuels via renewables under the guise of mitigating catastrophic global warming January 9th 2023 Cooler Heads presentation By Mark E. Krebs: Gas Analytics and Advocacy Services & contributors: Thomas F. Tanton James C. Moore Ted A. Williams

2 November 2016: Obama Administration's plan for “deep decarbonization” Excerpt: With a clean electricity system comes opportunities to reduce fossil fuel usage in these sectors: for example, electric vehicles displace petroleum use and electric heat pumps avoid the use of natural gas and oil for space and water heating in buildings. “Deep Decarbonization” = “beneficial” electrification = “clean electricity” = renewables (primarily wind, solar & batteries).

Obama’s purpose: to meet Paris commitments • It’s back with a vengeance under Biden • No longer focused on EV’s, “space and water heating in buildings” • Scope expanded to commercial/industrial, cooking, etc., • “All of government” called to action per Executive Order 14057. • Example: CPSC implying gas cooking is dangerous combined with EERE minimum efficiency standards • Strategies also include obscene funding for “grass roots” activists per the “Inflation Reduction Act”

The IRA “all you can eat” Green New Deal buffet

But wait! There’s more! (Ron Popeil)

How much money will you get with the Inflation Reduction Act?

“Transitioning” energy efficiency to carbon efficiency grows the regulation business Running out of stuff to regulate under existing energy efficiency statutes

Select links to current events targeting natural gas direct use • Consumer Product Safety Board (CPSB) to weigh regulations on gas stoves • DOE Issues a Supplemental Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Public Meeting Pertaining to Standards for Consumer Conventional Cooking Products • Energy Department targets consumer furnaces with new efficiency proposal • Docket EERE-2017-BT-STD-0019: Energy Conservation Standards for Consumer Water Heaters • Docket EERE-2022-BT-STD-0017: Energy Conservation Standards for Miscellaneous Gas Products • Docket EERE-2010-BT-STD-0031: Clean Energy for New Federal Buildings and Major Renovations of Federal Buildings • DOE Publishes a Final Determination Not to Amend Standards for Commercial Warm Air Furnaces

States that outlaw gas bans account for 31% of US residential/commercial gas use Does not include local/municipal bans For more information: ‘Huge amount of money’ in climate law could spawn gas bans

“Packing the Bleachers:” DOE’s increasing role in “voluntary” model building code development • DOE (and its national labs) is allowed to “participate” per the Energy Policy Conservation Act (EPCA). • How DOE and national labs “participate” • Sits on committees • Fund code development • Submit code language • Underwrite the support of energy efficiency advocates • Some recent examples: • Code Changes and Public Comments to the 2022 IECC Residential Codes • Addendum aj to BSR/ASHRAE/ICC/IES/USGBC Standard 189.1-202x • Objective: • Maximize State & Local adoption of “Net Zero” building codes • What is net zero? Per the UN: Put simply, net zero means cutting greenhouse gas emissions to as close to zero as possible, with any remaining emissions re-absorbed from the atmosphere, by oceans and forests for instance.

“Clean energy” can’t serve needle peaks ≈ 30 Bcf Source: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=34412&src=email

Present grid can barely meet present needs (let alone transitioning buildings & vehicles fuels to electricity) With more planned coal plant retirements, demand will soon exceed capacity. Source: EIA HOURLY ELECTRIC GRID MONITOR

Electric capacity to substitute 150.7 BCF = 14,120 GW • Reference: • https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/ html/epa_08_02.html • 2021 data • Simplified calculations: • 150.7 bcf x 1 x10^9 x 1037 btu/cf / 11,068 / 1 x10^6= 14,119.62 GW • =14.12 trillion kWh • 14.12 / 4.12 = 3.4 times present capacity • Does not include customary 15 - 20% safety/reserve margin & system losses • Does not back out 30 bcf used for electric power from 150.7 bcf total • These 2 factors roughly cancel out • Does not include EV’s

Some recommendations/action Items: • Get House Energy & Commerce Committee to hold hearings regarding: • Honest assessment of “existential threats” from anthropogenic global warming • lessening of competition and consumer choice (etc.) from eliminating the major alternative to electricity. • Consider calling it the Social Costs of Deep Decarbonization • Challenge EPA’s and CPSC’s closed processes/biases against natural gas appliances. • Draft legislation to separate DOE’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) • What else?

For further information https://www.gtk.fi/en/research/time-to-wake-up/downloads/ Regarding the energy efficiency wars of attrition Master Resource Category Archives: Krebs, Mark https://www.masterresource.org/category/krebs-mark/ Regarding raw material limitations for transitioning away from fossil fuels Robert Bryce Power Hungry Podcast: Simon Michaux

In conclusion:

The End Any questions?