Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Insight - Pulse

deniswillett
February 07, 2017

Insight - Pulse

deniswillett

February 07, 2017
Tweet

More Decks by deniswillett

Other Decks in Design

Transcript

  1. generating predictions: Day 1 Features: Ride Cost • Tweets •

    Followers • Event Times • Capacity • Rain • Temperature • Location • Time
  2. generating predictions: Day 1 Features: Ride Cost • Tweets •

    Followers • Event Times • Capacity • Rain • Temperature • Location • Time RF Model
  3. generating predictions: Day 1 Random Forest Model Day 2 Ride

    Cost Features: • Tweets • Followers • Event Times • Capacity • Rain • Temperature • Location • Time Predict
  4. generating predictions: Day 1 Random Forest Model Day 2 Ride

    Cost Features: • Tweets • Followers • Event Times • Capacity • Rain • Temperature • Location • Time Predict Validate
  5. continuously improving… • • • • • • • •

    • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 Jan 27 Jan 29 Jan 31 Feb 02 Feb 04 Surge Pricing Prediction Error (RMSE) • • Lyft Uber prediction error decreases over time
  6. Detects Hotspots • Pulse • Observed • 37.75 37.80 −122.52

    −122.48 −122.44 −122.40 −122.36 long lat 0 10 20 30 40 50 Estimated +$ (%) Pulse
  7. • Detects Hotspots • Pulse • Observed • 37.75 37.80

    −122.52 −122.48 −122.44 −122.40 −122.36 long lat 0 10 20 30 40 50 Estimated +$ (%) Pulse • Observed
  8. • • • $30,000 $32,000 $34,000 $36,000 $38,000 $40,000 Pulse

    Airport Random Annual Salary Pulsemakes Omar ~$10,000
  9. • • • • • • • • • •

    • • Rain Eventbrite Day Week Day Eventful Capacity Followers Event Temp Tweets Hour Location 0 10 20 30 40 100 • • • • Event Geo/Time Twitter Weather Feature Importance • • • 10 20 30 40 10 • • • • Event Geo/Time Twitter Weather
  10. continuously improving… • • • • • • • •

    • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 Jan 27 Jan 29 Jan 31 Feb 02 Feb 04 Surge Pricing Prediction Error (RMSE) • • Lyft Uber prediction error decreases over time
  11. continuously improving… • • • • • • • •

    • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 Jan 27 Jan 29 Jan 31 Feb 02 Feb 04 Surge Pricing Prediction Error (RMSE) • • Lyft Uber prediction error decreases over time
  12. • • • • • • • • • •

    • • Rain Eventbrite Day Week Day Eventful Capacity Followers Event Temp Tweets Hour Location 0 10 20 30 40 100 • • • • Event Geo/Time Twitter Weather First Feature Importance • • • 10 20 30 40 10 • • • • Event Geo/Time Twitter Weather
  13. Rainy Day Feature Importance • • • • • •

    • • • • • • • Capacity Event Week Day Eventbrite Eventful Day Rain Probability Rain Temperature Followers Tweets Hour Location 0 25 50 75 100 • • • • Event Geo/Time Twitter Weather • • • 10 20 30 40 10 • • • • Event Geo/Time Twitter Weather