われわれはいかにして 機械学習プロジェクトの マネージメントをすべきか/builderscon tokyo 2019

Transcript

1. ΘΕΘΕ͸͍͔ʹͯ͠
   ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτͷ
   ϚωʔδϝϯτΛ͢΂͖͔
   ෆ࣮֬ੑͷۃΈͱͷઓ͍ํ
   
   CVJMEFSTDPOUPLZP
   גࣜձࣾ͸ͯͳcപ୩େี JEEBJLTZ
   
   

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2. ࣗݾ঺հ
   w പ୩େี JEEBJLTZ!EBJLTZ
   
   w גࣜձࣾ͸ͯͳ.BDLFSFMνʔϜσΟϨΫλʔ
   w גࣜձࣾτϚϧόΤϯδχΞ૊৫։ൃࢧԉ
   w ೝఆεΫϥϜϚελʔ
   

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5. ιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ൃͷϚωʔδϝϯτͱ͸
   ෆ࣮֬ੑͷ੍ޚͰ͋Δͱ͍͑Δ
   

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6. Ұൠతͳιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ൃ͸
   ޙ޻ఔʹߦ͘ʹै࣮ͬͯ֬ੑ͕૿͢
   

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7. https://tech.nikkeibp.co.jp/it/article/COLUMN/20131001/508039/
   

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8. ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτ͸
   ऴ൫ʹ΋͏Ұ౓ෆ࣮֬ੑͷࢁ͕๚ΕΔ
   

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9. ςετ޻ఔʹ͓͚Δෆ࣮֬ੑ
   

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10. https://webrage.jp/techblog/v_shaped_mode/
    

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11. ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτͷ೉͠͞
    ͭͷߴෆ࣮֬ϙΠϯτ

    

    લ޻ఔͱςετ޻ఔ
    

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12. લ޻ఔͷෆ࣮֬ੑͷಛ௃
    

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13. 1P$ 1SPPGPG$PODFQU
    

    ͷෆ࣮֬ੑ
    

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14. w ՝୊ઃఆ ղܾ͍ͨ͠໰୊͸Կ͔
    
    w ղܾखஈʹػցֶशΛ༻͍Δͷ͕ద੾͔
    w ػցֶशΛ࢖Θͳ͍ͰࡁΉͳΒͦͷํ͕ྑ͍
    w ղܾՄೳͳΞϧΰϦζϜʹͨͲΓண͚Δ͔
    w ࣮૷೉қ౓ɺҡ࣋೉қ౓͸ద੾͔ɺݱ࣮తͳܭࢉྔͰ
    ౴͑Λग़ͤΔͷ͔
    

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15. 1P$ͷ݁Ռ಴࠳͢ΔϓϩδΣΫτ΋͋Δ
    डୗ։ൃͳͲͰ͸1P$͚ͩͰҰ୴ผܖ໿ΛऔΔ
    ͳͲ΋
    

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16. CRIPS-DM(CRoss-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining)
    https://dev.classmethod.jp/business/business-analytics/data-analysis-crisp-dm/
    

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17. .BDLFSFMͷࣄྫ
    

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18. https://mackerel.io
    

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19. https://mackerel.io
    

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20. ϩʔϧ಺ҟৗݕ஌
    

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21. ϩʔϧ಺ҟৗݕ஌
    w .BDLFSFM͸αʔόʔͷ໾ׂΛϩʔϧͱͯ͠ઃఆͰ͖Δ
    w FY
    "1αʔόʔ %#αʔόʔFUD
    w ϩʔϧ͝ͱʹաڈͷ܏޲Λֶश͢Δ
    w ౤ߘ͞Εͨ࠷৽ͷϝτϦοΫ͕ɺաڈͷ܏޲͔Β֎Ε͍ͯ
    Ε͹ΞϥʔτΛൃ͢Δ
    

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22. ͦ΋ͦ΋ػցֶशͰ͋Δඞཁ͕͋Δ͔ʁ
    w ՝୊αʔόʔͷҟৗΛݕ஌͍ͨ͠
    w ػցֶशΛ༻͍ͳ͍఻౷తͳख๏͸͢ͰʹఏڙࡁΈ
    w αʔόʔϝτϦοΫʹର͢Δᮢ஋ͷઃఆʹΑΔ؂ࢹ
    w ϩάͷ؂ࢹ
    w 63-֎ܗ؂ࢹ
    w FUD
    

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23. ͦ΋ͦ΋ػցֶशͰ͋Δඞཁ͕͋Δ͔ʁ
    w ՝୊఻౷తͳख๏Ҏ֎ͷ΍ΓํͰҟৗΛݕ஌͍ͨ͠
    w ఻౷తͳख๏Ͱͷҟৗݕ஌ʹ͸ઐ໳తͳ஌ࣝ΍ܦݧ͕ඞ
    ཁ
    w $16࢖༻཰͸ԿΛ௒͑ͨΒҟৗʁ
    w αʔόʔͷ໾ׂ΍ɺΞϓϦέʔγϣϯಛੑʹΑͬͯ
    มΘΔ
    

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24. ͦ΋ͦ΋ػցֶशͰ͋Δඞཁ͕͋Δ͔ʁ
    w ՝୊αʔόʔͷʮීஈͱҟͳΔ܏޲ʯΛݕ஌͍ͨ͠
    w ʮීஈͷ܏޲ʯΛֶश͢Δඞཁ͕͋Δ
    w ػցֶशΛ༻͍Δඞཁ͕͋Δ
    

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25. 1P$
    w ࣾ಺ͷো֐ࣄྫऩू
    w ͞·͟·ͳΞϧΰϦζϜΛࣾ಺ࣄྫʹ౰ͯ͸Ίͯݕূ
    w ೉қ౓΍ܭࢉྔͷഽײ֮Λ௫Ή
    w ਂ͍υϝΠϯ஌ࣝͷֶश͕ෆՄܽ
    

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26. ΞϧΰϦζϜͷબఆ৚݅
    w ͨͩҟৗΛݕ஌͢Ε͹ྑ͍Θ͚Ͱ͸ͳ͍
    w .BDLFSFMͷ৔߹
    w ݁Ռ͕આ໌ՄೳͰͳ͚Ε͹ͳΒͳ͍
    w ਂ૚ֶशͳͲͰ͸ݕ஌݁Ռ͕આ໌ෆೳͳ΋ͷ΋͋Δ
    w Ϣʔβʔ͕ݕ஌͞ΕͨҟৗΛݩʹαʔόʔΛௐࠪ͢Δඞཁ͕͋ΔͷͰɺݕ஌ཧ
    ༝Λࣔ͞ͳ͚Ε͹ͳΒͳ͍
    w ػցֶशͷઐ໳ՈҎ֎Ͱ΋ཧղ͕༰қͰͳ͚Ε͹ͳΒͳ͍
    w .BDLFSFMͷελοϑͷଟ͘͸8FCΞϓϦέʔγϣϯΤϯδχΞ
    w ൴Β͕ࠓޙ߃ٱతʹӡ༻ͯ͘͠ඞཁ͕͋Δ
    

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27. https://www.slideshare.net/syou6162/mackerel-108429592
    

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28. 1P$੒ޭ
    

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29. ΋͏Ұͭͷࢁ৔
    ςετ޻ఔ
    

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30. ιϑτ΢ΣΞςετͱ͸ʁ
    ιϑτ΢ΣΞ͕ʮ׬ྃͷఆٛʯΛ
    ຬ͍ͨͯ͠Δ͔Λݕূ͢Δ
    

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31. .BDLFSFMͷҟৗݕ஌ʹ͓͚Δ
    ʮ׬ྃͷఆٛʯʁ
    w αʔόʔͷීஈͱҟͳΔ܏޲Λݕ஌͍ͨ͠
    w ීஈͷ܏޲ͱ͸Ͳ͏͍͏ঢ়ଶʁ
    w ීஈͷ܏޲ͱͲͷ͘Β͍ҟͳΕ͹ҟৗʁ
    w ৗʹ$16࢖༻཰ͷαʔόʔ͕͋Δͱͯ͠
    w ͩͬͨΒʁ
    w ͩͬͨΒҧ͏ͬͯݴ͍੾ΕΔʁ
    

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32. ػցֶशϓϩδΣΫτͷҰͭͷલఏ
    ਫ਼౓ʹ͸ͳΒͳ͍
    

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33. .BDLFSFMʹ͓͚Δʮਫ਼౓ʯ
    ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙Ε
    

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34. ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙Ε
    w ޡݕ஌
    w ผʹҟৗͰ͸ͳ͍ͷʹʮҟৗʯͱ൑ఆ͞Εͯ͠·͏
    w ݕ஌࿙Ε
    w αʔόʔʹҟৗ͕ى͖͍ͯΔͷʹݕ஌͞Εͳ͍
    

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35. ਫ਼౓͕ʹͳΒͳ͍Ҏ্
    ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙ΕͷؒͷτϨʔυΦϑΛ
    औΔඞཁ͕͋Δ
    

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36. αʔόʔ؂ࢹͷʮΦΦΧϛগ೥໰୊ʯ
    

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37. .BDLFSFM͸ΦΦΧϛগ೥ʹͳΒͳ͍Α͏
    ʹɺݕ஌࿙ΕΛڐ༰͢Δཱ৔Λͱͬͨ
    

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38. ޡݕ஌ͱݕ஌࿙Ε
    w ޡݕ஌Λڐ༰
    w Ξϥʔτ͕໐͍ͬͯΔͷʹҟৗͰ͸ͳ͍ঢ়ଶ͕܁Γฦ͞ΕΔͱɺ୭΋Ξ
    ϥʔτΛ৴༻͠ͳ͘ͳΔɻΦΦΧϛগ೥໰୊
    w ݕ஌࿙ΕΛڐ༰
    w .BDLFSFM͸ػցֶशػೳҎ֎ʹ΋఻౷తͳख๏Ͱͷ؂ࢹ͕Մೳ
    w ػցֶशͰݕ஌࿙Εͯ͠΋ਂࠁͳো֐͸֎ܗ؂ࢹͳͲଞͷ؂ࢹઃఆͰ
    ΩϟονΞοϓͰ͖Δ
    w ػցֶशػೳ͸ɺ఻౷తͳ؂ࢹઃఆͰऔΓಀ͕͢΋ͷΛर͏ิॿతͳػ
    ೳͱҐஔ͚ͮΔ
    

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39. ِཅੑͱِӄੑ
    w τϨʔυΦϑͷͱΓํ͸ϓϩμΫτಛੑʹΑͬͯมΘΔ
    w ҩྍݱ৔ͷը૾਍அͳΒɺޡݕ஌Λڐ༰ͯ͠΋ݕ஌࿙ΕΛ
    θϩʹ͚͍ۙͮͨɺͳͲ͕͋Γͦ͏
    

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40. ݕ஌࿙ΕΛڐ༰͢ΔτϨʔυΦϑΛ
    બ୒ͭͭ͠ͻͨ͢Βνϡʔχϯά
    ਓؒͷ௚ײͱͷઓ͍
    

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42. νϡʔχϯά
    w ࣮ࡍʹى͖ͨΞϥʔτΛਓखͰΞϊςʔγϣϯ
    w ΞϊςʔγϣϯΛݩʹޡใͷݪҼΛ୳ΓɺޮՌͷߴͦ͏ͳ
    ࢪࡦΛಋೖ͍ͯ͘͠
    

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43. ςετ޻ఔͷෆ࣮֬ੑ
    ϦϦʔε೔ΛͲ͏ܾΊΔʁ
    

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44. ͍ͭϦϦʔε͢Δʁ
    w ΍Ζ͏ͱࢥ͑͹ແݶʹνϡʔχϯάͰ͖ΔɻΰʔϧΛͲ͜
    ʹஔ͔͘ʁ
    w ϕʔλ൛ઓུ
    w ࣮ݧతػೳͱͯ͠ग़ͯ͠ϢʔβʔϑΟʔυόοΫΛಘͯ
    վળ
    w ϕʔλ൛͔ͩΒͱ͍ͬͯΦΦΧϛগ೥͕ڐ͞ΕΔΘ͚
    Ͱ͸ͳ͍
    

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45. ͍ͭϦϦʔε͢Δʁ
    w ೥݄ͷϦϦʔεΛܾఆ
    w ϦϦʔε௚લɺ1ZUIPOͷϥΠϒϥϦͷόʔδϣϯΞοϓ
    ͕ݪҼͰޡݕ஌͕૿Ճ
    w ϦϦʔεिؒલʹԆظΛ൑அ
    

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46. ͍ͭϦϦʔε͢Δʁ
    w .BDLFSFMͷ৔߹
    w ໨҆ͱͳΔϚΠϧετʔϯ͸͋ͬͨ લड़ͷ೥݄
    w ϓϨεϦϦʔεͳͲͷ४උͱ଍ฒΈΛἧ͑Δඞཁ͕͋Δ
    w ۩ମతͳ೔෇·Ͱ͸ܾΊͳ͔ͬͨ
    w िؒ͝ͱͷεϓϦϯτͰɺݱঢ়ೝࣝΛͭͭ͠܁Γฦ͠൑
    அΛॏͶͳ͕Βඍௐ੔
    

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47. ݁ہͲͷΑ͏ʹ
    Ϛωʔδϝϯτ͍͚ͯ͠͹Α͍͔
    

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48. ػցֶशͷϚωʔδϝϯτ
    w ෆ࣮֬ੑͷࢁ͕Ͳ͜ʹ͋Δ͔Λೝࣝ͢Δ
    w ͋Β͔͡Ί෼͔͍ͬͯΕ͹ͦΕͳΓʹରॲ͸Ͱ͖Δ
    w ςετ޻ఔͷෆ࣮֬ੑͷࢁ͸Ұൠతͳιϑτ΢ΣΞ։
    ൃͱେ͖͘ҟΔͷͰ஫ҙ͕ඞཁ
    w 1P$ͱςετ޻ఔҎ֎͸ʮී௨ͷιϑτ΢ΣΞ։ൃʯ
    w ࣮૷ɾΠϯϑϥߏஙɾӡ༻ίετࢼࢉFUD
    

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49. ࢀߟʹ͢΂͖͕͔ͯΓ
    

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50. εΫϥϜ
    • “The New New Product Development Game” (1986೥, ໺தҮ࣍࿠)

    ◦ ৽੡඼։ൃͷϓϩδΣΫτ؅ཧʹ͍ͭͯͷ࿦จ

    ◦ ͜ͷ࿦จʹΠϯεύΠΞ͞ΕͯɺδΣϑɾαβʔϥϯυ͕εΫϥϜ
    ΛମܥԽ
    ◦ ۃΊͯෆ࣮֬ੑͷߴ͍։ൃϓϩδΣΫτΛ؅ཧ͢ΔͨΊͷख๏͕େ
    ݩͷग़ࣗ

    

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51. ήʔϜ։ൃ
    • ͓΋͠Ζ͞Λ௥ٻ͢Δࢼߦࡨޡ͸ػցֶशͷνϡʔχϯ
    άͷ޻ఔͱΑ͘ࣅ͍ͯΔ
    • ఆྔతͳ඼࣭ࢦඪͱਓؒͷ௚ײͱͷόϥϯγϯά
    • CEDECͳͲͰࣄྫ͕දʹग़͖ͯͭͭ͋Δ
    

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52. ͥͻϑΟʔυόοΫ͓ئ͍͠·͢
    

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