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Fuzzy multi-criteria emergency service centers selection problem in extreme environment

Fuzzy multi-criteria emergency service centers selection problem in extreme environment

MACSPro'2019 - Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes, Vienna
21 - 23 March 2019

Gia Sirbiladze, Bidzina Midodashvili, Bidzina Matsaberidze

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March 22, 2019
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  1. Fuzzy multi-criteria emergency service centers selection
    problem in extreme environment
    Gia Sirbiladze, Bidzina Midodashvili and Bidzina Matsaberidze
    Department of Computer Science, I. Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia
    March 21-23, 2019

    View Slide

  2. In this work we consider one fuzzy multi-objective optimization problem for
    selection of emergency facility locations.
    Optimal location planning for service centers and timely servicing from emergency
    service centers to the demand points are key tasks of the emergency
    management system.
    We develop a fuzzy multi-attribute decision making approach for the service
    centers location selection problem under extreme environment for which a fuzzy
    probability aggregation operators’ approach is used.

    View Slide

  3. The formation of expert’s input data for construction of attributes is an important
    task of the centers’ selection problem. To decide on the location of service
    centers, it is assumed that a set of candidate sites already exists. This set is
    denoted by = {1
    , 2
    , … ,
    }, where we can locate service centers and
    let = 1
    , 2
    , … ,
    be the set of all attributes which define CCs selection.
    For example:
    S1 -- ”post disaster access by public and special transport modes
    to the candidate site”;
    S2 -- ” post disaster security of the candidate site from accidents, theft and
    vandalism”;
    S3 -- ” post disaster connectivity of the location with other modes of
    transport (highways, railways, seaport, airport etc.)”;
    S4 -- ”costs in vehicle resources, required products and etc. for the
    location of CCs in candidate site”;

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  4. Let us assume that = 1
    , 2
    , … ,
    is the set of all demand points. Let

    = {�
    1
    , �
    2
    , … , �

    } be the fuzzy weights of attributes. For each expert
    from
    invited group of experts (emergency service dispatchers) = {1
    , 2
    , … ,
    } let


    be the fuzzy positive rating (see Table 1) in triangular fuzzy numbers (TFN)
    of his/her evaluation for each candidate site
    , = 1, … , m, with respect to each
    attribute 𝑗𝑗
    , j = 1, … , n.
    Table 1. Fuzzy terms and their fuzzy ratings.

    View Slide

  5. In fuzzy set theory conversion scales are applied to transform fuzzy terms into
    TFNs. We use a rating scale of 1 - 9 as a semantic form of fuzzy terms of linguistic
    variables such as attribute's valuation, importance value of an attribute and
    interaction index of attributes.
    Our task is to build aggregation operators’ approach, which for each candidate site

    , = 1, … , m, aggregates presented objective and subjective data into scalar
    values – site’s selection ranking index. This aggregation we define by the TFCA
    (Triangular Fuzzy Choquett Averaging) operator:
    ̃

    ≡ ̃

    = 𝑇𝑇(�
    𝑖
    , �
    𝑖
    , … , �
    𝑖𝑖
    ),
    where (�
    𝑖
    , �
    𝑖
    , … , �
    𝑖𝑖
    ) are aggregated arguments of experts’ evaluations –
    (�
    𝑖
    , �
    𝑖
    , … , �
    𝑖𝑖
    ).

    View Slide

  6. The proposed framework of location planning for candidate sites consists of the
    following steps (the complete presentation of the scheme is limited here):
    Step 1: Selection of location attributes.
    Step 2: Selection of candidate location sites
    Step 3: Locations evaluation using fuzzy aggregation approach.
    Step 3.1: Assignment of ratings to the attributes with respect to the candidate
    sites.
    Step 3.2: Computation of aggregated fuzzy ratings for the attributes and the
    candidate sites. Aggregation of fuzzy weights of attributes.
    Step 3.3: Computation and Normalization of the aggregated fuzzy decision matrix.
    Step 4: Identification of constructive TFVFM which takes into account attributes
    aggregated fuzzy importance values and attributes fuzzy interactions.
    Step 5: Computation of selection ranking index of candidate sites by the TFCA
    operator.

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  7. Let us consider the fuzzy multi-objective optimization model for the location set
    covering problem.
    Let = 1
    , 2
    , … ,
    be a Boolean decision vector, which defines some selection
    from candidate sites = {1
    , 2
    , … ,
    } for facility location. We can build sites’
    selection ranking index as a linear sum of triangular fuzzy values - ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    . As a
    result, we obtain fuzzy objective function for selection ranking index of candidate
    sites ∑𝑗𝑗=1
    ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    . Its maximization selects a group of sites with the maximal
    selection ranking index from admissible covering selections.
    A classical facility location set covering problem “tries” to minimize the total cost
    needed for opening of service centers - ∑𝑗𝑗=1
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    , where 𝑗𝑗
    is a cost necessary for
    opening of the candidate site - 𝑗𝑗
    .

    View Slide

  8. Assume that we know in advance the approximate number of people needed to
    make a candidate site operate as a service center. This number is denoted by

    , = 1, 2, … , . Our goal is to locate service facilities centers with minimal
    number of agents needed to operate the opened service centers - ∑𝑗𝑗=1
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    .
    The problem aims at locating service facilities in minimal travel time from
    candidate sites. In extreme environment for emergency planning a radius of
    service center is defined based not on distance but on maximum allowed time for
    movement, since the rapid help and servicing is crucial for demand points in such
    situations.
    Suppose that experts evaluated movement fuzzy times between demand points
    and candidate sites ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    , cc-costs 𝑗𝑗
    and number of cc-agents 𝑗𝑗
    .

    View Slide

  9. Correspondingly, a set of candidate sites
    , covering customer

    ∈ = 1
    , 2
    , … ,
    , is defined as

    = {𝑗𝑗
    ∈ : 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃( ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    where is a minimal possibilistic level (selected by administrators) which
    covering condition ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    Thus we can state fuzzy multi-objective facility location set covering problem:
    max

    1
    = ∑𝑗𝑗=1
    ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    ,
    min 2
    = ∑𝑗𝑗=1
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    , (1)
    min 3
    = ∑𝑗𝑗=1
    𝑗𝑗
    𝑗𝑗
    ,
    ∑∈
    𝑗𝑗
    ≥ 1, (2)
    = 1, 2, … , ; = 1, 2, … , ; 𝑗𝑗
    ∈ 0, 1 .

    View Slide

  10. We illustrate the effectiveness of the constructed fuzzy optimization model by the
    numerical example.
    Let us consider an emergency management administration of Tbilisi city (Georgia)
    that wishes to locate some fire stations with respect to timely servicing of critical
    infrastructure objects. Assume that there are 30 demand points (critical
    infrastructure objects) and 8 candidate facility sites (fire stations) in the urban
    area.
    Let us have 4 experts from Emergency Management Agency (EMA) of the city of
    Tbilisi for evaluation of the travel times and ratings values of candidate sites,
    interaction indexes and importance values of attributes.

    View Slide

  11. The travel times between demand points and candidate sites are evaluated in
    triangular fuzzy numbers (evaluated in minutes, omitted because the matrix of
    fuzzy travel times has large dimensions). According to the standards of the EMA,
    let the principle of location fire stations be that the fire station can reach the area
    edge within 5 minutes after receiving the dispatched instruction. Therefore, we set
    covering radius = 5 minutes. Minimal possibilistic level is equal to 0.9.
    Based on the semantic form (Table 1) experts’
    , (k = 1, 2, 3, 4), ratings �

    for
    each candidate site
    , (i = 1,…,8), with respect to each attribute 𝑗𝑗
    , (j = 1,…,10),
    interaction indexes between attributes and weights for each attribute are
    aggregated by the steps 1- 5 (all data are omitted).

    View Slide

  12. A software is developed, in which the steps 1-5, mathematical programing
    problem (1)-(2) and -constraint approach are realized.
    Movement fuzzy times between demand points and candidate sites ̃
    𝑗𝑗
    , i=1, 2, …,
    30; j = 1, 2, …, 8, evaluated by experts, define the subsets of service demand
    points 𝑗𝑗
    , j = 1, 2, …, 8.
    At the end, the Fuzzy Multi-objective Emergency Service Facility Location Set
    Covering Problem (1) – (2) is constructed, where the matrix of covering
    constraints B is a concatenation of vectors 𝑗𝑗
    in which the covering of demand
    point is presented by “1” and opposite by “0” (omitted here because of large
    dimensions).

    View Slide

  13. The problem takes the following form
    1
    = ̃
    1
    1
    + ̃
    2
    2
    + ̃
    3
    3
    + ̃
    4
    4
    + ̃
    5
    5
    + ̃
    6
    6
    + ̃
    7
    7
    + ̃
    8
    8
    ⇒ max ,
    2
    = 351
    + 472
    + 553
    + 394
    + 705
    + 626
    + 467
    + 578
    ⇒ min ,
    3
    = 271
    + 192
    + 313
    + 184
    + 235
    + 296
    + 257
    + 208
    ⇒ min ,
    ≥ 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1 ,
    ≡ 1
    , … , 8
    , 𝑗𝑗
    ∈ 0, 1 , = 1, … , 8,
    where fuzzy selection ranking indexes ̃

    of candidate sites are given by Table 2.

    View Slide

  14. Table 2: Fuzzy selection ranking indexes of candidate sites
    1
    δ 2
    δ 3
    δ 4
    δ 5
    δ 6
    δ 7
    δ 8
    δ
    0,0845 0,0822 0,1181 0,0868 0,0951 0,0653 0,1127 0,1169
    0,4926 0,4903 0,4991 0,5513 0,4772 0,4497 0,5386 0,4777
    1,4506 1,4386 1,4275 1,4752 1,4045 1,3892 1,5820 1,3238

    View Slide

  15. After checking all 28 = 256 possible variants of constraints of the problem we
    receive the following twelve coverings:
    : {1
    , 5
    , 8
    }, : {2
    , 3
    , 7
    }, : {3
    , 4
    , 7
    },
    𝐶𝐶: 3
    , 5
    , 8
    , 𝐶𝐶: 3
    , 6
    , 7
    , : 3
    , 6
    , 8
    ,
    : 3
    , 7
    , 8
    , : 4
    , 6
    , 7
    , 𝐶𝐶: 1
    , 2
    , 5
    , 7
    ,
    𝐶𝐶: 1
    , 5
    , 6
    , 7
    , 𝐶𝐶: 2
    , 4
    , 5
    , 8
    ,
    𝐶𝐶: 4
    , 5
    , 6
    , 8
    .

    View Slide

  16. In the TFCA aggregation example there exist 6 Pareto solutions - {Cov1, Cov2,
    Cov3, Cov6, Cov7, Cov8}.
    It is clear that increasing the service centers selection ranking index of covering in
    Pareto solutions gives more worse level of the second objective function - the total
    cost needed for opening of service centers or of the third objective function -
    number of agents needed for operating the opened service centers.
    The decision on the choice of fire stations as service centers depends on the
    decision making person’s preferences with respect to risks of administrative
    actions. Of course, fire elimination is an extreme process and the reliability of
    choice of service centers is envisaged in Pareto solutions.

    View Slide

  17. Notwithstanding, if we had to consider the problem without TFCA aggregations
    (interacting attributes), i.e. we would have two-criteria (2
    , 3
    ) classical FLSC
    problem, then we would have only one Pareto solution Cov3, having minimal cost
    and number of agents. This covering also enters into Pareto solution of fuzzy-
    FLSC problem, but its selection ranking index is rather low.
    As we see the candidate sites’ selection ranking index aggregates not only direct
    factors with their interactions, but also experts’ evaluations of such factors as
    closeness to demand points and central bases, quality of infrastructure, security
    issues and so on. These factors are decisive in planning distribution networks in
    extreme environments.

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  18. Thank you for your attention!

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