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The History Of Television Through A Series Of Tubes (SeanCon 2014)

Ellen Shapiro
PRO
July 26, 2014
71

The History Of Television Through A Series Of Tubes (SeanCon 2014)

A brief history of television, as delivered via cables and the internets.

Special thanks to Keynote for making the deck super-legible with my presenter notes.

Talk from SeanCon, 2014: A conference of Thought Leadership™ and tacos. http://seancon.biz

Ellen Shapiro
PRO

July 26, 2014
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Transcript

  1. The History Of
    Television Through
    A Series Of Tubes
    Or: Why You Can’t Just Pay For
    HBO Go And Be Done With It

    View Slide

  2. A Little Personal History: AKA, Why Am I Talking
    About This?
    • My father is George Shapiro, a cable lawyer from
    1964-1999, and a member of the National Cable and
    Telecommunications Association’s Cable TV Pioneers.
    • I worked in television production in LA for 7 years before I
    rage-quit to become a software engineer.
    • I still watch a metric fuckton of television.
    Dad’s oral history (and he rambles worse than I do): http://www.cablecenter.org/barco-library-hauser-oral-history/item/shapiro-george.html

    View Slide

  3. I’ve almost maxed out
    my six(!) tuner TiVo.
    I have to make a spreadsheet
    just to keep track of it all.

    View Slide

  4. The First Tubes Of Television: 1948
    • Tons of television stations existed, but you needed line-
    of-sight to be able to receive a signal.
    • Entrepreneurs stuck towers on top of mountains to get
    signals from cities over the mountains, then ran coaxial
    cable back down to towns that didn’t get signal, selling
    access.

    View Slide

  5. By 1952, 70 “cable” systems
    served 14,000 subscribers.
    The only thing missing in this diagram is
    the mountain the antenna should be
    sitting on top of.
    http://leightronix.com/blog/the-evolution-of-television-delivery/

    View Slide

  6. The 50’s: Wiring Bumblefuck
    • These small CATV systems proliferated throughout rural
    and remote areas of the country, or places with a lot of
    mountains.
    • This led to my favorite tick of my dad’s, “Oh! I used to
    represent a cable system there!”

    View Slide

  7. 50’s era descriptions of the
    utopia of subscription TV Nominal fees, you guys!
    http://www.messynessychic.com/2014/06/09/the-forgotten-firsts-10-vintage-versions-of-modern-technology/
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct-view_bistable_storage_tube#Skiatron

    View Slide

  8. The 60’s: There’s Money In Them There Hills!
    • As these cable systems began to proliferate, larger
    companies began to realize that there was profit to be
    had, and began buying up chains of these stations.
    • Companies began to push to get cable into major cities,
    so that you could get a consistent signal without having to
    futz with your antenna all the time.
    • Some areas were able to use microwave transmissions to
    get television broadcasts from even further away, and
    route them into the same system as the local stations,
    and charge additional money for them.

    View Slide

  9. A microwave tower built
    in 1961 in the Catskills
    It probably looked a little better
    than this when it was first built.
    http://dftscript.blogspot.com/2014/06/balsam-lake-mountain-and-graham.html
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balsam_Lake_Mountain

    View Slide

  10. The 70’s: Superstations and Cable-Exclusive
    Channels
    • As cable subscriptions grew, particularly in urban areas,
    cable system owners began to realize they had both
    room and demand for more than just carrying more
    reliable signals of local channels.
    • “Superstations” of local stations getting on satellite like
    WGN and TBS arose, giving access to more
    programming from distant cities.

    View Slide

  11. Small networks designed to be
    delivered exclusively via Cable
    like HBO and ESPN started up.
    This is the original HBO logo
    used from 1972-1975.

    View Slide

  12. The 80’s and early 90’s: MOAR CHANNELZ
    • As cable companies became able to send digital signals
    instead of just analog, they were able to carry hundreds
    of channels.
    • They also figured out they could charge you more for
    digital channels, because while they actually took up less
    bandwidth, they came through more clearly.

    View Slide

  13. This was when you started seeing
    cable boxes, instead of just a coax
    cable you could plug into your TV.
    You had to be able to decode
    the digital encoding of the signal.

    View Slide

  14. The Arrival of the Internets: DOCSIS 1.0
    • Stands for Data Over Cable Service Interface
    Specification, v1.0 was adopted in 1997 (though some
    modems were manufactured earlier)
    • Allowed the same line to carry television and data signals,
    and have the data easily separated out by the modem.

    View Slide

  15. From a 1997 Berkeley report: “Modems
    compliant with the specification will be
    able to deliver data to users at a
    minimum rate of 27 Mbps.”
    Only marginally less ugly and
    slightly slower than what we use
    today!

    View Slide

  16. The Telecommunications Act Of 1996
    • Among other spectacularly bad ideas, basically took
    away all limits on ownership of cable systems and
    studios.
    • The same company could now own the studio that made
    a show, the network that aired it, and the cable system
    that delivered that network to a viewer’s home.
    • This led to a giant wave of consolidation in the media
    industry, which continues to this day…

    View Slide

  17. ..when Comcast trying to buy
    out Time Warner Cable. This
    would be the resulting map.
    And Comcast also has a large
    stake in Midcontinent, the largest
    cable provider in the Dakotas.
    http://www.webpagefx.com/blog/internet/who-controls-the-internet-a-state-by-state-look/

    View Slide

  18. The 2000’s: Torrents of Information
    • As internet speeds increased, people were able to
    transfer more and more data. While initial concerns were
    about the pirating of music, they quickly grew to pirating
    of video.
    • TVTorrents.net and its successor, EZTV.it allowed easy
    searching of torrents of episodes and even entire
    seasons of television.

    View Slide

  19. The industry’s initial response
    was predictably stupid, like
    this ad from Australia.
    Extra irony points: The producers
    of this ad were accused of
    pirating the song used in it.
    http://www.webpagefx.com/blog/internet/who-controls-the-internet-a-state-by-state-look/

    View Slide

  20. The Better Response: Hulu
    • NBCUniversal Television Group, Fox Broadcasting
    Company, Disney-ABC Television Group, and a bunch of
    venture capitalists decided to start Hulu in 1997 to take
    the clear interest in TV on the Internets and try to make
    *some* profit out of it.
    • Hulu’s been a mixed bag of success financially, partly
    because some content partners have been trying to keep
    their most valuable shows on their own websites so they
    can keep all of the ad revenue.

    View Slide

  21. The Writer’s Guild Strike of 2007-8
    • Writers, actors, and directors are all paid “residuals” for
    whatever they’ve worked on, recognizing that their work
    continues to have value for the company which made it
    • The percentages differ based on what the medium is
    showing your work. Super high rates for Network TV,
    lower for cable, and sliding lower and lower and lower
    until you got to the lowly internet.

    View Slide

  22. The Writer’s Guild Strike of 2007-8
    • The Writer’s guild saw clearly that people wanted to get
    their programming through the Internet, and decided to
    try and get the residuals rate for programs transmitted via
    means like Hulu increased.
    • The studios and networks also saw that people wanted
    to get their programming through the Internet, but
    wanted to keep their insanely favorable deal.

    View Slide

  23. So the writers struck for
    about three and a half
    months.
    Myself and pretty much
    everyone I worked with were out
    of work during the strike.
    http://www.webpagefx.com/blog/internet/who-controls-the-internet-a-state-by-state-look/

    View Slide

  24. The Writer’s Guild Strike of 2007-8
    • This strike is generally regarded as a pretty spectacular
    failure - it was widely anticipated, so production wasn’t
    actually shut down for all that long, and the stockpiling
    studios did before the strike kept writers on the bench for
    some time.
    • Because the strike locked in the idea that residuals for
    streams or downloads of a show should be very low, it
    basically had the opposite effect of its intention.

    View Slide

  25. Recent Innovations: Netflix Streams and Gets
    Original
    • As more and more people signed up for faster and faster
    internet through both cable companies and fiber-optic
    providers like Verizon FiOS, Netflix realized it could start
    streaming anything it could get the rights to.
    • As companies caught onto how much money Netflix was
    making, they started jacking up renewal agreement fees
    and/or refusing to renew at all, which is why the quality of
    available movies and TV shows kind of went through the
    floor.
    http://documents.latimes.com/abc-vs-aereo/

    View Slide

  26. Netflix figured out to keep
    subscribers interested, they
    needed original content.
    (I’ve only seen through episode 2
    of this season, NO SPOILERS
    PLZ!!!!)
    http://www.webpagefx.com/blog/internet/who-controls-the-internet-a-state-by-state-look/

    View Slide

  27. Recent Innovations: ABC vs. Aereo, 2014
    • Cable companies now have to pay retransmission fees in
    order to carry broadcast content, since that content is
    copyrighted.
    • Aereo was a startup whose idea was to put a bunch of tiny
    antennas on buildings in large cities, then stream the content
    received over the air to individuals paying them for this service.
    • Aereo’s argument was that each individual was “renting” each
    antenna, so they didn’t have to pay any retransmission fees -
    each person was individually receiving the broadcast, they
    totally weren’t retransmitting it!
    http://documents.latimes.com/abc-vs-aereo/

    View Slide

  28. Recent Innovations: ABC vs. Aereo, 2014
    • This argument failed hard. The Supreme Court, in an
    opinion by Steven Breyer essentially called bullshit on
    Aereo’s argument, but in a more Supreme Court-y
    fashion.
    • [Quoting the Copyright act of 1976]: ’The concept of
    public performance covers not only the initial public
    rendition or showing, but also any further act by which
    that rendition or showing is transmitted or communicated
    to the public.’
    http://documents.latimes.com/abc-vs-aereo/

    View Slide

  29. The ABC vs. Aereo
    decision, simplified. (copyright the entire internet)

    View Slide

  30. JUST TELL ME WHY I HAVE TO HAVE CABLE TO
    GET HBO GO
    • Since everyone who “retransmits” a program in any way,
    shape or form has to have purchased a license to do so,
    content owners can only license to groups that have enough
    money to buy that license.
    • Because cable companies have a monopoly on this type of
    distribution due to industry consolidation, they can basically
    dictate terms to content owners who are not part of their
    corporate conglomerate.
    • With Time Warner Cable being bought out by Comcast, HBO
    (which is owned by Time Warner) is even more at the mercy of
    the cable companies.

    View Slide

  31. JUST TELL ME WHY I HAVE TO HAVE CABLE TO
    GET HBO GO
    • Basically, HBO is afraid that if they sell HBO Go
    separately from a cable subscription, every cable
    company in America will drop them like a hot rock.
    • There just aren’t enough cord-cutters who are able/willing
    to pay enough for HBO Go alone to make it worth taking
    that risk…
    • …YET.

    View Slide

  32. View Slide