Why Nate Silver is Famous

A short talk on the process of data visualization and public communication. Also jokes.

Transcript

1. A Bracingly Technical Talk
2. Why is Nate Silver Famous? Adam Hyland
3. From my forthcoming book: Why Nate Silver is Famous and 13 other Data Science Truisms
4. Alternate title: Why Nate Silver is Famous and You are Not
5. Alternate title: I’ve Named My Fists “The Signal” and “The Noise” and if You Don’t Stop Showing Me Titles I’ll Bring the Noise
6. That’s Enough
7. Nate Silver is Famous... • So what? • Implications for data vis • What has been dropped from poblano to the Grey Lady • We have to take a journey...
8. fivethirtyeight.com
9. Vis or Data? • Empirics? • Not the first • Princeton • UC Boulder • Electoralvote.com • etc.
10. Excel! • Model weights • General election
11. What evolved?
12. Matures a bit
13. Impact? • Mixed up with change in data-driven election journalism • Everybody gives you a local linear regression now! • Make a hard problem (which is secretly kinda easy) look easy