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August 2019 Broadband Service - City Study

August 2019 Broadband Service - City Study

Presented at a City of Holland & Holland BPW joint study session August 14, 2019.

Presentation by Holland BPW.

Daniel Morrison

August 14, 2019
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Transcript

  1. Study Session
    Broadband Service – City Study
    August, 2019

    View Slide

  2. Downtown Update
    • 79/158 Buildings “Lit” – 50%
    • 96/426 Customers – 22% take rate
    • Total capital cost: $811,563
    • Per passing (426) - $1,593
    • Per drop - $2,658
    Projection Actual
    Internet 76% 67%
    Enhanced 10% 27%
    Tenant 14% 6%

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  3. Downtown Pro Forma
    FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021
    Revenue 135,720 145,920 156,120
    Operating Expenses 34,205 40,205 40,205
    Depreciation 44,736 46,761 48,785
    Net Income 56,779 58,954 67,130
    Number of Customers 96 106 116
    10 Year IRR – 4.4%

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  4. Cumulative Cost/Revenue Curve
    $-
    $200,000
    $400,000
    $600,000
    $800,000
    $1,000,000
    $1,200,000
    $1,400,000
    $1,600,000
    $1,800,000
    $2,000,000
    Year 1
    Year 2
    Year 3
    Year 4
    Year 5
    Year 6
    Year 7
    Year 8
    Year 9
    Year 10
    Year 11
    Year 12
    Revenue
    Cost

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  5. Market Conditions
    Unfavorable -
    • States are being lobbied by telecommunications companies, and are considering anti-
    public broadband bills
    • Federal activity is similar, with current FCC activity being very pro-corporation
    • Existing carriers investing aggressively in infrastructure upgrades nationally, including
    Holland
    Favorable -
    • There has been explosive growth of public broadband projects (municipal, co-op, and
    other) across the nation.
    • Pro-broadband development laws and funding activity (MN funding, CA network
    neutrality)
    • Customer satisfaction with incumbent carriers low
    • The success of our downtown project shows demand
    • FCC definition: 25M Down and 3M up. Shared Gig: 1000M (1G) Up and down.

    View Slide

  6. Summer 2019 Interest

    View Slide

  7. Cost Analysis - Study Area
    • 110 Properties
    • 143 Potential customers (passings)
    • Evaluated Overhead vs. Underground options
    • Included Electric Transmission & Distribution operations

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  8. Cost Analysis - Overhead
    • Footage: 4,121 Mainline, 10,371 Drop
    • Mainline Cost per passing: $963
    • Cost per Drop: $1,402
    • Total Cost $260,125 – Complete build-out

    View Slide

  9. Cost Recovery Options
    • Demand Aggregation
    • Group of customers in project footprint that sign up for service pay for all the
    infrastructure and electronics in the area
    • $85 per month for services provided – take rate will need to be 23% of 143
    • 10 Year IRR = 4.3% (Similar to downtown)
    • Special Assessment
    • All 110 property owners pay for fiber infrastructure
    • $7 per month for 20 years (Mainline)
    • Service for $68 (O&M + 4 year recovery on drop)
    • $13 per month for 20 years (Mainline & Drop)
    • Service for $41
    • Wholesale Price - $27
    • 20 Year Millage
    • Passing infrastructure - .77 mills
    • Passing and Drop infrastructure – 1.9 mills

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  10. Special Assessment Cost Breakdown
    • Assessment Includes:
    • Neighborhood Deep Fiber – Passing
    • Fiber to the Home – Drop
    • Distribution Electronics
    • Monthly Rate Includes:
    • Home router (ONT)
    • ($10/mo cost from other providers)
    • Operations & Maintenance
    • Upstream bandwidth
    • Customer Service
    • Marketing
    • Labor
    • Administration
    • Support contracts
    Bottom Line: $54/month for 1 synchronous shared gigabit service

    View Slide

  11. Current Expressions of Interest
    - potential next project footprint
    • 13 Expressions of interest in project zone (11.8%)

    View Slide

  12. Value of Community-developed
    Broadband
    • World-Class Infrastructure
    • Future-proof Fiber
    • Next-Generation bandwidth
    • Open Access / Competition
    • Customer Choice
    • Lower prices
    • Higher quality
    • Local control
    • Public Utility
    • Public Accountability
    • Local Service and Support
    • Non-profit sustainable
    business model
    • Institutional networks
    • Property Value
    • 3% or more
    • Economic Impact
    • Business Attraction
    • Job Creation
    • Tech and Entrepreneurship
    • Smart Cities
    • Social Impact
    • Digital Inclusion
    • Education
    • Medicine

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  13. Recommendations
    • Create City Broadband Task Force
    • Engage with stakeholders (Business, Residential,
    Education, Public Services)
    • Build consensus for further broadband development
    • Conduct market research for residential demand/interest
    throughout the city (block by block)
    • Develop guidelines for funding via assessments
    • Continue to develop service in areas that meet the 4 year
    revenue test cost recovery model.
    • Focus on business districts
    • Build in high-demand areas
    • Real estate value demonstration

    View Slide