everything’s normal jump to conclusions create storyline go with the flow things make sense business as usual system 2 pay attention! WTF! Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow
everything’s normal jump to conclusions create storyline go with the flow things make sense business as usual system 2 pay attention! WTF! look closely calculate carefully check for mistakes make plans Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow
everything’s normal jump to conclusions create storyline go with the flow things make sense business as usual system 2 pay attention! WTF! look closely calculate carefully check for mistakes make plans deliberate action Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow
everything’s normal jump to conclusions create storyline go with the flow things make sense business as usual system 2 pay attention! WTF! look closely calculate carefully check for mistakes make plans deliberate action I’m tired. Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow
much does the ball cost if the bat is $1.00 more than the ball? If 5 machines can make 5 widgets in 5 minutes, how long will it take for 100 machines to make 100 widgets?
much does the ball cost if the bat is $1.00 more than the ball? If 5 machines can make 5 widgets in 5 minutes, how long will it take for 100 machines to make 100 widgets? If the lily ponds growing on a pond double in area every day, and it takes 48 days to cover the whole pond, on what day will the lily pads cover half of the pond?
must be true! ! Familiarity effect: The more I see of Donald Trump, the more I like him! ! Dramatic instances effect: I’ll pay more for insurance against death by terrorism than against death in general.
must be true! ! Familiarity effect: The more I see of Donald Trump, the more I like him! ! Dramatic instances effect: I’ll pay more for insurance against death by terrorism than against death in general. ! Confirmation bias: I keep seeing confirmation of my beliefs!
for women’s rights in college. Which is more likely to be true about her? A. She works at a bank. B. She is a feminist who works at a bank. The Conjunction Fallacy
I praise them for their efforts, they do less well afterward. But when they do poorly and I yell at them, their playing soon improves. Thus positive reinforcement does not work, but yelling does.
I praise them for their efforts, they do less well afterward. But when they do poorly and I yell at them, their playing soon improves. Thus positive reinforcement does not work, but yelling does. The Base Rate Fallacy
cancer has found that: A. Some rural counties have lower than average rates of this cancer among their residents. B. Some rural counties have higher than average rates of this cancer among their residents.
cancer has found that: A. Some rural counties have lower than average rates of this cancer among their residents. B. Some rural counties have higher than average rates of this cancer among their residents. How can we explain this?
cancer has found that: A. Some rural counties have lower than average rates of this cancer among their residents. B. Some rural counties have higher than average rates of this cancer among their residents. How can we explain this? Insensitivity to Sample Size