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太陽光パネルの発電出力予測を試みた結果
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kawaji
October 22, 2018
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太陽光パネルの発電出力予測を試みた結果
kawaji
October 22, 2018
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Transcript
ଠཅޫύωϧͷൃిग़ྗ༧ଌ ΛࢼΈͨ݁Ռ
• ॴଐ ༗ݶձࣾεΫϥονιϑτ • ໊લ ࿏ོٛʢ͔Θ͡Α͔ͨ͠ʣ • ॴଐίϛϡχςΟʔ JAWS-UG ໊ݹ
JP_Stripes ໊ݹ
• ॴଐ ༗ݶձࣾεΫϥονιϑτ • ໊લ ࿏ོٛʢ͔Θ͡Α͔ͨ͠ʣ • ॴଐίϛϡχςΟʔ JAWS-UG ໊ݹ
JP_Stripes ໊ݹ ͲͪΒ খౡ͞Μ্ཱ͕ͪ͛ͨͷ
ಈػ • 2011/3/11 ͷ౦ຊେࡂΛड͚ɺిྗʹͭ ͍ͯݟͭΊ͢ػձ͕͋ͬͨɻ • ͦΕ·Ͱʹઅితͷ׆ಈܧଓ͍͕ͯͨ͠ɺ ΑΓةػײΛ࣋ͬͯऔΓΉ͖͔͚ͬʹɻ ʢిྗফඅΛ͑Δ͜ͱͰࣾձʹߩݙͭͭ͠ɺ ࠓޙͷిؾྉۚΛ͑ΕΔͳΒ͍͍ΑͶʣ
औΓΈҊ1 - σϚϯυྉ੍ۚͷ࠷దԽ • σϚϯυྉ੍ۚ աڈҰͷத͔Β࠷େधཁిྗ(σϚϯυ)Λϕʔ εʹܖΛߦ͏ํࣜɻ(30ͷ࠷େ͕ར༻͞ΕΔ) • ҙ ଟظͳͲʹଟ͘ͷిྗΛফඅ͢Δͱཌେ͖ͳ
ిؾྉ্ۚ͛ʹͳΔέʔε͕͋Δɻ ͜ͷҝՄೳͰ͋ΕফඅిྗΛฏۉԽͰ͖Δͷ͕ ·͍͠ɻ
औΓΈҊ2 - ిྗ༥௨ • σϚϯυྉ੍ۚଟ͘ফඅ͢Δ݄Λͳͤ͘Ε ྑ͍ͱ͍͏ʹɻ • ݱ࣮తʹ̍ࣾͷిྗফඅྔʹΑΓઃඋΛࢭΊ ΔͳͲ͍͠ɻ ʢൟظʹࣄΛ͠ͳ͍͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ͳ͍ʣ
• ͳΒ༨ిྗΛ࣋ͭձࣾͱधཁ͕ଟ͍ձࣾ Λͭͳ͙ϚʔέοτϓϨΠε͕͋ΕΑ͍ͷ Ͱͳ͍͔ʁ
None
ຊσϚϯυྉ੍ۚͷ ࠷దԽʹऔΓΉաఔͰ ػցֶशΛͬͯΈͨ ͓Λ͠·͢
ݟ͑ΔԽ ిྗফඅΛ͑ΔͨΊʹ·ͣݟ͑ΔԽΛ͠ ͯݱঢ়ΛΓ͍ͨɻ ܭଌର(දతͳͷ) • ϑϩΞ • ΤϨϕʔλʔ •
• PHVॆిث • ଠཅޫύωϧ
None
None
None
None
͜͜Λ༧ଌ͍ͨ͠ ະདྷ ݱࡏ աڈ
None
ະདྷ ݱࡏ աڈ ͜͜Λ༧ଌ͍ͨ͠
σϚϯυͷ༧ଌͷٻΊํ σϚϯυ = ফඅ - ڙڅ ڙڅ = ଠཅޫύωϧͷൃిྔ ফඅ
= ઃඋͳͲͰར༻͢Δधཁྔ
ଠཅޫύωϧͷൃిྔΛ༧ଌ͢Δʹ ؾ݅ʹӨڹΛड͚Δ • ࣹྔ • ؾԹ ্ه̎ͭΛఱؾAPIΛར༻ͯ͠ύϥϝʔ λͱͯ͠͏͜ͱΛબ γϯϓϧͳॏճؼੳΛར༻
ະདྷ աڈ ఱؾ༧ใ"1*ͰऔಘͰ͖Δະདྷ̎िؒͩͬͨͷͰνϟʔτ ࡞ͨ͠Ϟσϧͱఱؾ༧ใʢXʣͰࢉग़ͨ͠ લ࣮ͷΈ߹Θͤ Ͱ࣮ݱ
͜͜Ͱ༏ઌ͖͢༧ଌΛצҧ ͍͍ͯͨ͜͠ͱʹؾͮ͘
ফඅ ڙڅ
ফඅ ڙڅ ফඅʹൺڙڅ͕͋·Γʹখ͍͞ʂʂ
ল • ফඅྔͷ༧ଌΛॏࢹ͖ͩͬͨ͢ɻ ੜ࢈ܭըɾੜ࢈ϥΠϯผফඅ͕શମʹେ͖͘Ө ڹΛ༩͑Δɻ • ͦͦੜ࢈ΛσϚϯυΛҙࣝͯ͠ίϯτϩʔ ϧ͢Δ͜ͱ͕͍͠ͷͰΓͳ͍ڙڅΛɺडి ͢Δํ๏͕ඞཁͱͷ݁ʹɻ •
ిྗऔҾͷϚʔέοτϓϨΠε͕࣮ݱ͢Εେ ͖͘มΘΔͷͰͳ͍͔ɻ
ిྗऔҾͷࣗಈԽ • ిྗΛചങ͢ΔͨΊʹਓ݅අ͕ΘΕΔͷ φϯηϯεɻ ૹిͷୗૹྉͳͲ͍Ζ͍Ζߟ͑ͳ͚Ε͍͚ ͳ͍͕ ͜͏͍͏෦ʹ AI ͕ੜ͖ͯ͘Δͱࢥ ͏ɻ
'PSిྗϚʔέοτϓϨΠε ͳΜͯ։ൃͯ͠ΈͯͲ͏Ͱ͠ΐ͏͔ʁ
͝ਗ਼ௌ͋Γ͕ͱ͏͍͟͝·ͨ͠