Enabling The Transition To Low Carbon Homes – Smart Systems and Heat

Transcript

1. Enabling The Transition To Low Carbon Homes - Smart Systems and Heat Grant Bourhill Director – Smart Systems and Heat
2. To meet carbon targets affordably, barriers to the decarbonisation of heat must be overcome “Heat accounts for around 45% of our energy consumption and a third of all carbon emissions. Progress to date has been slower here than in other parts of our economy.” The Rt Hon Amber Rudd MP, November 2015 Take up of low-carbon heating solutions needs to increase by a factor of 50 within 10 years Accelerating take up will require solutions to multiple and complex barriers Less than 20,000 homes per year are currently switching to low carbon heating. To meet carbon targets cost-effectively, 20,000 per week need to be switching by 2025. ©2016 Energy Systems Catapult. All rights reserved. “Meeting the 2050 target will be much more expensive, and may be impossible, without a near complete decarbonisation of heat” The Committee on Climate Change, Fifth Carbon Budget, November 2015 All barriers need to be addressed Consumers Interventions Markets Uptake Market failures Market size and maturity Policy risk Product features & performance Cost characteristics Installation process Attitudes Consumer and property characteristics Decision making Funding preferences
3. ©2016 Energy Systems Catapult. All rights reserved. Potential impact on heat decarbonisation ‘Conventional’ fabric upgrade ‘Advanced’ (Solid Wall) fabric upgrade Air Source Heat Pumps (incl. hybrids) Gas Driven Heat Pumps Direct Elec’ Heaters Elec’ Storage Heater District Heat Networks ‘Smart’ Electricity Networks ‘Smart’ Gas Networks H2 Energy Centres for Heat Networks Efficient Gas Boilers Solar PV ‘Conventional’ Hot Water Tanks High Density Heat Stores Solar Thermal Mechanical Vent’n and Heat Recovery Biomass Boilers Ground Source Heat Pumps ‘Smart’ Wind Generation ‘Smart’ Appliances Repurposing Gas Grid to H2 There is no single technology solution to decarbonise domestic heat
4. Air Source Heat Pumps (incl. hybrids) District Heat Networks Maturity Potential impact on heat decarbonisation ‘Conventional’ fabric upgrade ‘Advanced’ (Solid Wall) fabric upgrade Gas Driven Heat Pumps Direct Elec’ Heaters Elec’ Storage Heater ‘Smart’ Electricity Networks ‘Smart’ Gas Networks H2 Energy Centres for Heat Networks Efficient Gas Boilers Solar PV ‘Conventional’ Hot Water Tanks High Density Heat Stores Solar Thermal Mechanical Vent’n and Heat Recovery Biomass Boilers Ground Source Heat Pumps ‘Smart’ Wind Generation ‘Smart’ Appliances Repurposing Gas Grid to H2 Component Level Research and Development to Increase Maturity (Not SSH focus) Systems Integration and Commercial Route to Mass-market to Enable 50x Growth in 10 years (Focus for SSH) As innovations mature in future, they will also need integration and a route to mass-market ©2016 Energy Systems Catapult. All rights reserved. Integration and developing a commercial route is the key
5. ©2016 Energy Technologies Institute. Enabling future-proof and affordable decarbonisation of local energy  By developing and demonstrating the tools and approach to focus local energy strategy development and infrastructure deployment, and support consensus building (reduce infrastructure costs) Hot water Town centres - 21% Villages - 15% Suburban - 61% Rural - 3% Gas H2 Electricity Current population & dwelling split (English Housing Survey 2010)  By providing a channel to demonstrate and evaluate new scalable business models, with broad engagement and learning widely disseminated (“a demonstration environment”) People and buildings Networks Integration HEMS platform Consumer behaviour study
6. ©2016 Energy Systems Catapult. All rights reserved. The ETI’s Smart Systems & Heat programme is investing in developing a set of practical solutions “We want a consumer-led, competition focussed energy system that has energy security at the heart of it and delivers for families and businesses.” The Rt Hon Amber Rudd MP, November 2015 Insights into consumer response and behaviour Tools for integrated energy systems design and operation. To allow development of bespoke energy solutions for local areas Insights into consumer response and behaviour. A deep understanding informed by three years of research with thousands of households Integrated ICT framework. Design tools to simulate and facilitate data flows and markets Consumer facing business models. Options for innovative new business models to overcome consumer barriers Home Energy Management System (HEMS) New software to empower the consumer in the Internet of Things House B2B business models. Options for innovative new business models that can unlock value and open new market opportunities Heating systems in buildings. Insights into lower cost thermal efficiency improvements for buildings
7. ©2016 Energy Systems Catapult. All rights reserved. Smart Systems and Heat will demonstrate ‘at scale’ and establish routes to market for new products and services “There are technologies which have great potential, such as district heating, biogas, hydrogen and heat pumps. But it is not yet clear which will work at scale. So different approaches need to be tested.” The Rt Hon Amber Rudd MP, November 2015 Connecting consumers with new value propositions and demonstrating which business models could work ‘at scale’ under different policy environments. Demonstration environment Trialling additional technological, commercial and policy solutions Demonstration of the integrated products and services developed by the Programme 6000 households Tools for planning bespoke local energy solutions Catapult expertise to evaluate system impacts Private sector partners Local Authority Partners
8. ©2016 Energy Systems Catapult. All rights reserved. Investment in the short run will enable low-carbon markets and drive long term savings for the UK “Subsidy should be temporary, not part of a permanent business model” The Rt Hon Amber Rudd MP, November 2015 This could drive a £40bn saving for the UK out to 2050 Enabling markets for low-carbon heating solutions: Investment Intellectual property Leveraging of additional funding, including private sector and the EU Market-tested products and services for consumers Proven scalable business models to enable consumer engagement and new B2B markets Accelerating innovation in low- carbon products and services Evidence on the best integrated solutions for different locations and circumstances Validation of planning and design tools for Local Authorities, businesses and policy-makers Inform policy and regulation Increased investor confidence Developing supply chains with new skills, and a model for roll out from Government
9. Thank you