Learning to Learn From Disagreement

Slides from Stir Trek 2017

Transcript

1. Learning To Learn From Disagreement Tommy Graves
2. Who am I?
4. The Epistemology of Disagreement
5. Guiding Questions 1. Why do people disagree? 2. What is the rational response to disagreement? 3. What is the correct response to disagreement?
6. Why do people disagree? You tell me!
7. Why do people disagree? Different evidence Different levels of expertise Different approaches Different levels of intelligence* Different fundamental frameworks Different backgrounds
8. How do people form their beliefs?
9. Why do people get things wrong? Conjunction Fallacy Framing Effect Dunning-Kruger Effect Backfire Effect IKEA Effect Bias Blind Spot
10. What is the rational response to disagreement? Different approaches Different evidence Different levels of expertise Different levels of intelligence* Different fundamental frameworks Different backgrounds
11. “How likely is it (before I find out they disagree with me) that they will get the answer correct on this question?” In past cases of disagreement, how often have they been right? How often have I been right?
12. We often are not in a good enough place to independently determine who is right.
13. What is the correct response to disagreement?
14. We often think that questions are rational in nature when they are in fact practical questions.
15. It’s about trust
16. “Use the phrase “disagree and commit.” This phrase will save a lot of time. If you have conviction on a particular direction even though there’s no consensus, it’s helpful to say, “Look, I know we disagree on this but will you gamble with me on it? Disagree and commit?” By the time you’re at this point, no one can know the answer for sure, and you’ll probably get a quick yes.” -Jeff Bezos 2016 Letter to Shareholders
17. Thanks!