われわれはいかにして機械学習プロジェクトのマネージメントをすべきか/builderscon tokyo 2019

by KASUYA, Daisuke

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ΘΕΘΕ͸͍͔ʹͯ͠ ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτͷ ϚωʔδϝϯτΛ͢΂͖͔ ෆ࣮֬ੑͷۃΈͱͷઓ͍ํ CVJMEFSTDPOUPLZP גࣜձࣾ͸ͯͳcപ୩େี JEEBJLTZ

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ࣗݾ঺հ w പ୩େี JEEBJLTZ!EBJLTZ w גࣜձࣾ͸ͯͳ.BDLFSFMνʔϜσΟϨΫλʔ w גࣜձࣾτϚϧόΤϯδχΞ૊৫։ൃࢧԉ w ೝఆεΫϥϜϚελʔ

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ιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ൃͷϚωʔδϝϯτͱ͸ ෆ࣮֬ੑͷ੍ޚͰ͋Δͱ͍͑Δ

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Ұൠతͳιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ൃ͸ ޙ޻ఔʹߦ͘ʹै࣮ͬͯ֬ੑ͕૿͢

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https://tech.nikkeibp.co.jp/it/article/COLUMN/20131001/508039/

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ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτ͸ ऴ൫ʹ΋͏Ұ౓ෆ࣮֬ੑͷࢁ͕๚ΕΔ

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ςετ޻ఔʹ͓͚Δෆ࣮֬ੑ

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https://webrage.jp/techblog/v_shaped_mode/

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ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτͷ೉͠͞ ͭͷߴෆ࣮֬ϙΠϯτ    લ޻ఔͱςετ޻ఔ

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લ޻ఔͷෆ࣮֬ੑͷಛ௃

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1P$ 1SPPGPG$PODFQU   ͷෆ࣮֬ੑ

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w ՝୊ઃఆ ղܾ͍ͨ͠໰୊͸Կ͔ w ղܾखஈʹػցֶशΛ༻͍Δͷ͕ద੾͔ w ػցֶशΛ࢖Θͳ͍ͰࡁΉͳΒͦͷํ͕ྑ͍ w ղܾՄೳͳΞϧΰϦζϜʹͨͲΓண͚Δ͔ w ࣮૷೉қ౓ɺҡ࣋೉қ౓͸ద੾͔ɺݱ࣮తͳܭࢉྔͰ ౴͑Λग़ͤΔͷ͔

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1P$ͷ݁Ռ಴࠳͢ΔϓϩδΣΫτ΋͋Δ डୗ։ൃͳͲͰ͸1P$͚ͩͰҰ୴ผܖ໿ΛऔΔ ͳͲ΋

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CRIPS-DM(CRoss-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) https://dev.classmethod.jp/business/business-analytics/data-analysis-crisp-dm/

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.BDLFSFMͷࣄྫ

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https://mackerel.io

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https://mackerel.io

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ϩʔϧ಺ҟৗݕ஌

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ϩʔϧ಺ҟৗݕ஌ w .BDLFSFM͸αʔόʔͷ໾ׂΛϩʔϧͱͯ͠ઃఆͰ͖Δ w FY "1αʔόʔ %#αʔόʔFUD w ϩʔϧ͝ͱʹաڈͷ܏޲Λֶश͢Δ w ౤ߘ͞Εͨ࠷৽ͷϝτϦοΫ͕ɺաڈͷ܏޲͔Β֎Ε͍ͯ Ε͹ΞϥʔτΛൃ͢Δ

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ͦ΋ͦ΋ػցֶशͰ͋Δඞཁ͕͋Δ͔ʁ w ՝୊αʔόʔͷҟৗΛݕ஌͍ͨ͠ w ػցֶशΛ༻͍ͳ͍఻౷తͳख๏͸͢ͰʹఏڙࡁΈ w αʔόʔϝτϦοΫʹର͢Δᮢ஋ͷઃఆʹΑΔ؂ࢹ w ϩάͷ؂ࢹ w 63-֎ܗ؂ࢹ w FUD

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ͦ΋ͦ΋ػցֶशͰ͋Δඞཁ͕͋Δ͔ʁ w ՝୊఻౷తͳख๏Ҏ֎ͷ΍ΓํͰҟৗΛݕ஌͍ͨ͠ w ఻౷తͳख๏Ͱͷҟৗݕ஌ʹ͸ઐ໳తͳ஌ࣝ΍ܦݧ͕ඞ ཁ w $16࢖༻཰͸ԿΛ௒͑ͨΒҟৗʁ w αʔόʔͷ໾ׂ΍ɺΞϓϦέʔγϣϯಛੑʹΑͬͯ มΘΔ

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ͦ΋ͦ΋ػցֶशͰ͋Δඞཁ͕͋Δ͔ʁ w ՝୊αʔόʔͷʮීஈͱҟͳΔ܏޲ʯΛݕ஌͍ͨ͠ w ʮීஈͷ܏޲ʯΛֶश͢Δඞཁ͕͋Δ w ػցֶशΛ༻͍Δඞཁ͕͋Δ

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1P$ w ࣾ಺ͷো֐ࣄྫऩू w ͞·͟·ͳΞϧΰϦζϜΛࣾ಺ࣄྫʹ౰ͯ͸Ίͯݕূ w ೉қ౓΍ܭࢉྔͷഽײ֮Λ௫Ή w ਂ͍υϝΠϯ஌ࣝͷֶश͕ෆՄܽ

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ΞϧΰϦζϜͷબఆ৚݅ w ͨͩҟৗΛݕ஌͢Ε͹ྑ͍Θ͚Ͱ͸ͳ͍ w .BDLFSFMͷ৔߹ w ݁Ռ͕આ໌ՄೳͰͳ͚Ε͹ͳΒͳ͍ w ਂ૚ֶशͳͲͰ͸ݕ஌݁Ռ͕આ໌ෆೳͳ΋ͷ΋͋Δ w Ϣʔβʔ͕ݕ஌͞ΕͨҟৗΛݩʹαʔόʔΛௐࠪ͢Δඞཁ͕͋ΔͷͰɺݕ஌ཧ ༝Λࣔ͞ͳ͚Ε͹ͳΒͳ͍ w ػցֶशͷઐ໳ՈҎ֎Ͱ΋ཧղ͕༰қͰͳ͚Ε͹ͳΒͳ͍ w .BDLFSFMͷελοϑͷଟ͘͸8FCΞϓϦέʔγϣϯΤϯδχΞ w ൴Β͕ࠓޙ߃ٱతʹӡ༻ͯ͘͠ඞཁ͕͋Δ

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https://www.slideshare.net/syou6162/mackerel-108429592

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1P$੒ޭ

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΋͏Ұͭͷࢁ৔ ςετ޻ఔ

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ιϑτ΢ΣΞςετͱ͸ʁ ιϑτ΢ΣΞ͕ʮ׬ྃͷఆٛʯΛ ຬ͍ͨͯ͠Δ͔Λݕূ͢Δ

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.BDLFSFMͷҟৗݕ஌ʹ͓͚Δ ʮ׬ྃͷఆٛʯʁ w αʔόʔͷීஈͱҟͳΔ܏޲Λݕ஌͍ͨ͠ w ීஈͷ܏޲ͱ͸Ͳ͏͍͏ঢ়ଶʁ w ීஈͷ܏޲ͱͲͷ͘Β͍ҟͳΕ͹ҟৗʁ w ৗʹ$16࢖༻཰ͷαʔόʔ͕͋Δͱͯ͠ w ͩͬͨΒʁ w ͩͬͨΒҧ͏ͬͯݴ͍੾ΕΔʁ

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ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτͷҰͭͷલఏ ਫ਼౓ʹ͸ͳΒͳ͍

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.BDLFSFMʹ͓͚Δʮਫ਼౓ʯ ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙Ε

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ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙Ε w ޡݕ஌ w ผʹҟৗͰ͸ͳ͍ͷʹʮҟৗʯͱ൑ఆ͞Εͯ͠·͏ w ݕ஌࿙Ε w αʔόʔʹҟৗ͕ى͖͍ͯΔͷʹݕ஌͞Εͳ͍

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ਫ਼౓͕ʹͳΒͳ͍Ҏ্ ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙ΕͷؒͷτϨʔυΦϑΛ औΔඞཁ͕͋Δ

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αʔόʔ؂ࢹͷʮΦΦΧϛগ೥໰୊ʯ

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.BDLFSFM͸ΦΦΧϛগ೥ʹͳΒͳ͍Α͏ ʹɺݕ஌࿙ΕΛڐ༰͢Δཱ৔Λͱͬͨ

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ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙Ε w ޡݕ஌Λڐ༰ w Ξϥʔτ͕໐͍ͬͯΔͷʹҟৗͰ͸ͳ͍ঢ়ଶ͕܁Γฦ͞ΕΔͱɺ୭΋Ξ ϥʔτΛ৴༻͠ͳ͘ͳΔɻΦΦΧϛগ೥໰୊ w ݕ஌࿙ΕΛڐ༰ w .BDLFSFM͸ػցֶशػೳҎ֎ʹ΋఻౷తͳख๏Ͱͷ؂ࢹ͕Մೳ w ػցֶशͰݕ஌࿙Εͯ͠΋ਂࠁͳো֐͸֎ܗ؂ࢹͳͲଞͷ؂ࢹઃఆͰ ΩϟονΞοϓͰ͖Δ w ػցֶशػೳ͸ɺ఻౷తͳ؂ࢹઃఆͰऔΓಀ͕͢΋ͷΛर͏ิॿతͳػ ೳͱҐஔ͚ͮΔ

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ِཅੑͱِӄੑ w τϨʔυΦϑͷͱΓํ͸ϓϩμΫτಛੑʹΑͬͯมΘΔ w ҩྍݱ৔ͷը૾਍அͳΒɺޡݕ஌Λڐ༰ͯ͠΋ݕ஌࿙ΕΛ θϩʹ͚͍ۙͮͨɺͳͲ͕͋Γͦ͏

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ݕ஌࿙ΕΛڐ༰͢ΔτϨʔυΦϑΛ બ୒ͭͭ͠ͻͨ͢Βνϡʔχϯά ਓؒͷ௚ײͱͷઓ͍

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νϡʔχϯά w ࣮ࡍʹى͖ͨΞϥʔτΛਓखͰΞϊςʔγϣϯ w ΞϊςʔγϣϯΛݩʹޡใͷݪҼΛ୳ΓɺޮՌͷߴͦ͏ͳ ࢪࡦΛಋೖ͍ͯ͘͠

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ςετ޻ఔͷෆ࣮֬ੑ ϦϦʔε೔ΛͲ͏ܾΊΔʁ

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͍ͭϦϦʔε͢Δʁ w ΍Ζ͏ͱࢥ͑͹ແݶʹνϡʔχϯάͰ͖ΔɻΰʔϧΛͲ͜ ʹஔ͔͘ʁ w ϕʔλ൛ઓུ w ࣮ݧతػೳͱͯ͠ग़ͯ͠ϢʔβʔϑΟʔυόοΫΛಘͯ վળ w ϕʔλ൛͔ͩΒͱ͍ͬͯΦΦΧϛগ೥͕ڐ͞ΕΔΘ͚ Ͱ͸ͳ͍

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͍ͭϦϦʔε͢Δʁ w ೥݄ͷϦϦʔεΛܾఆ w ϦϦʔε௚લɺ1ZUIPOͷϥΠϒϥϦͷόʔδϣϯΞοϓ ͕ݪҼͰޡݕ஌͕૿Ճ w ϦϦʔεिؒલʹԆظΛ൑அ

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͍ͭϦϦʔε͢Δʁ w .BDLFSFMͷ৔߹ w ໨҆ͱͳΔϚΠϧετʔϯ͸͋ͬͨ લड़ͷ೥݄ w ϓϨεϦϦʔεͳͲͷ४උͱ଍ฒΈΛἧ͑Δඞཁ͕͋Δ w ۩ମతͳ೔෇·Ͱ͸ܾΊͳ͔ͬͨ w िؒ͝ͱͷεϓϦϯτͰɺݱঢ়ೝࣝΛͭͭ͠܁Γฦ͠൑ அΛॏͶͳ͕Βඍௐ੔

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݁ہͲͷΑ͏ʹ Ϛωʔδϝϯτ͍͚ͯ͠͹Α͍͔

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ػցֶशͷϚωʔδϝϯτ w ෆ࣮֬ੑͷࢁ͕Ͳ͜ʹ͋Δ͔Λೝࣝ͢Δ w ͋Β͔͡Ί෼͔͍ͬͯΕ͹ͦΕͳΓʹରॲ͸Ͱ͖Δ w ςετ޻ఔͷෆ࣮֬ੑͷࢁ͸Ұൠతͳιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ ൃͱେ͖͘ҟΔͷͰ஫ҙ͕ඞཁ w 1P$ͱςετ޻ఔҎ֎͸ʮී௨ͷιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ൃʯ w ࣮૷ɾΠϯϑϥߏஙɾӡ༻ίετࢼࢉFUD

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ࢀߟʹ͢΂͖͕͔ͯΓ

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εΫϥϜ • “The New New Product Development Game” (1986೥, ໺தҮ࣍࿠)  ◦ ৽੡඼։ൃͷϓϩδΣΫτ؅ཧʹ͍ͭͯͷ࿦จ  ◦ ͜ͷ࿦จʹΠϯεύΠΞ͞ΕͯɺδΣϑɾαβʔϥϯυ͕εΫϥϜ ΛମܥԽ ◦ ۃΊͯෆ࣮֬ੑͷߴ͍։ൃϓϩδΣΫτΛ؅ཧ͢ΔͨΊͷख๏͕େ ݩͷग़ࣗ 

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ήʔϜ։ൃ • ͓΋͠Ζ͞Λ௥ٻ͢Δࢼߦࡨޡ͸ػցֶशͷνϡʔχϯ άͷ޻ఔͱΑ͘ࣅ͍ͯΔ • ఆྔతͳ඼࣭ࢦඪͱਓؒͷ௚ײͱͷόϥϯγϯά • CEDECͳͲͰࣄྫ͕දʹग़͖ͯͭͭ͋Δ

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ͥͻϑΟʔυόοΫ͓ئ͍͠·͢