Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Avatar for Allen Downey Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
160

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Avatar for Allen Downey

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020
Tweet

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
Avatar for Allen Downey allendowney
0
140

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
CSC307 Lecture 06
Avatar for Javier Gonzalez-Sanchez javiergs
PRO
0
670
Unicodeどうしてる？ PHPから見たUnicode対応と他言語での対応についてのお伺い
Avatar for てきめん tekimen youkidearitai
PRO
1
1k
Denoのセキュリティに関する仕組みの紹介 (toranoana.deno #23)
Avatar for uki00a uki00a
0
270
副作用をどこに置くか問題：オブジェクト指向で整理する設計判断ツリー
Avatar for Koya Masuda koxya
1
560
[AI Engineering Summit Tokyo 2025] LLMは計画業務のゲームチェンジャーか？ 最適化業務における活⽤の可能性と限界
Avatar for terry-u16 terryu16
2
600
責任感のあるCloudWatchアラームを設計しよう
Avatar for アキキー akihisaikeda
3
130
GISエンジニアから見たLINKSデータ
Avatar for nokonoko1203 nokonoko1203
0
200
組織で育むオブザーバビリティ
Avatar for ryotaro kobayashi ryota_hnk
0
160
LLM Observabilityによる 対話型音声AIアプリケーションの安定運用
Avatar for Hiroyuki Moriya gekko0114
2
410
Package Management Learnings from Homebrew
Avatar for Mike McQuaid mikemcquaid
0
120
CSC307 Lecture 03
Avatar for Javier Gonzalez-Sanchez javiergs
PRO
1
480
SourceGeneratorのススメ
Avatar for tkym htkym
0
170

Featured

See All Featured
Raft: Consensus for Rubyists
Avatar for Patrick Van Stee vanstee
141
7.3k
Imperfection Machines: The Place of Print at Facebook
Avatar for Scott Boms scottboms
269
14k
Visualizing Your Data: Incorporating Mongo into Loggly Infrastructure
Avatar for mongodb mongodb
49
9.8k
JavaScript: Past, Present, and Future - NDC Porto 2020
Avatar for David Neal reverentgeek
52
5.8k
Evolving SEO for Evolving Search Engines
Avatar for Ryan Jones ryanjones
0
110
Documentation Writing (for coders)
Avatar for Carmen Chung carmenintech
77
5.2k
The Curse of the Amulet
Avatar for Matthew Lei leimatthew05
1
7.9k
jQuery: Nuts, Bolts and Bling
Avatar for Doug Neiner dougneiner
65
8.4k
Fireside Chat
Avatar for paigeccino paigeccino
41
3.8k
Between Models and Reality
Avatar for mayunak mayunak
1
180
Embracing the Ebb and Flow
Avatar for Simon Collison colly
88
5k
[SF Ruby Conf 2025] Rails X
Avatar for Vladimir Dementyev palkan
0
730

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None