Upgrade to Pro
— share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …
Speaker Deck
Features
Speaker Deck
PRO
Sign in
Sign up for free
Search
Search
Bayesian Statistics Made Simple
Search
Sponsored
·
SiteGround - Reliable hosting with speed, security, and support you can count on.
→
Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
160
Bayesian Statistics Made Simple
An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.
Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Tweet
Share
More Decks by Allen Downey
See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
allendowney
0
140
Other Decks in Programming
See All in Programming
ゆくKotlin くるRust
exoego
1
220
AIエージェント、”どう作るか”で差は出るか? / AI Agents: Does the "How" Make a Difference?
rkaga
4
1.9k
LLM Observabilityによる 対話型音声AIアプリケーションの安定運用
gekko0114
2
410
20260127_試行錯誤の結晶を1冊に。著者が解説 先輩データサイエンティストからの指南書 / author's_commentary_ds_instructions_guide
nash_efp
0
780
2026年 エンジニアリング自己学習法
yumechi
0
120
責任感のあるCloudWatchアラームを設計しよう
akihisaikeda
3
130
【卒業研究】会話ログ分析によるユーザーごとの関心に応じた話題提案手法
momok47
0
180
Architectural Extensions
denyspoltorak
0
250
Basic Architectures
denyspoltorak
0
640
プロダクトオーナーから見たSOC2 _SOC2ゆるミートアップ#2
kekekenta
0
160
16年目のピクシブ百科事典を支える最新の技術基盤 / The Modern Tech Stack Powering Pixiv Encyclopedia in its 16th Year
ahuglajbclajep
5
940
ELYZA_Findy AI Engineering Summit登壇資料_AIコーディング時代に「ちゃんと」やること_toB LLMプロダクト開発舞台裏_20251216
elyza
2
1.3k
Featured
See All Featured
職位にかかわらず全員がリーダーシップを発揮するチーム作り / Building a team where everyone can demonstrate leadership regardless of position
madoxten
55
49k
The Invisible Side of Design
smashingmag
302
51k
Code Review Best Practice
trishagee
74
20k
JAMstack: Web Apps at Ludicrous Speed - All Things Open 2022
reverentgeek
1
320
Art, The Web, and Tiny UX
lynnandtonic
304
21k
Navigating Team Friction
lara
192
16k
Refactoring Trust on Your Teams (GOTO; Chicago 2020)
rmw
35
3.3k
Imperfection Machines: The Place of Print at Facebook
scottboms
269
14k
Making the Leap to Tech Lead
cromwellryan
135
9.7k
ピンチをチャンスに:未来をつくるプロダクトロードマップ #pmconf2020
aki_iinuma
128
55k
Unsuck your backbone
ammeep
671
58k
Understanding Cognitive Biases in Performance Measurement
bluesmoon
32
2.8k
Transcript
None
None
None
None
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg
None
None
• •
None
None
None
None
None
None
01_cookie.ipynb
None
Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4
unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =
unnorm / prob_data
None
01_cookie.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
02_euro.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
02_euro.ipynb
None
None
None
None
• • •
02_euro.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790
None
None
None
03_bandit.ipynb
03_bandit.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
03_bandit.ipynb
None
None
None
thinkbayes.com
None
thinkstats2.com
None
[email protected]
/blog github website twitter email blog
None
None
None
None