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Why Nate Silver is Famous
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Adam Hyland
March 27, 2013
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Why Nate Silver is Famous
A short talk on the process of data visualization and public communication. Also jokes.
Adam Hyland
March 27, 2013
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Transcript
A Bracingly Technical Talk
Why is Nate Silver Famous? Adam Hyland
From my forthcoming book: Why Nate Silver is Famous and
13 other Data Science Truisms
Alternate title: Why Nate Silver is Famous and You are
Not
Alternate title: I’ve Named My Fists “The Signal” and “The
Noise” and if You Don’t Stop Showing Me Titles I’ll Bring the Noise
That’s Enough
Nate Silver is Famous... • So what? • Implications for
data vis • What has been dropped from poblano to the Grey Lady • We have to take a journey...
fivethirtyeight.com
Vis or Data? • Empirics? • Not the first •
Princeton • UC Boulder • Electoralvote.com • etc.
Excel! • Model weights • General election
What evolved?
Matures a bit
Impact? • Mixed up with change in data-driven election journalism
• Everybody gives you a local linear regression now! • Make a hard problem (which is secretly kinda easy) look easy