Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan

Transcript

1. Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan Appendectomy Project Yuren Ju https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1zsUfYicpPuQk9SOvmBRWNxciX8HCUlmsg_5cZkqwO-s
2. Fork and Merge an Open Government: Experiments of g0v in Taiwan g0v@Stanford Talk
3. • Yuren Ju, • Contributor of g0v • Web front-end engineer in Appendectomy Project
4. Do you know who has been recalled in California?
5. A lot. http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/recalls/complete-list-recall-attempts/
6. Gray Davis, California gubernatorial recall election, 2003
7. http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/1996-primary/special-election-results.pdf
8. Do you know how to recall a state officer in California?
9. Notice of Intention at least 10 people
10. 6 months to get petition signatures
11. 12% of the last vote for the office e.g. needs 12,352 signatures if last vote is 102,926 (Election for recall Paul Horcher, California State Assembly, 1995)
12. Petition signatures 12,352 / 6 months / 30 days ~= 68 signatures / per day
13. Election for recall Vote “Yes” > 50%
14. How about in Taiwan?
15. Notice of Intention Proposer
16. Recap, Notice of Intention in CA at least 10 people
17. Proposer in Taiwan > 2% people of registered voters e.g. if the recall selection against Paul Horcher happened in Taiwan, 3,581 proposer signatures is needed since registered voter in 1999 is 179,074
18. Petition signatures
19. 13% of registered voter for the office e.g. needs 23,280 signatures when registered voters is 179,074[1] [1] Registered voter of Assembly District 60 in 1999
20. only 1 month! to get petition signatures
21. Petition signatures 23,280 / 30 days ~= 776 signatures / per day
22. Same situation in Taiwan vs California 776 signatures / per day in Taiwan 68 signatures / per day in California
23. WTF
24. Election for recall in CA Vote “Yes” > 50%
25. Election for recall in Taiwan vote rate > 50% vote “Yes” > 50%
26. This is an impossible election for recall vote rate > 50%
27. Why?
29. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtvbZscM90A
30. So it’s an impossible election for recall How should we do?
31. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible[1] 2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible [1] petition signatures needs 38939.
32. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible 2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible
33. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit petition signatures
34. How do we get at least 1,298 everyday?
35. Wait, there is a Mayoral election!
36. Vote rate of 2014 Mayoral election is 70% a lot of people will go to election stations for vote, why don’t we setup a booth nearby every election station?
37. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit petition signatures Mayoral election let’s get a lot of petition in this day!
39. Step 0. create a website for selecting a legislator who should to be recalled
40. http://to.13pa.tw/
41. http://appy.tw/news/page/123/ Wikipedia - 蔡正元爭議事件
42. Step 1. Proposer signatures
45. online + offline
47. Took 5 months to get 2% signatures :~(
48. Step 2. Petition signatures
49. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit petition signatures Mayoral election
50. It is 11/29
51. And we also need to set up booth for petition signatures in the day of Mayoral election
52. What we need on 11/29 • for every booth: ◦ signature boards x 2 ◦ table x 1 ◦ charis x 2 ◦ volunteers x 2 • There are 130 stations! • and these equipments will be only used in one day
53. How about making a website to borrow equipment and call for volunteers?
54. How about designing the website that looks just like a game?
55. we have a boss we have players we have missions.
59. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible 2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible
61. Appendectomy community g0v / tech community
62. https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10153059345572082
68. 中華一番！/ Chūka Ichiban!
87. Result of election for recall
88. California vs Taiwan [1] the number is registered voters in 1999, not 1995 since that is the oldest data I can found from CA government • Paul Horcher, Assembly, 1995 • Registered voters: 179,074[1] • Notice of Intention: <= 10 ppl • Petition: at least 12,352 ppl • Vote “Yes”: 35,860 (61.63%) • Vote “No”: 22,326 (38.37%) • Result: Success • 蔡正元, Legislator, 2015 • Registered voters: 317,434 • Proposer: 6,665 ppl • Petition: 49,949 ppl • Vote “Yes”: 76,737 (97.22%) • Vote “No”: 2,196 (2.78%) • Result: Failure
89. An earnest failure has meaning. – Mutta Nanba 本気の失敗には価値がある - 南 波六太
90. Good news is the draft to fix law of election has been sent to Legislative Yuan :D
91. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iV8JDbtXZm4