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sgtn
October 10, 2019
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Blockchain Socioeconomics
sgtn
October 10, 2019
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Transcript
Blockchain Socioeconomics Cryptoeonomics Lab - Shogo Ochiai
Disclaimer I only use two reasonable assumptions in this logic.
So, this is NOT What-if-fantasy If you agree on these assumptions
Disclaimer I only use two reasonable assumptions in this logic.
So, this is NOT What-if-fantasy If you agree on these assumptions Yes, a statement with false assumption is always true.
My Assertions Osaka will be independent and have Osaka-yen Surveillance
will be stronger
1. Technical Facts ⚒ 2. Taxational Facts 3. Populational Facts
4. Military Facts Reasonings
1. Technical Facts ⚒ 2. Taxational Facts 3. Populational Facts
4. Military Facts
Bitcoin Unstoppable 10k nodes
Anonymity Privacy Bitcoin Mixer ZCash Lightning Network Beam Grin Monero
eth zk-mixer
How strong LN privacy is?
LN, Ethereum, OVM LN as well a optimistic layer-2 protocol
Ethereum gets network-layer censorship resistance https://github.com/prysmaticlabs/prysm/issues/971#issuecomment-539791007
The most scaling privacy preserving stable coin payment method for
now ERC-20 on Lightning Network
Operator knows all But it's like Alipay. Plasma is not
good at privacy
Assumption A There exists a scaling privacy preserving stable coin
payment method
1. Technical Facts ⚒ 2. Taxational Facts 3. Populational Facts
4. Military Facts
GAFA and taxation No corporate tax
Privacy preserving currency and taxation No VAT
Privacy preserving currency and taxation No VAT Sorry, this is
Assumption B
Assumption B There exists an active consumer to consumer app
which uses Assumption A to avoid VAT
No tax? Land tax and resident tax as a "protection
money"
Wealth re-distribution by the land tax and resident tax Living
in urban area is strategically bad
1. Technical Facts ⚒ 2. Taxational Facts 3. Populational Facts
4. Military Facts
World's aging https://www.wired.com/story/the-world-might-actually-run-out-of-people/ "The end of the vertical knowledge" World
pupulation hits its limit on 8~9 Billion Cuz any countries can enjoy trip and high education
High welfare and Dilemma Longevity Better medication & welfare Senior
Democracy
High welfare and Dilemma Longevity Better medication Senior Democracy Burden
to younger people Economics Externality
https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/takeaway/segments/frozen-time-what-older-people-face-after-prison Aging in prisons
None
None
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3731053/Philippines-overhaul-inhumane-overcrowded-jails.html Phillipine's 500% accumulation
https://note.mu/tactot/n/na1e57adc4010 Riot or Surveillance?
1. Technical Facts ⚒ 2. Taxational Facts 3. Populational Facts
4. Military Facts
Drones and AI Attack cost <<< Defence cost
Nuclear power and terrorism Attack cost <<< Defence cost
Attack cost = Defence cost? https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/30162/u-s-military-is-buying-these-small-interceptor-drones-to-knock-down-other-drones
5~500m height air control is blue ocean. It can be
responsibility of the police, rather army. Surveillance motivated? Attack cost = Defence cost? http://warhistory-quest.blog.jp/19-Oct-05
https://ndupress.ndu.edu/JFQ/Joint-Force-Quarterly-94.aspx
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2101508/Want-know-effect-nuclear-bomb-home-town-Theres-app-that.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2101508/Want-know-effect-nuclear-bomb-home-town-Theres-app-that.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2101508/Want-know-effect-nuclear-bomb-home-town-Theres-app-that.html
So what can we see on these facts? Conclusion
Within 5 years, Japan Conclusion
AI Bus
cost: 60% off https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/vitalik-buterin-new-ways-to-fund-public-goods/ frequency: x2.5
None
None
None
None
Nukes in Japan
Nukes in Japan
Nukes in Japan
Infrastructure - Hospital Population decreasing but have to wait long
Infrastructure - Hospital
Infrastructure - Hospital
Infrastructure - Hospital
Infrastructure - Hospital
Tax - No one pay tax
Tax the rich Heavy Tax Tokyo
Tax the rich - Life in Tokyo Automated car
Tax the rich - Life in Tokyo Self-serve cashier
Tax the rich - Life in Tokyo No normal job
in Tokyo
And slums there For cheap tax, cheap wage
Tax the rich - Life in Tokyo Harder to raise
your kids in Tokyo
Tax the rich - Life in Local Remote workers get
richier
Stronger locals Weaker central
Rural = Freerider
Tokyo Independence Like Catalan, California
Nagoya is the new Tokyo Still use yen?
Osaka is the new Tokyo Still use yen?
Fukuoka is the new Tokyo Still use yen?
Total Independence Still use yen?
We never know the future JPY USD Original MTPL Currency
Is this cypherpunk manifesto really desired?
No, right?
But no other way suggested.
Fin