Dangerous ‘Deep Decarbonization’ (Krebs PowerPoint to Cooler Heads Coalition)

Biden Administration policies to eliminate personal consumption of fossil fuels via renewables under the guise of mitigating catastrophic global warming

January 9th 2023 Cooler Heads presentation
By
Mark E. Krebs: Gas Analytics and Advocacy Services & contributors:
Thomas F. Tanton
James C. Moore
Ted A. Williams

Transcript

1. “Beneficial
   Electrification”
   Why diversity is apparently good for everything except
   energy
   Biden Administration policies to eliminate personal consumption of fossil fuels via
   renewables under the guise of mitigating catastrophic global warming
   January 9th 2023 Cooler Heads presentation
   By
   Mark E. Krebs: Gas Analytics and Advocacy Services & contributors:
   Thomas F. Tanton
   James C. Moore
   Ted A. Williams
   

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2. 2
   November 2016: Obama Administration's plan for “deep decarbonization”
   Excerpt:
   With a clean electricity system comes
   opportunities to reduce fossil fuel usage in
   these sectors: for example, electric vehicles
   displace petroleum use and electric heat
   pumps avoid the use of natural gas and oil
   for space and water heating in buildings.
   “Deep Decarbonization” = “beneficial” electrification = “clean
   electricity” = renewables (primarily wind, solar & batteries).
   

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3. Obama’s purpose: to meet Paris
   commitments
   • It’s back with a vengeance under Biden
   • No longer focused on EV’s, “space and water heating in
   buildings”
   • Scope expanded to commercial/industrial, cooking, etc.,
   • “All of government” called to action per Executive Order 14057.
   • Example: CPSC implying gas cooking is dangerous combined with EERE
   minimum efficiency standards
   • Strategies also include obscene funding for “grass roots”
   activists per the “Inflation Reduction Act”
   

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4. The IRA “all you can eat” Green New Deal buffet
   

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5. But wait! There’s more! (Ron Popeil)
   

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6. How much money will you
   get with the Inflation
   Reduction Act?
   

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7. “Transitioning” energy efficiency to carbon efficiency
   grows the regulation business
   Running out of stuff to regulate under existing energy efficiency statutes
   

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8. Select links to current events targeting natural gas
   direct use
   • Consumer Product Safety Board (CPSB) to weigh regulations on gas stoves
   • DOE Issues a Supplemental Notice of Proposed Rulemaking and Public
   Meeting Pertaining to Standards for Consumer Conventional Cooking
   Products
   • Energy Department targets consumer furnaces with new efficiency
   proposal
   • Docket EERE-2017-BT-STD-0019: Energy Conservation Standards for
   Consumer Water Heaters
   • Docket EERE-2022-BT-STD-0017: Energy Conservation Standards for
   Miscellaneous Gas Products
   • Docket EERE-2010-BT-STD-0031: Clean Energy for New Federal Buildings
   and Major Renovations of Federal Buildings
   • DOE Publishes a Final Determination Not to Amend Standards for
   Commercial Warm Air Furnaces
   

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9. States that outlaw gas bans account for
   31% of US residential/commercial gas
   use
   Does not include local/municipal bans
   For more information: ‘Huge amount of money’ in climate law could spawn gas bans
   

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10. “Packing the Bleachers:” DOE’s
    increasing role in “voluntary” model
    building code development
    • DOE (and its national labs) is allowed to “participate” per the Energy
    Policy Conservation Act (EPCA).
    • How DOE and national labs “participate”
    • Sits on committees
    • Fund code development
    • Submit code language
    • Underwrite the support of energy efficiency advocates
    • Some recent examples:
    • Code Changes and Public Comments to the 2022 IECC Residential Codes
    • Addendum aj to BSR/ASHRAE/ICC/IES/USGBC Standard 189.1-202x
    • Objective:
    • Maximize State & Local adoption of “Net Zero” building codes
    • What is net zero?
    Per the UN: Put simply, net zero means cutting greenhouse gas emissions to as close to zero as possible, with any
    remaining emissions re-absorbed from the atmosphere, by oceans and forests for instance.
    

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11. “Clean energy” can’t serve needle
    peaks
    ≈ 30 Bcf
    Source: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=34412&src=email
    

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12. Present grid can barely meet present needs
    (let alone transitioning buildings & vehicles fuels to
    electricity)
    With more planned coal plant retirements, demand will soon exceed capacity.
    Source: EIA HOURLY ELECTRIC GRID MONITOR
    

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13. Electric capacity to substitute 150.7 BCF = 14,120
    GW
    • Reference:
    • https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/
    html/epa_08_02.html
    • 2021 data
    • Simplified calculations:
    • 150.7 bcf x 1 x10^9 x 1037 btu/cf /
    11,068 / 1 x10^6= 14,119.62 GW
    • =14.12 trillion kWh
    • 14.12 / 4.12 = 3.4 times
    present capacity
    • Does not include customary 15 - 20%
    safety/reserve margin & system losses
    • Does not back out 30 bcf used for
    electric power from 150.7 bcf total
    • These 2 factors roughly
    cancel out
    • Does not include EV’s
    

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14. Some recommendations/action
    Items:
    • Get House Energy & Commerce Committee to hold hearings regarding:
    • Honest assessment of “existential threats” from anthropogenic global warming
    • lessening of competition and consumer choice (etc.) from eliminating the major
    alternative to electricity.
    • Consider calling it the Social Costs of Deep Decarbonization
    • Challenge EPA’s and CPSC’s closed processes/biases against natural gas
    appliances.
    • Draft legislation to separate DOE’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable
    Energy (EERE)
    • What else?
    

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15. For further information
    https://www.gtk.fi/en/research/time-to-wake-up/downloads/
    Regarding the energy efficiency wars of attrition
    Master Resource Category Archives: Krebs, Mark
    https://www.masterresource.org/category/krebs-mark/
    Regarding raw material limitations for transitioning away from fossil fuels
    Robert Bryce Power Hungry Podcast: Simon Michaux
    

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16. In
    conclusion:
    

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17. The End
    Any questions?
    

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