insurance mandate – Causes uninsured population to rise and raise uncompensated care costs ▪ Interest expense deductions limited, reduced further in 2022 – Tenet Healthcare (carried $15B of debt) has said it expects the change to lower its 2018 earnings forecast ▪ Cuts the corporate tax rate to 21 percent from 35 percent and limits tax-exempt refundings – Tax-exempt bonds are now a less attractive investment for banks, which will weaken demand for direct bank loans and private placements – Bonds have been used to reduce long-term borrowing costs and take advantage of lower interest rates
Volume ▪ Reimbursement Changing – Tiered payments – Declining Medicare payments, ACOs – MACRA/MIPS/APMs ▪ Infrastructure and Capital Needed – Health IT – Care delivery models ▪ Consumerism on the Rise