Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
140

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020
Tweet

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
allendowney
0
130

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
ARA Ansible for the teams
kksat
0
150
『品質』という言葉が嫌いな理由
korimu
0
160
AIの力でお手軽Chrome拡張機能作り
taiseiue
0
170
富山発の個人開発サービスで日本中の学校の業務を改善した話
krpk1900
4
390
PHP ステートレス VS ステートフル 状態管理と並行性 / php-stateless-stateful
ytake
0
100
SpringBoot3.4の構造化ログ #kanjava
irof
2
1k
なぜイベント駆動が必要なのか - CQRS/ESで解く複雑系システムの課題 -
j5ik2o
10
3.7k
動作確認やテストで漏れがちな観点3選
starfish719
6
1k
バックエンドのためのアプリ内課金入門 (サブスク編)
qnighy
8
1.8k
Pulsar2 を雰囲気で使ってみよう
anoken
0
240
Formの複雑さに立ち向かう
bmthd
1
850
ソフトウェアエンジニアの成長
masuda220
PRO
10
1.1k

Featured

See All Featured
ReactJS: Keep Simple. Everything can be a component!
pedronauck
666
120k
We Have a Design System, Now What?
morganepeng
51
7.4k
The Language of Interfaces
destraynor
156
24k
The Illustrated Children's Guide to Kubernetes
chrisshort
48
49k
Building an army of robots
kneath
303
45k
個人開発の失敗を避けるイケてる考え方 / tips for indie hackers
panda_program
100
18k
Keith and Marios Guide to Fast Websites
keithpitt
411
22k
GitHub's CSS Performance
jonrohan
1030
460k
YesSQL, Process and Tooling at Scale
rocio
172
14k
StorybookのUI Testing Handbookを読んだ
zakiyama
28
5.5k
Music & Morning Musume
bryan
46
6.3k
What’s in a name? Adding method to the madness
productmarketing
PRO
22
3.3k

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None