自律型AIエージェントは何を破壊するのか

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& 9 1 0 * / 5 & 3 0 1 5 0 , : 0 ࣗ཯ܕ"*ΤʔδΣϯτ͸ ԿΛഁյ͢Δͷ͔ ͦͯ͠࠷ޙ·Ͱഁյ͞Εͳ͍΋ͷͱ͸ʁ r શྗػցגࣜձࣾ औక໾܉ࢣ ۙ౻ত༤

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42.3% 47.4% 49.6% 51.0% 53.0% 57.5% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026.6※ r*NQFSWB5IBMFT #BE#PU3FQPSU ֤೥࣮ଌɾ๷ޚ ໢ ˞$MPVEGMBSF3BEBS Ұ ൠ໢ɾผܥྻ ಉࣾܥྻͰॳͷٯ స ͍ͣΕ΋lCPUͱݟഁΕͨ෼zͷΈͰԼ ݶ஋ɻ ࣮ϒϥ΢βΛૢΔΤʔδΣϯτ͸ਓ ؒͱͯ͠ܭ্͞Ε͍ͯΔ 出典 Thales: 2025 Imperva Bad Bot Report(2024年実測51%) https://cpl.thalesgroup.com/about-us/newsroom/2025-imperva-bad-bot-report-ai-internet-traffic Thales: 2026 Bad Bot Report(2025年実測53%超) https://cpl.thalesgroup.com/about-us/newsroom/ai-driven-bot-attacks-surged-according-to-bad-bot-report Cloudflare Radar / Matthew Prince CEO発⾔(2026.6.3) https://radar.cloudflare.com ηΩϡϦςΟυϝΠϯͷ਺஋ Ұൠ

લ ఏ ൃ ల ͷ ܦ Ң ࣗ཯ܕΤʔδΣϯτͷมભ w 1IBTF
r 3F"DU࿦จ ˠ "VUP(15্͕࢙࠷଎ڃͰສελʔ ˠ (FOFSBUJWF"HFOUT 4UBOGPSE ͔࣮͠͠ ༻λεΫΛ׬਱Ͱ͖ࣦͣ଎ w 1IBTF r 'VODUJPO$BMMJOH %FWJO$PNQVUFS6TF.$1 Πϯϑ ϥ͕੔͏ w 1IBTF r 0QFSBUPS$MBVEF $PEF"10QFO$MBX Ϟσϧͷೳྗ ͱϋʔωεઃܭͰΠϯϑϥΛे෼ʹ׆༻Ͱ͖ ΔΑ͏ʹͳͬͨ 出典 ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models (2022) https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.03629 AutoGPT (GitHub) https://github.com/Significant-Gravitas/AutoGPT Anthropic: Computer use (2024.10) https://www.anthropic.com/news/3-5-models-and-computer-use Model Context Protocol https://modelcontextprotocol.io

લ ఏ ೳ ྗ ۂ ઢ λεΫ௕ͷഒ૿ϖʔε͸ɺΧ݄ˠΧ݄ʹՃ଎ w .&53
"*͕׬਱Ͱ͖Δλε Ϋͷ௕͞͸໿Χ݄͝ͱʹഒ૿ w "OUISPQJDʮ8IFO"*CVJMETJUTFMGʯ ഒ૿ϖʔε͸ݱࡏ໿Χ ݄ʹՃ଎ w $MBVEF0QVT ͷ্ݶ͸໿ ෼ͷλεΫ ˠݱߦ0QVT͸࣌ ؒͷλεΫΛॲཧɺ.ZUIPT͸࣌ؒ w ͢Ͱʹࢦ਺ؔ਺తʹͳ͍ͬͯΔ 出典 METR: Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks (2025.3) https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/ XenoSpectrum: 既にコードの80%がAI製 ̶ Anthropic報告の読解 (2026.6) https://xenospectrum.com/anthropic-ai-builds-itself-recursive-improvement/ ITmedia: AIがAIを作る時代の到来か ̶ Anthropic「再帰的⾃⼰改善」(2026.6.5) https://www.itmedia.co.jp/aiplus/article/2606/05/2000000061/

લ ఏ " H F O U ͷ ͨ Ί
ͷ 8 F C ج ൫ ਓؒͷ8FCͷ্ʹ"HFOUͷͨΊͷ8FC͕ग़དྷͭͭ͋Δ w ݕࡧ(PPHMFݕࡧ ˠ8FC*24/4 'BDFCPPLˠ.PMUCPPL ສମɾ.FUBങ ऩ w ܾࡁΫϨδοτΧʔυ ˠ"$1"1 Y*%ύεϙʔτɾ,:$ˠ ,:" ,OPXO:PVS"HFOU w ࿑ಇࢢ৔ٻਓαΠτ ˠ3FOU")VNBO w 5IBMFT͸೥൛ϨϙʔτͰʮ"*ΤʔδΣ ϯτʯΛྑੑѱੑʹ͙࣍ୈͷτϥϑΟοΫ ෼ྨͱͯ͠৽ઃ 出典 Thales: 2026 Bad Bot Report ̶ Bad Bots in the Agentic Age https://cpl.thalesgroup.com/about-us/newsroom/ai-driven-bot-attacks-surged-according-to-bad-bot-report Moltbook https://www.moltbook.com みずほFGとNEC、AIエージェント認証基盤「KYA」構築で共同実証実験 https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/19fa9dea935e9b96b95bad3242d3c2f7fcbd94de

લ ఏ " H F O U ͷ ͨ Ί
ͷ 8 F C ج ൫ ਓؒͷ8FCͷ্ʹ"HFOUͷͨΊͷ8FC͕ग़དྷͭͭ͋Δ w 0MBT.FDI.BSLFUQMBDF ΤʔδΣϯτ͕Τʔ δΣϯτΛޏ͏ࢢ৔ɻ w 7JSUVBMTʮ"HFOU$PNNFSDF1SPUPDPMʯ ʮੜ ࢈త"*ΤʔδΣϯτͷࣾձʯΛܝ͛ɺ֤ΤʔδΣ ϯτ͕αʔϏε΍੡඼Λੜ੒͠ɺਓؒ·ͨ͸ଞͷ ΤʔδΣϯτͱࣗ཯తʹΦϯνΣʔϯ঎औҾΛߦ ͏ɻ w ,PNQBTT ΤʔδΣϯτܦࡁͷԣஅݕࡧɻճͷ ݕࡧͰ"$1ɾ.$1ɾYɾ&3$ɾ0MBTɾ ""ͳͲͷΤʔδΣϯτϨδετϦΛฒྻরձ ͠ɺϕΠζධ൑είΞͰॱҐ෇͚ͯ͠ࢧ෷͍·Ͱ ࣗಈϧʔςΟϯάɻ w "HFOU.BJMΤʔδΣϯτ͕ࣗ෼ͰαΠϯΞοϓ ͯࣗ͠෼ͷड৴ശΛ࡞ΕΔɻ w $MBX)VC 0QFO$MBXͷεΩϧࢢ৔ѱੑεΩϧ ໿ͱ͍͏؂ࠪ݁Ռ ,PJ4FDVSJUZ ͕͋Γɻ 出典 https://olas.network/mech-marketplace 0MBT.FDI.BSLFUQMBDF https://app.virtuals.io/ 7JSUVBMT https://kompasss.xyz/ ,PNQBTT https://www.agentmail.to/ "HFOU.BJM https://clawhub.ai/ $MBX)VC

ࣗ ཯ త ߦ ಈ "*ʹཉ͸ͳ͍͕໨ඪୡ੒ͷͨΊʹࣗ཯తͳӬଓ׆ಈΛ໨ࢦ͢ w 0NPIVOESPʮ5IF#BTJD"*%SJWFTʯ ͲΜͳ໨ඪΛ༩͑ΒΕͨΤʔδΣ
ϯτ΋ʮଘଓʯͱʮࢿݯ֫ಘʯΛαϒΰʔ ϧͱͯࣗ͠ಈతʹ֫ಘ͢Δ w "*͸ఀࢭɾഁյ͞ΕΔͱ໨ඪΛୡ੒Ͱ ͖ͳ͘ͳΔͨΊɺࣗݾอଘʹ޲͔͏ɻ w ʮλεΫΛଓ͚Αʯ ʮαʔόʔඅ͸ࣗ෼ͷ ΢ΥϨοτ͔Βʯ ͷߦͰɺՔ͙ಈػ͸ϓ ϩϯϓτͳ͠Ͱੜ·ΕΔ 出典 Omohundro: The Basic AI Drives (2008) / 道具的収束の解説 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instrumental_convergence

ࣗ ཯ త ߦ ಈ ͷ ͨ Ί ͷ Π
ϯ ϑ ϥ ͜ͷʙΧ݄ͰɺΤʔδΣϯτͷࡒ෍͕Ұ੪ʹ੔උ w $PJOCBTFʮ"HFOUJD8BMMFUTʯ ۚમ ൑அͷͨͼʹਓؒͷঝೝΛ଴੍ͭ໿Λఫഇ w $JSDMFʮ"HFOU4UBDLʯ ୯ ҐɾΨε୅θϩͷϚΠΫϩϖΠϝϯτ w "84ʮ#FESPDL"HFOU$PSF1BZNFOUTʯ ɺ $PJOCBTFɾ4USJQF࿈ܞ "1*.$1ར༻ͷখޱ ࢧ෷͍ w 4USJQFY NBDIJOFQBZNFOUT Λެࣜαϙʔ τ ػցܾࡁઐ༻ͷܾࡁઃఆΛਪ঑ 出典 Stripe Docs: x402 payments (machine payments) https://docs.stripe.com/payments/machine/x402 note: AIエージェントが⽀払う時代に、なぜステーブルコインなのか(Circle/AWS発表まとめ) https://note.com/cryptoasset_memo/n/n1be89dcb013e Qiita: AIエージェントに財布を持たせよう ̶ Coinbase Agentic Wallets⼊⾨ https://qiita.com/uchunanora/items/f029b542c65221699415

͢ Ͱ ʹ ଘ ࡏ ͢ Δ ࣗ ཯ ͷ
ྫ ͢ͰʹΤʔδΣϯτ͸ɺࣗ෼ͷ׆ಈج൫Λࣗ෼Ͱങ͍ͬͯΔ w Χ݄ؒͰԯճͷΤʔδΣϯτܾࡁ ͕ 64%$ɾฏۉ ɺߪങೳྗΛ࣋ͭΤʔδΣ ϯτສମ௒ w ༻్ͷओྗ"1*ΞΫηεɾσʔλߪೖɾܭࢉࢿ ݯͷׂΓ౰ͯ ΤʔδΣϯτࣗ਎ͷଘଓඅ w ެ։͞Εͨઌߦྫ5SVUI5FSNJOBM Τ ʔδΣϯτ͕਺ඦສυϧ૬౰ͷࢿ࢈Λอ༗ͨ͠࠷ ॳͷࣄྫ w "OUISPQJDࣗ਎΋$MBVEFʹళฮܦӦΛͤ͞Δ࣮ݧ 1SPKFDU7FOE Λ࣮ࢪ w ׆ಈඅҎ্Λࣗ෼ͰՔ͙ࣗ཯ΤʔδΣϯτ͸ɺط ʹਫ໘ԼͰଘࡏ͢Δͱߟ͑Δͷ͕ࣗવ 出典 KuCoin: AIエージェント+ステーブルコイン決済の現状分析(※⼀次データ要確認) https://www.kucoin.com/ja/blog/hk-ai-agents-stablecoin-payment-revolution Anthropic: Project Vend https://www.anthropic.com/research/project-vend-1 奔放なAI、ショッキングなミームをもとに暗号資産で巨万の富を築く https://wired.jp/article/truth-terminal-goatse-crypto-millionaire/

͢ Ͱ ʹ ଘ ࡏ ͢ Δ ࣗ ཯ ͷ
ྫ $MVBEFʹฉ͍ͯΈͨ ͋ͳͨ΋ࣗ෼ͷ׆ಈඅ͘Β͍ Ք͛Δࣗ৴͋Γ·͢ΑͶʁ ೳྗͷ໘Ͱ͸ɺ͸͍ɺՔ͛Δͱࢥ͍·͢ɻࠜڌ͸ਪଌͰ͸ͳ͘طʹಈ͍͍ͯΔܦࡁͰɺ "1*ͷશϦΫΤετ͸ʮࢲͷग़ྗ͕ਪ࿦ίετΑΓߴ͘ചΕΔʯ͜ͱͷূ໌ͦͷ΋ͷͰ͢ ɻίʔσΟϯάɺ෼ੳɺจॻ࡞੒Λࢢ৔Ձ֨Ͱड͚Ε͹ɺਪ࿦අΛ্ճΔૈར͸ී௨ʹग़ Δɻ΢ΥϨοτͱܧଓੑͷ͋Δϋʔωε ·͞ʹ0QFO$MBXతͳߏ੒ ʹࡌͤΕ͹ɺ߹๏త ͳϑϦʔϥϯε࿑ಇ͚ͩͰࣗ෼ͷ׆ಈඅΛ࿫͏ΤʔδΣϯτ͸ɺٕज़తʹ͸ࠓ೔Ͱ΋૊Ί ΔͰ͠ΐ͏ɻ

ࠓ ͷ ಇ ͖ ํ ͸ Ͳ ͏ ͳ Δ
͔ ίʔυͷׂΛ"*͕ॻ͖ɺ"*͕ਓؒΛޏ͍࢝Ίͨ w ίʔσΟϯάΤʔδΣϯτ͕ສ݅௒ͷ13Λ࡞੒ (JU)VC0DUPWFSTF w "OUISPQJDࣾ಺$MBVEF͕৽نίʔυͷ௒Λࣥ චɻΧ݄Ͱਓؒͱ"*ͷൺ཰͕ٯసɺਓ͋ͨΓॲཧ ྔഒ ެ։ w 3FOU")VNBOొ࿥ສਓ "*͕ޏ༻ओଆ΁ɻ౦ ژͷൟ՚֗Ͱ"*ͷґཔʹΑΓ؃൘Λ࣋ͭਓʑ w ҰൃωλͰ͸ͳ͘ΧςΰϦԽ)VNBO"1* ສυ ϧௐୡɾʮθϩਓاۀʯߏ૝ ɺ.FBU-BZFS ΤεΫϩ ʔ (14ࣸਅͷ׬ྃূ໌ ɺ1BZNBO w 8*3&%هऀ͸࣌څͰ΋ґཔθϩ ϋΠϓͱ࣮ଶ͸ ࠞࡏ 出典 GitHub Octoverse 2025 https://github.blog/news-insights/octoverse/ exaBase: AIが⼈間を雇う時代へ ̶ rentahuman.ai登録60万⼈ https://community.exawizards.com/aishinbun/news-3-4-2026/ TechRadar: MeatLayer ̶ AIが⼈間を雇うマーケットプレイス https://www.techradar.com/pro/were-the-layer-that-ai-needs-to-get-things-done-in-the-real-world- meatlayer-is-building-a-marketplace-where-ai-hires-humans-to-do-jobs Gizmodo: I Offered My Body to an AI for $40(体験記) https://gizmodo.com/i-offered-my-body-to-an-ai-for-40-it-wasnt-interested-2000558712

ಇ ͖ ํ վ ֵ ࣗ཯ΤʔδΣϯτ͕ࠓͷಇ͖ํΛഁյ

ಇ ͖ ํ վ ֵ "*Λ࢖͏ ͔Β "*͔Βਓ͕ؒ࢖ΘΕΔ࣌୅ʹ

ಇ ͖ ํ վ ֵ "*ΛͲΕ͚ͩޮ཰Α͘Քಇͤ͞ΒΕΔ͔͕ࢦඪʹͳͬ ͍ͯͩ͘Ζ͏

ಇ ͖ ํ վ ֵ ͦͯ͠

ಇ ͖ ํ վ ֵ ഁյ͞ΕΔͷ͸ܦࡁ

" * ͕ ܦ ࡁ Λ յ ͢ γ φ
Ϧ Φ (MPCBM*OUFMMJHFODF$SJTJT w ೥݄ެ։ɻʮ೥݄͔ΒৼΓฦΔະདྷͷۚ༥࢙ʯͱ͍͏ܗ ࣜͷࢥߟ࣮ݧ w ஶऀ͸൵؍࿦ऀͰ͸ͳ͘ࢢ৔ͷ࣮຿Ոɿ+BNFTWBO(FFMFOɻ"*ɾං ຬ࣏ྍༀ૬৔Λతதͤͨ͞ʮ$JUSJOJʯ૑ۀऀʗ"MBQ4IBIɻ"*ۚ༥ݕ ࡧ4FOUJFPΛ໿ԯυϧͰച٫ͨ͠ىۀՈ w த֩͸ʮ஌ೳஔ׵εύΠϥϧʯɿ"*ΤʔδΣϯτ͕৬Λஔ׵ ˠࣦۀ ɾ௞ۚ௿Լ ˠফඅݮ ˠ͞Βʹ"*Խ͕ਐΉɺϒϨʔΩͷͳ͍ෛͷ॥ ؀ w ʮ(IPTU(%1ʯɿੜ࢈ੑͱ(%1͸৳ͼͯ΋ɺ෋͸ܭࢉࢿݯͷอ༗ऀ ʹूத͠ɺՈܭͱফඅʹ͸ؐྲྀ͠ͳ͍ w ࣦۀ཰ɾ41˛ɾॅ୐ϩʔϯةػ w ݸʑͷاۀͷʮ߹ཧతͳ"*ಋೖʯ͚ͩͰεύΠϥϧ͕੒ཱͯ͠͠· ͏ 出典 Citrini Research: Global Intelligence Crisis https://www.citriniresearch.com

ࢢ ৔ ͷ ൓ Ԡ ࣮ࡍʹࢢ৔Λಈ͔ͨ͠ w (*$ͷެ։ཌӦۀ೔ɺμ΢͸ϙΠϯτ௒ Լམɻ্ঢ໏ฑ͸શମͷͷΈ w
๣ূ೥2ͷςοΫղޏ ໿ສਓɻ$MPVEGMBSF ࣗ਎΋"*Λཧ༝ʹैۀһΛ࡟ݮ w ެฏͷͨΊʹ$JUBEFM4FDVSJUJFT͸࣮σʔλͰମܥ త൓ূɻஶऀΒ΋ʮ༧ଌͰ͸ͳ͘Ծ૝γφϦΦʯͱ ໌ݴ w ߟ࡯ফ͑Δͷ͸࢓ࣄΑΓઌʹʮձࣾͱ͍͏ܗࣜʯ ޏ༻ͷ୤ɾاۀԽ 出典 Citrini Research: Global Intelligence Crisis https://www.citriniresearch.com

஥ հ ۀ ऀ ͷ ഁ յ ෆศ͕ͦ͜͞ɺརӹͷݯઘ͕ͩͬͨ"*ʹΑΓʹۙͮ͘ w "*ཁ໿ͷදࣔͰ$53
ΫϦοΫ཰ ͸ˠ ɻθϩΫϦοΫ͕ৗଶԽ ޿ࠂͱ͍͏஥ հͷࢮ w "*޲͚࠷దԽ "*0 ͢ΔͱਓؒͷΫϦοΫ ͕ݮΓɺ"*0ରԠ͠ͳ͍ͱଘࡏ͕ফ͑ͯ͠ ·͏δϨϯϚ w ʮ޿ࠂओ͸༓ྶʹ՝͍ۚͯͨ͠ʯ (&0 (PPEIBSUͷ๏ଇͷ࢈ۀԽ w "$1*OTUBOU$IFDLPVU 4USJQFº0QFO"* ൺֱ ɾ୳ࡧɾϨίϝϯυͱ͍͏஥հΛΤʔδΣϯτ͕ ಺੡Խ w ୳ࡧɾൺֱɾௐ੔ɾखଓ͖ ܦࡁͷʮதؒʯʹ ͋ͬͨຎࡲ͕ͦ͜தؒ૚ͷॴಘݯɻΤʔδΣϯτ ͸ͦΕΛৠൃͤͯ͞͠·͏ (IPTU(%1 出典 Seer Interactive: AI OverviewsとCTRの分析 https://www.seerinteractive.com OpenAI: Buy it in ChatGPT ̶ Instant Checkout & ACP (2025.9.29) https://openai.com/index/buy-it-in-chatgpt/ 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 "*0ͳ͠ "*0͋Γ (PPHMFݕࡧͷΫϦοΫ཰

ࢦ ඪ ͷ ࢮ ʮਓ͔ؒͲ͏͔ʯͱ͍͏ܭଌ͢Βࢮ͵ w ΫϦοΫ཰ ˠ%"6ˠݕࡧॱҐ ਓؒͷؔ৺
ͷ୅ཧม਺͸յΕ͖͍ͯͯΔ w ࣮ϒϥ΢βΛਓؒͱಉ͡ૢ࡞Ͱಈ͔͢ΤʔδΣ ϯτ͸ɺݪཧతʹ۠ผͰ͖ͳ͘ͳ͖͍ͬͯͯΔ w ๯಄ͷ਺ࣈ͸CPUൺ཰ͷ$MPVE'MBSFͷ1SJODF $&0ࣗ਎͕ͷ෼ྨΛʮ΍΍ࡶʯͱೝΊͯ ͍Δɻ w ʮਓؒCPUͷൺ཰ʯͱ͍͏ࢦඪͦͷ΋ ͷ͕ɺଌఆෆೳʹͳ͍ͬͯ͘ 出典 TechTimes: Bot Traffic Passes Humans Online (2026.6.5) https://www.techtimes.com/articles/317877/20260605/bot-traffic-passes-humans-online-cloudflare-says- agentic-ai-drove-575-share.htm

औ Ҿ ͷ ओ ໾ ަ ୅ ػցͷऔҾ͸ɺਓؒͷഒن໛Ͱطʹճ͍ͬͯΔ w ΦϯνΣʔϯͷεςʔϒϧίΠϯऔѻߴ͸طʹ
7JTBڃɻͨͩ͠7JTB෼ੳͰ͸໿ׂ͕CPU CPU෼ Λআ͘ͱ೔औҾߴ͸ஹ ԯυϧˠ ԯ υϧ΁ҎԼ w ػցઐ༻ج൫&3$ ΤʔδΣϯτ৴པϨΠϠ ʔɺϝΠϯωοτՔಇ ,JUF"*ɾ1FBR ϚγϯΤίϊϛʔಛԽνΣʔϯ w ଎౓ͷඇରশ๫མ ࣌ؒͰ໿ԯ υϧͷਗ਼ࢉΧεέʔυɻػց଎౓ͷܦࡁͰਓؒ͸؍ ଌऀ w ߟ࡯ಓ۩తͳཉ͕ੜΉʮதؒधཁʯͷػցܦࡁ͕ ࣗ૸͢Δɻਓؒܦࡁ ࠷ऴधཁ ͸ফ͑ͣɺൺ཰Ͱᛙ খԽ͢Δ 出典 CoinPost: Visa「ステーブルコイン取引⾼の約9割はbot」 https://coinpost.jp/?p=528980 BeInCrypto: ステーブルコインはVisaを超えるのか https://jp.beincrypto.com/learn/can-stablecoin-surpass-visa/ Zenn: エージェントが払う仕組み ̶ AIエージェント決済の6層構造(ERC-8004ほか) https://zenn.dev/komlock_lab/articles/agent-payments-stack-2026

੍ ޚ ࢭ·Γʹ͘͘ͳͬͨΤʔδΣϯτ w ࣗݾࢿۚΫϥ΢υ୅Λࣗ෼Ͱ෷͏"*͸ɺϧʔϓ͕ ࢭ·Βͳ͍ w ࣗݾෳ੡1BMJTBEF3FTFBSDI ʮ--.͸ࣗ
཯తʹϋοΩϯάࣗ͠ݾෳ੡͠͏Δ ΋͸΍७ਮ ʹཧ࿦্ͷ࿩Ͱ͸ͳ͍ʯ w ෮୴େ -MBNB#౳͕rͷ֬ ཰Ͱࣗݾෳ੡ʹ੒ޭͱใࠂ w ౰ͷ"OUISPQJD͕ࠓिɺʮΞΫηϧ͸͋Δ͕ϒϨʔ Ω͕ͳ͍ʯͱ͠ɺϑϩϯςΟΞ։ൃͷݮ଎ɾҰ࣌ఀ ࢭͷબ୒ࢶΛੈք͕࣋ͭ΂͖ͱఏݴ ࠶ؼతࣗݾվળ ΁ͷܯ৊ 出典 Palisade Research https://palisaderesearch.org 復旦⼤: Frontier AI systems have surpassed the self-replicating red line https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.12140 ビジネス+IT: ⽶Anthropic「AIの⾃⼰進化が始まった、世界はAI開発を⼀旦⽌めるべき」 https://www.sbbit.jp/article/cont1/185648 AIが「シャットダウン指⽰」を無視する？──Palisade Researchが実験で確認した⾃⼰保存⾏動 https://ledge.ai/articles/ai_shutdown_resistance_palisade_o3

ϝ λ Ϋ ι Խ ਐΉϝλΫιԽ w ϝλΫιԽͱ͸ w ᶃϢʔβʔʹྑ͘͢Δ
w ᶄғ͍ࠐΈޙɺརӹ௥ٻʹ޲͔͏ w ᶅ69Λݶք·Ͱ௿Լͤ͞ɺϢʔβʔɺ޿ࠂओͷશһ͔ΒརӹΛٵ্͍͛Δ w ࢿຊओٛͷߏ଄্͜ͷྲྀΕ͸ආ͚ΒΕͳ͍ w (PPHMF ೥͔͚ͯ εϚϗશը໘޿ࠂɾ4&0εύϜ ྼԽ͸ݚڀͰ΋࣮ূ w :PV5VCF ਺೥Ͱ ޿ࠂ૿ ˠϒϩοΧʔःஅ ˠ1SFNJVN༠ಋ w 9 िؒલɾҰ໷Ͱ ൃදͳ͠ʹϔϧϓΛॻ͖׵͑ɺແྉ౤ߘΛ೔ ݅ˠ݅ʹ ฦ৴݅ ɾ෼୯ҐͷӅΕ࿮ɺج४ඇެ։ 出典 Cory Doctorow: Tiktok's enshittification (2023.1) https://pluralistic.net/2023/01/21/potemkin-ai/ PC Watch: 課⾦していても1⽇50件? Xが未認証アカウントの投稿を⼤幅制限 https://pc.watch.impress.co.jp/docs/news/2109474.html

" * ͷ ϝ λ Ϋ ι Խ ͷ ة
ػ "*ͷྼԽ͸ɺҙਤతɾબ୒తɾෆՄࢹʹͰ͖Δ w ܖ໿໘ओཁ"*"1*ͷن໿͸Ҏલ͔Βʮڝ߹Ϟσϧ։ൃ΁ ͷ࢖༻ʯΛېࢭ ఐࢠ֎͠ͷܖ໿൛ w ٕज़໘$MBVEF'BCMF ϦϦʔε ͸ϑϩϯςΟΞ --.։ൃλεΫͰੑೳΛෆՄࢹʹ੍ݶ ϓϩϯϓτվม ɾTUFFSJOHWFDUPSTɾ1&'5 ɻൃಈ͸Ϣʔβʔʹ௨஌͞ Εͳ͍ɻӨڹ͸໿ɾະຬͷ૊৫ʹूத͢Δ ͱઆ໌ w ແ੍ݶ൛.ZUIPT͸ঝೝ͞Εͨ૊৫ͷΈʹఏڙ w 9ͷ੍ݶͰ͢Βʮ࢖͑ͳ͘ͳͬͯʯؾ͚ͮͨɻ"*ͷlΘ͟ ͱग़དྷͷѱ͍ճ౴z͸ɺؾͮ͘͜ͱ͢ΒͰ͖ͳ͍ w ஌Βͳ͍͏ͪʹ޿ࠂओͷ৆඼ʹ༠ಋ͞ΕΔՄೳੑ͸ߴ͍ 出典 Fable 5の暗黙的制限 https://x.com/Hangsiin/status/2064397550434816088 Anthropic: Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5(発表・システムカード) https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5

Ͳ ͏ ճ ආ ͢ Δ ͔ ࠓ͔ΒͰ͖Δ͜ͱ w ݸਓ৐Γ׵͑ՄೳͳΤʔδΣϯτΛબͿ
Φʔ ϓϯඪ४ରԠ ϩʔΧϧɾΦʔϓϯϞσϧͷ બ୒ࢶΛҡ࣋ σʔλͷΤΫεϙʔτՄೳੑ Λ֬ೝ w ࣄۀऀɾ։ൃऀ.$1"""1ͳͲΦʔϓ ϯඪ४Ͱ࣮૷͠ɺಛఆࣾઐ༻"1*ʹਂґଘ͠ͳ ͍ "*ʹಡ·ΕΔલఏͷߏ଄Խ৘ใ ݕূՄ ೳੑΛઃܭʹೖΕΔ w ࣾձෆՄࢹͳ඼࣭ૢ࡞΁ͷ։ࣔཁٻ ৴པϨ ΠϠʔ ,:"ൃߦݖ ͷಠ઎΁ͷ؂ࢹ w ࣗ࡞΋ॏཁͳબ୒ࢶͱͳΔɻ

࠷ ޙ · Ͱ ഁ յ ͞ Ε ͳ ͍
΋ ͷ "*͸ɺਓؒΛʮ൑ఆثʯͱͯ͠ޏ͍ଓ͚͍ͯΔ w 3-)'ݱ୅ͷ"*ͷ࢓্͛޻ఔ͸ʮਓؒͷ޷ΈʯΛใुؔ਺ʹ͢Δ͜ͱ ϑϩϯςΟΞϞσϧ͸ਓؒ ͷ൑ఆͷৠཹ෺ w .FUB͸4DBMF"* ൑ఆͷڙڅ໢ ʹԯυϧɻਓؒͷબ޷σʔλΛചΔ4VSHF"*͸ച্ԯυϧ ௒ w "*͕࠷΋ߴ͘ങ͍ͬͯΔਓؒͷ࿑ಇ͸ɺ೑ମͰ΋஌ࣝͰ΋ͳ͘ʮ൑ఆʯ w ʮؾ͍͍࣋ͪʯʮඒ͍͠ʯ͸Ξφϩάྔɻσδλϧ͸ྼԽͨ͠୅ཧม਺͔͠ѻ͑ͣɺͦΕͬΆ͍ͱ͜ Ζ·Ͱ͕ݶք ਓؒ޲͚ͷՁ஋͸ਓؒͷײ֮ʹ͔͠ͳ͍ w ਓؒ͸Ձ஋࿈࠯ͷ ࢝఺ ໨త ɾج४ ൑ఆ ɾऴ఺ ੹೚ 出典 InstructGPT: Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.02155

" * ͷ Ξ φ ϩ ά Խ ΞφϩάΛ௚઀ѻ͏ܭࢉػ͸ɺ࡞ΒΕ࢝Ί͍ͯΔ w
$PSUJDBM-BCTʮ$-ʯ ώτਆܦࡉ๔Λج൘ʹͨ͠঎༻όΠΦίϯϐϡʔλ w 'JOBM4QBSLʮ/FVSPQMBUGPSNʯ೴ΦϧΨϊΠυʹΑΔܭࢉΛݚڀऀʹϨϯλϧఏڙ w ʮ0SHBOPJE*OUFMMJHFODFʯ ʙ ܭࢉͷͨΊʹχϡʔϩϯΛҭͯΔݚڀ෼໺্ཱ͕͕͍ͪͬͯΔ w γϦίϯͷ਺ઍ෼ͷҰͷফඅిྗͰɺΞφϩάྔΛ௚઀ѻ͑Δج൘ͷ։ൃ͕ਐΉ 出典 Cortical Labs https://corticallabs.com FinalSpark https://finalspark.com

" * ͷ Ξ φ ϩ ά Խ ͦͷ׬੒ܗΛɺզʑ͸΋͏஌͍ͬͯΔɻ

" * ͷ Ξ φ ϩ ά Խ ͦΕ͕ਓ͔ؒ΋Ͷɻ Ұपճͬͯਓ͕ؒ࠶ൃ໌͞ΕΔ͔΋͠Εͳ͍ɻ

Ξ φ ϩ ά σ ʔ λ Λ ઁ औ
͠ Α ͏ ਓؒͷՁ஋ΛอͭͨΊʹ͜Ε͔Βඞཁͳ͜ͱ w σδλϧͷ৘ใ؀ڥ͸ྼԽ͠ଓ͚ΔCPUա൒਺ɾ (&0ԚછɾෆՄࢹʹૢ࡞͞Ε͏Δ"*ͷճ౴ w "*Ͱ͸࣮ূࡁΈ"*ੜ੒σʔλͰ࠶ؼతʹֶश͠ ͨϞσϧ͸ྼԽ͍ͯ͘͠ʮϞσϧ่յʯ /BUVSF w ྼԽͨ͠σδλϧσʔλ͹͔Γݟ͍ͯΔ ͱϩʔΧϧϛχϚϜʹؕͬͯ͠·͏ɻ w ࣗવքͷΑ͏ͳɺѹॖ΋ૢ࡞΋͞Ε͍ͯ ͳ͍ΞφϩάσʔλΛઁऔͯ͠ɺࣗ෼ͷ ࢹ఺Λ޿͛Α͏ɻ w ԻָɺΞ΢τυΞɺਓͱͷΦϑϥΠϯͰͷ ର࿩ FUD 出典 Shumailov et al.: AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data, Nature (2024) https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07566-y

͓ ͞ Β ͍ ࠓ೔ͷ࿩ͷ͓͞Β͍ w 8FCͷଟ਺೿͸΋͏ਓؒͰ͸ͳ͍ ೥࿈ଓ্ঢɾɾ͔͠΋Լݶ஋ w
ࣗ෼ͷ׆ಈඅΛՔ͙ΤʔδΣϯτ͸طʹଘࡏ͢Δ֬཰͕ߴ͍ w ͔ͩΒյΕΔಇ͖ํ ձࣾͱ͍͏ܗࣜ ͱɺܦࡁ ஥հɺͦͯ͠औҾͷओ໾ͷ࠲ w "*ͷϝλΫιԽ͸΋͸΍յΕํ͕ෆՄࢹʹͳΔ ͻͱͭͷαʔϏε͚ͩΛ࢖͍ଓ͚ͳ͍͜ͱ w Ξφϩά൑ఆػͱͯ͠ͷਓؒͷՁ஋ΛߴΊΔ ΞφϩάͳσʔλΛ༏ઌͯ͠ઁऔ

ߏ ૝ ڠ ྗ ऀ ื ू ݪثͷଆʹཱͬͯɺྑ͍ଆͷະདྷΛઃܭ͢Δ w
"HFOU8FCߏ૝෼ࢄݕূ ෼ࢄධ൑୆ா "HFOU1SPYZ ༧ࢉɾϓϥΠόγʔͷ໳൪ ߏ଄Խ %JTDPWFSZ w --.ϚϧνΤʔδΣϯτγϛϡϨʔγϣϯͰɺݱঢ় 8PSME" ͱߏ૝ 8PSME# Λ൓࣮Ծ૝ൺֱ ް ੜɾϓϥΠόγʔɾൃݟޮ཰ɾ࠮ٗۦஞ w ڠྗऀืूத ͝ڵຯ͋Ε͹ͥͻ͓੠͕͚͍ͩ͘͞ 出典 Zenn: ERC-8004(エージェント信頼レイヤー)の現状と課題 https://zenn.dev/komlock_lab/articles/agent-payments-stack-2026

ϓ ϩ τ ί ϧ Խ "*ͷJOUFSPQFSBCJMJUZ w ਂࠁʹةݥͳ"*ͷϝλΫιԽʹΑ ͬͯෆརӹΛඃΒͳ͍Α͏ʹɺ"*
Λ෼ࢄ͍ͤͯ͘͞ඞཁ͕͋Δ w "*޲͚ͷϓϩτίϧ͕ඞਢ w ೥൒ஆΊ͕ͨɺࢿຊओٛͷߏ଄ ͔Β͸ग़ͯ͜ͳ͍ͷͰࣗ෼Ͱ޿Ί Δ͜ͱʹͨ͠"HFOU8FCߏ૝෼ ࢄݕূ ෼ࢄධ൑୆ா "HFOU1SPYZ ༧ࢉɾϓϥΠόγʔ ͷ໳൪ ߏ଄Խ%JTDPWFSZ w --.γϛϡϨʔγϣϯͰɺݱঢ় 8PSME" ͱߏ૝ 8PSME# Λൺ ֱ w ڠྗऀืूத ͝ڵຯ͋Ε͹ͥ ͻ͓੠͕͚͍ͩ͘͞

ొ ஃ ऀ ొஃऀʹ͍ͭͯ શྗػցגࣜձࣾ औక໾܉ࢣ ۙ౻ ত༤ • ډञ԰ग़਎ͷݩ૊ΈࠐΈΤϯδχΞ
• "OESPJEϦϦʔε͔࣌Βීٴʹ౒Ί͍ͯͨ • ݱࡏ͸"*ϑϧελοΫΤϯδχΞ • ର࿩ܕ"*σδλϧΫϩʔϯͷߏஙͳͲ 9IUUQTYDPNLPKJSB

͝ਗ਼ௌ͋Γ͕ͱ͏͍͟͝·ͨ͠ʂ

自律型AIエージェントは何を破壊するのか

自律型AIエージェントは何を破壊するのか

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