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Our Future Data Challenge

Our Future Data Challenge

Data Science Weekend roadshow event

Ramda Yanurzha

November 19, 2016
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  1. The polls missed Donald Trump’s election. Individual polls missed, at

    the state level and nationally. So did aggregated polls. So did poll-based forecasts such as ours. And so did exit polls. FiveThirtyEight
  2. For every data point, there is an actual person. Sampling

    error Coverage error Measurement error Non-response error Tale as old as time.
  3. The appeal override the cautions. “They're not predicting the future.

    What they're actually predicting is where the next recorded police observations are going to occur.”
  4. Our Future Data Challenge to not only ask for better

    data, but also to refine questions, acknowledge biases, communicate results