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Modeling Football Results Using Match-specific Covariates

by MunichDataGeeks

Published October 8, 2016 in Science

A model for results of football matches is proposed that is able to take into account match-specifi c covariates as, for example, the total distance a team runs in the specifi c match. The model extends the Bradley-Terry model in many diff erent ways. In addition to the inclusion of covariates, it considers ordered response values and (possibly team-speci fic) home e ffects. Penalty terms are used to reduce the complexity of the model and to find clusters of teams with equal covariate effects.