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A Perfect Shitstorm
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Futur Immédiat
January 22, 2024
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A Perfect Shitstorm
Futur Immédiat
January 22, 2024
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Transcript
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Futur Immédiat © 2024
“Success breeds complacency Complacency breeds failure Only the paranoid survive
“ Andy Grove (former Intel CEO)
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Global challenges need global answers
No one is in control A Perfect Shitstorm !"
From Unipolar to Multipolar World A Perfect Shitstorm !"
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Information Crisis
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Trust Crisis
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Humanitarian Crisis
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Semi Conductors Crisis
The Age Of Social Currency A Perfect Shitstorm !"
The Age Of Social Currency A Perfect Shitstorm !"
The Age Of Social Currency A Perfect Shitstorm !"
Social Fragmentation A Perfect Shitstorm !"
Dopamine Junkies A Perfect Shitstorm !" Futur Immédiat © 2024
Doom Scrolling A Perfect Shitstorm !" Futur Immédiat © 2024
Algorithmic Filters Bubble A Perfect Shitstorm !" Futur Immédiat ©
2024
A Distorting Mirror A Perfect Shitstorm !"
Simulacre et Simulation A Perfect Shitstorm !"
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Mental Health Crisis
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Safe zones and cancel culture
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Idiocracy
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Idiocracy
A Perfect Shitstorm !" Idiocracy
228 7" 11" 15" 2000" 2005" 2010" 2015" 9"Seconds" ?
Average attention span since public internet Idiocracy Attention Fragmentation
Idiocracy Reading time replaced by screen time
Idiocracy Language Pauperisation
Idiocracy IQ Decrease
Idiocracy Brain Rot Theory
Unexpected is the new normal
< Everybody has a plan until he gets punched in
the face Mike Tyson
< Business As Usual Is Dead Futur Immédiat © 2024
236 < Polarised Futures
The future ain't what it used to be Yoga Berra
238 “A Successful person isn’t necessarily better than her less
successful peers at solving problems; Her pattern recognition facilities have just learned what problems are worth solving.” Ray Kurzweil
< L’idée de l’avenir est plus féconde que l’avenir lui
même. Henri Bergson
< Hard to predict Futur Immédiat © 2024
“Past success is no guarantee of future success” Steven Van
Belleghem
“This telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered
as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us” Western Union internal memo (1876)
“I think there is a world market for maybe five
computers” Thomas Watson, IBM Chairman (1943)
Remote shopping, while entirely feasible, will flop.” Time Magazine (1966)
“There is no reason why anyone would want a computer
in their home” Ken Olsen Digital Equipement Corp. Founder (1977)
“There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get
any significant market share.” Steve Ballmer, Microsoft CEO (April 2007)
“Is Netflix a threat? Is the Albanian army going to
take over the world?” Jeffery Bewkles CEO Time Warner, (2010)
The Matrix Of Knowledge
< Hard to predict Why Is It Hard? < Prediction
#1 Hard to predict
< Reality #1 Hard to predict
< Prediction #2 Hard to predict
< Prediction #2 Hard to predict
< Reality #2 Hard to predict
< Reality #2 Hard to predict
< Prediction #3 Hard to predict
< Reality #3 Hard to predict ?
< < Chaotic Systems Of 2 Types Hard to predict
Level 1 chaotic system is chaos that does not react to predictions
< Chaotic Systems Of 2 Types Hard to predict <
Level 2 chaotic system is chaos that does react to predictions
< Harder to predict
< Harder to predict Exponential vs linear
< Harder To Predict Exponential vs Linear
< < Growing Chaos
< VUCA
< VUCA Unexpected Unstable Unknown duration Cause and effects unknown
Many interconnections Large volume Casual relationships unclear Unknown unknowns
BANI
X A Blurry Road