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Seeing Success with Side Projects - Luke Jordan

Seeing Success with Side Projects - Luke Jordan

A rough blueprint for growing a successful niche site, whether you're going solo in your spare time or if you're an agency looking for a new revenue stream.

Presented at DRINK :// Digital on 26 May 2022

https://twitter.com/lr_jordan

DRINKDigital

May 31, 2022
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  1. To know whether you have a long-term edge, you need

    to understand Expected Value (EV).
  2. I used to have a casino slot simulation tool to

    calculate EV of specific bonuses. Deposit: £200 Spin size: £5 EV: £52 Bust Rate: 93%
  3. Short-term, we have a very high (93%) chance of losing.

    Long-term, we should be in profit.
  4. If I bet you £10 that I land a coin

    on heads, but you only pay me £5 if it lands on tails, do you take that bet?
  5. If we flip the coin 100 times, you should be

    up £250. The EV of each coin flip is therefore +£2.50 for you (and -£2.50 for me).
  6. On my casino example, I had a high chance of

    losing £200, but if I could do the same offer 100 times, I should be up 100 x £52 EV = £5,200.
  7. Why have I just wasted 2 minutes of your life

    talking like a degenerate gambler?
  8. To build a successful niche site, you have to invest

    time at a minimum. For 99% of people, that time isn’t going to pay-off in the first 12 months.
  9. …but if you find a good niche, the EV of

    building a niche site is highly positive.
  10. In the world of advantage play, I used to speak

    a lot about “taking EV”. Taking EV is like delayed gratification. The more EV you take now, the greater your long- term pay-off will be.
  11. You could put your time into work and get a

    promotion, paying £10k/y extra. In a year, you’re up £10k. On a niche site, you might have earned next to nothing in your first year.
  12. But after 2 years, you might be earning £2k p/m

    from your niche site. A site making this amount consistently would be worth ~£90k in the current market.
  13. The EV of publishing a single article might be very

    low, but it adds up once you’ve reached 100 articles published.
  14. EV applies in life too. How many extra days will

    you live if you do a workout today? The EV of a single workout is very small.
  15. I might bust my casino offer, you might fail in

    your niche site, and we might get ran over by a lorry on the way home from the gym. But all of our decisions were +EV and should pay off long-term.
  16. A niche site is a website of close-to-100% informational content

    (in my opinion) and you make money from the content itself. They’re typically monetised with affiliate links and display advertising, but you have other options too.
  17. A good niche is something that: - Allows you to

    write at least 50 articles about a single topic (preferably more) - Gives you similar related topics to write about in future - Has an audience of people with money; US-based adults is the go-to target - Will be unlikely to be the target of future algorithm updates - Is not competitive
  18. I’ll gladly teach you how to mine gold. I’ll occasionally

    share how much gold my team mined. But I don’t want to hand you the keys to my mine because finders keepers.
  19. It’s not enough to write 5 articles, give up for

    18 months and cash in your profits afterwards. You (likely) won’t rank.
  20. Most people start by writing 1-2 posts per week themselves.

    The most successful people in this space do this every week, every month, and have 50- 100 articles live at the end of their first year.
  21. All you need (as a minimum) for a successful niche

    site is: - A good niche with lots of low competition keywords - A fast website - High quality, optimised content
  22. My friend’s site is up for sale for $800,000. He

    targets keywords with a maximum Ahrefs KD score of THREE! (but does have over 1,000 articles)
  23. But there are also levels within levels. Some sites publish

    50 posts per year. Some publish 5,000.
  24. Our current aim is to have 125 posts going live

    per month. For most niche site operators, 125 posts going live per month would happen across a portfolio of 4-5 websites.
  25. The difficulty of publishing 125 posts across 1 site vs

    4-5 sites is pretty similar. Having 4-5 sites is also lower risk and you sound cooler when you say you own a portfolio.
  26. But the difficulty in scaling and turning 4-5 sites into

    real brands compared to 1 is night and day. And day is still hard.
  27. To get started with a niche site, you need to:

    - Research to find a niche with a lot of potential - Look at other niche sites - go to sites like Investors Club to find real sites for sale and see what they did - Buy a domain name that doesn’t limit your potential - Get a basic site live and start writing and publishing articles consistently
  28. If you have an existing site, you can roughly calculate

    the EV of writing an article - or paying for articles to be written.
  29. 50 articles on subject X, <5 KD, 150,000 views per

    month, $3,000 at $20 RPM. 50 more similar articles. Cost $150 per article = $7,500.
  30. 12 months to rank 2 year profit = $28,500 ($570

    per article) $3,000 per month extra = +$120,000 on site valuation $120,000 / 50 articles = $2,400 per article EV per article = ???lots???
  31. bye