Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan

A357616c0a9197fccbaf5aceb92d94f3?s=47 Yuren Ju
October 30, 2016

Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan

A357616c0a9197fccbaf5aceb92d94f3?s=128

Yuren Ju

October 30, 2016
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  1. Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan Appendectomy Project Yuren Ju

    https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1zsUfYicpPuQk9SOvmBRWNxciX8HCUlmsg_5cZkqwO-s
  2. Fork and Merge an Open Government: Experiments of g0v in

    Taiwan g0v@Stanford Talk
  3. • Yuren Ju, • Contributor of g0v • Web front-end

    engineer in Appendectomy Project
  4. Do you know who has been recalled in California?

  5. A lot. http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/recalls/complete-list-recall-attempts/

  6. Gray Davis, California gubernatorial recall election, 2003

  7. http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/1996-primary/special-election-results.pdf

  8. Do you know how to recall a state officer in

    California?
  9. Notice of Intention at least 10 people

  10. 6 months to get petition signatures

  11. 12% of the last vote for the office e.g. needs

    12,352 signatures if last vote is 102,926 (Election for recall Paul Horcher, California State Assembly, 1995)
  12. Petition signatures 12,352 / 6 months / 30 days ~=

    68 signatures / per day
  13. Election for recall Vote “Yes” > 50%

  14. How about in Taiwan?

  15. Notice of Intention Proposer

  16. Recap, Notice of Intention in CA at least 10 people

  17. Proposer in Taiwan > 2% people of registered voters e.g.

    if the recall selection against Paul Horcher happened in Taiwan, 3,581 proposer signatures is needed since registered voter in 1999 is 179,074
  18. Petition signatures

  19. 13% of registered voter for the office e.g. needs 23,280

    signatures when registered voters is 179,074[1] [1] Registered voter of Assembly District 60 in 1999
  20. only 1 month! to get petition signatures

  21. Petition signatures 23,280 / 30 days ~= 776 signatures /

    per day
  22. Same situation in Taiwan vs California 776 signatures / per

    day in Taiwan 68 signatures / per day in California
  23. WTF

  24. Election for recall in CA Vote “Yes” > 50%

  25. Election for recall in Taiwan vote rate > 50% vote

    “Yes” > 50%
  26. This is an impossible election for recall vote rate >

    50%
  27. Why?

  28. None
  29. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtvbZscM90A

  30. So it’s an impossible election for recall How should we

    do?
  31. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible[1]

    2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible [1] petition signatures needs 38939.
  32. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible

    2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible
  33. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit

    petition signatures
  34. How do we get at least 1,298 everyday?

  35. Wait, there is a Mayoral election!

  36. Vote rate of 2014 Mayoral election is 70% a lot

    of people will go to election stations for vote, why don’t we setup a booth nearby every election station?
  37. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit

    petition signatures Mayoral election let’s get a lot of petition in this day!
  38. None
  39. Step 0. create a website for selecting a legislator who

    should to be recalled
  40. http://to.13pa.tw/

  41. http://appy.tw/news/page/123/ Wikipedia - 蔡正元爭議事件

  42. Step 1. Proposer signatures

  43. None
  44. None
  45. online + offline

  46. None
  47. Took 5 months to get 2% signatures :~(

  48. Step 2. Petition signatures

  49. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit

    petition signatures Mayoral election
  50. It is 11/29

  51. And we also need to set up booth for petition

    signatures in the day of Mayoral election
  52. What we need on 11/29 • for every booth: ◦

    signature boards x 2 ◦ table x 1 ◦ charis x 2 ◦ volunteers x 2 • There are 130 stations! • and these equipments will be only used in one day
  53. How about making a website to borrow equipment and call

    for volunteers?
  54. How about designing the website that looks just like a

    game?
  55. we have a boss we have players we have missions.

  56. None
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  59. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible

    2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible
  60. None
  61. Appendectomy community g0v / tech community

  62. https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10153059345572082

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  68. 中華一番!/ Chūka Ichiban!

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  87. Result of election for recall

  88. California vs Taiwan [1] the number is registered voters in

    1999, not 1995 since that is the oldest data I can found from CA government • Paul Horcher, Assembly, 1995 • Registered voters: 179,074[1] • Notice of Intention: <= 10 ppl • Petition: at least 12,352 ppl • Vote “Yes”: 35,860 (61.63%) • Vote “No”: 22,326 (38.37%) • Result: Success • 蔡正元, Legislator, 2015 • Registered voters: 317,434 • Proposer: 6,665 ppl • Petition: 49,949 ppl • Vote “Yes”: 76,737 (97.22%) • Vote “No”: 2,196 (2.78%) • Result: Failure
  89. An earnest failure has meaning. – Mutta Nanba 本気の失敗には価値がある -

    南 波六太
  90. Good news is the draft to fix law of election

    has been sent to Legislative Yuan :D
  91. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iV8JDbtXZm4