Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Steve Krause

Sponsored · Your Podcast. Everywhere. Effortlessly. Share. Educate. Inspire. Entertain. You do you. We'll handle the rest. →

Steve Krause

HIV epidemic and the response in Asia Pacific

Transcript

  1. No One Left Behind Overview of the HIV Epidemic and

    Response in Asia and the Pacific Steven J. Kraus Director UNAIDS Regional Support Team, Asia and the Pacific Melbourne International AIDS Conference July 2014  
  2. A regional overview of trends in HIV infections and AIDS

    deaths 2 4,900,000 1,700,000 210,000 350,000 270,000 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Number People living with HIV (Estimate) Women living with HIV (Estimate) Children living with HIV (Estimate) New HIV infections (Estimate) AIDS-related deaths (Estimate) People living with HIV 4.9 million Women living with HIV 1.7 million New HIV Infections 350,000 Deaths 270,000 2012 “zoom-in” Children living with HIV 210,000 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS.(2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013. HIV and AIDS in Asia and the Pacific 1990-2012
  3. 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 New HIV infections (Number) 26 % decline The number of estimated new HIV infections in the region have stayed the same since 2008 No change between 2008 and 2012 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS.(2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013. Estimated new HIV infections in Asia and the Pacific
  4. ZERO NEW INFECTIONS: Current business model will NOT get us

    to 2015 targets for reductions in new infections 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Number of new HIV infections Estimated new HIV infections Estimated trend to 2015 (current trend) 50% reduction by 2015 Estimate 2012: 350,000   Target 2015: 175 000 Estimate in 2015 based on trend of last five years: 350 000 FALLS SHORT OF TARGET BY ~175 000 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS.(2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013.
  5. Epidemics vary across Asia and the Pacific countries Epidemic Pattern

    (2012) Adults and children newly infected Adults and children AIDS deaths Adults and children living with HIV Countries Profile 1: Declining New infections declining by >50% since 2001, PLHIV and deaths declining. Cambodia, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Thailand Profile 2: Maturing New infections declining or increasing ≈ 20% since 2001, PLHIV increasing since 2001, death trends vary. or varies China*, Malaysia, PNG, Viet Nam Profile 3: Expanding New infections and PLHIV increasing by >100% since 2001, deaths increasing >50% since 2005. Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines Profile 4: Latent New infections increasing or unchanged ≈ 1,000 or less, PLHIV increasing ≈ 10 000 or less, deaths < 500. or <500 Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Lao PDR, Sri Lanka Profile 5: Low prevalence Low levels of HIV infections detected and risk factors exist.   <500   <100 <1 000 Bhutan, Fiji, Maldives, Mongolia Key: Expanding Trend Declining Trend No change Source: UNAIDS Regional Support Team Asia and the Pacific- HIV and AIDS Data Hub, Country epidemic patterns from HIV estimates and projections data from the UNAIDS Report on the Global Epidemic 2013. * National Center for AIDS/STD Prevention and Control (NCAIDS), China. 2011 China HIV Estimates Report (Unpublished)
  6. Countries that account for >90% PLHIV and new infections and

    high national HIV prevalence in key populations People living with HIV (2012) New HIV infections (2012) National HIV prevalence > 5 % among MSM National HIV prevalence > 5% among PWID National HIV prevalence > 5% among FSW India* 2,100,000 130,000 Indonesia 610,000 76,000 China* 780,000 48,000 Pakistan 87,000 19,000 Viet Nam 260,000 13,000 Thailand 440,000 9,000 Malaysia 82,000 7,400 Myanmar 200,000 7,100 Philippines 15,000 1,800 Cambodia 76,000 1,400 Nepal 49,000 1,200 Papua New Guinea 25,000 <1000 Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS Estimates 2012; National HIV Sentinel Surveillance Surveys; and Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveys = Yes * 2011 estimates
  7. National prevalence masks certain high prevalence geographical areas 5.6 13.6

    15.0 15.7 18.3 21.1 6.6 12 12.1 18.6 19 19 22 22.5 9.3 14.9 18.8 30.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 HIV prevalence (%) Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on National HIV Sentinel Surveillance Surveys and Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveys *Direct FSW **Indirect FSW MSM PWID FSW TG
  8. Coverage information is poor - in order to scale up,

    we need stronger programme monitoring and evaluation of responses Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS.(2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013. and www.aidsinfoonline.org 100% 237 129 193 163 22 182 94 116 36 98 12 180 Bangladesh Cambodia China India Indonesia Lao PDR Malaysia Mongolia(2012) Myanmar Nepal Pakistan Philippines(2011) PNG(2010) Thailand Viet Nam 9 70 77 23 46 64 69 77 23 67 53 49 Bangladesh(2010) Cambodia(2010) China(2012) India Indonesia(2011) Lao PDR(2011) Malaysia(2012) Mongolia(2012) Myanmar(2008-09) Nepal(2009) Pakistan(2011) Philippines(2011) PNG(2010) Thailand(2012) Viet Nam(2012) Female sex workers Men who have sex with men People who inject drugs* 100% *Number of syringes distributed per PWID per year; 2012 Do you know where to get HIV testing and did you receive a condom in the last 12 months? Number of syringes
  9. AIDS-related deaths are declining in Asia and the Pacific: Treatment

    saves lives… 0 200,000 400,000 AIDS-related deaths (Number) AIDS-related deaths in Asia and the Pacific AIDS-related deaths [Estimate] 18% decline since 2005 1.25 million 0 1,250,000 2005 2012 People on ART People receiving ART ~7 fold up since 2005 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS.(2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013.
  10. 42 41 39 28 0 20 40 60 80 100

    Female sex workers Male sex workers Men who have sex with men People who inject drugs HIV testing coverage (%) Early initiation of treatment is important, but less than half of key populations know their HIV status Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on www.aidsinfoonline.org HIV testing coverage among key populations, regional median, 2007-2012
  11. Treatment has expanded with 1.25 million people now receiving antiretroviral

    therapy – but the pace of scale-up slowed down in 2012 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on 1)UNAIDS. (2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013.; 2) www.aidsinfoonline.org; 1.25 million 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Number of people receiving ART 13% increase between 2011 and 2012 20% increase between 2010 and 2011 Number of people receiving ART in Asia and the Pacific, 2003-2012
  12. 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 Number Number of people

    receiving ART by 2012 Number of people receiving ART 2015 (with the current trend ) 2015 target Estimate 2012: 1.25 million Estimate 2015: 1.6 million Target 2015: 2.3 million FALLS SHORT OF TARGET BY ~700 000 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS.(2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013. ZERO AIDS-RELATED DEATHS: Current business model will NOT get us to 2015 treatment targets
  13. 42% 15% 56% 16% 60% 19% 62% 19% 0% 20%

    40% 60% 80% 100% Global Asia and the Pacific PMTCT coverage (%) 2009 2010 2011 2012 Prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) coverage in Asia and the Pacific lags behind the global average Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on 1)UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS. (2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013.; 2) www.aidsinfoonline.org; Coverage with effective antiretroviral prophylaxis and treatment for prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT), Global and Asia and the Pacific
  14. Decline in new HIV infections among children (0-14 yr), Asia

    and the Pacific, 2001-2012 14 2015 Target 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 New HIV infection among children New HIV infections among children 8% decline 2010-2012 Estimate 2012: 23,000 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on 1)UNAIDS HIV Estimates 2012 for UNAIDS. (2013). Global Report: UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic 2013.; 2) www.aidsinfoonline.org; The target by 2015 is to eliminate 23,000 new infections among children in Asia and the Pacific
  15. Legal and political challenges continue to impede the HIV response

    in the 38 UN Member States in Asia and the Pacific 11 impose some form of restriction on the entry, stay and residence of people living with HIV based on their HIV status 37 criminalize some aspect of sex work 11 compulsory detention centres for people who use drugs 15 provide for the death penalty for drug-related offences 18 criminalize same-sex relations
  16. Stigma: a barrier to HIV services Access  to  health  services

        11%   denied   health   services   22%   avoided   going  to   local  clinic   61%  felt   ashamed     Averages from PLHIV Stigma Index in 14 countries in the region (2008-2012)   7%  denied   SRH   services   Multiple layers of stigma also experienced by sex workers, MSM, TG, people who use drugs, migrants.  
  17. Domestic funding has increased to make up for leveling off

    of international financing $ 0.3 billion $0.9 billion $ 0.4 billion $1.3 billion, 59% $0.7 billion $2.2 billion $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Million USD Domestic sub-total International sub-total Resources available to LMICs in Asia and the Pacific Source: UNAIDS estimates 2012 Resources available for AIDS response in Asia and the Pacific, low-and middle-income countries (LMIC)
  18. Not enough is spent on key populations prevention programmes AIDS

    spending in the Asia and the Pacific by major spending categories and prevention spending on key populations, latest available year, 2009 - 2012 24% 47% 18% 4% 7% Prevention spending Care and treatement spending Programme management and admin Incentives for human resources Others 189 67 31 23 13 - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Total prevention spending (25 countries) Key populations prevention spending (15 countries) People who use drugs (13 countries) Sex workers and clients (15 countries) Men who have sex with men (14 countries) Million USD
  19. Distribution of prevention spending by financing source in Asia and

    the Pacific, latest available year, 2009-2012 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on www.aidsinfoonline.org Prevention spending on key populations is heavily dependent on international financing sources 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Total prevention spending Sex workers and clients MSM PWID Prevention spending on International Domestic public
  20. About half of AIDS spending is on care and treatment

    – mostly funded from domestic sources US$ 300 million (80%) US$ 184 million (80%) US$ 77 million US$ 42 million 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Total care and treatment spending Spending on ART US$ million International Domestic public 24% 47% 18% 4% 7% Prevention spending Care and treatement spending Programme management and admin Incentives for human resources Others Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on www.aidsinfoonline.org 60% of total care and treatment spending
  21. Regional  reviews  show  that  Asia  and   the  Pacific  have

     mixed  progress  in   responding  to  HIV  
  22. FSW (Trends) MSM (Trends) Prevalence Condom Coverage Prevalence Condom Coverage

    Declining Cambodia, India, Myanmar, Nepal Thailand ? High prevalence Maturing China, Viet Nam Malaysia, PNG No trend >80% No trend < 50% No trend No trend >60% No trend < 70% No trend Expanding Indonesia, Pakistan*, Philippines* or * Low prevalence Indonesia & Pakistan- Indonesia- Philippines- Pakistan - Indonesia- Latent Bangladesh, Lao PDR, Afghanistan, Sri Lanka Low prevalence No trend or varies No trend or varies <5% No trend or varies No trend or varies Low Bhutan, Fiji, Maldives, Timor-Leste No trend or no data No trend or no data No trend or no data No trend or no data No trend or no data No trend or no data Mongolia Low prevalence > 5% or or or or or or or or or or Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on National HIV Sentinel Surveillance Surveys, Integrated Bio-behavioural Surveys and Behavioural Surveillance Surveys Pakistan - Male Sex Workers
  23. PWID (Trends) Prevalence Condom Safe injecting Needles/ syringes distributed NSP

    sites OST sites Declining India*, Myanmar** Nepal, Thailand Cambodia 50-80% No trend Maturing China, Viet Nam, Malaysia*** Expanding Pakistan, Philippines# Indonesia## Latent Afghanistan Bangladesh Low Bhutan, Maldives n/a >100 or <50 n/a <100 n/a n/a or or >200 & Only 2 sites <100 & n/a n/a No trend < 50% >100 & Only 1 site >80% <50 or Indications of risk are there, but little or no response observed * Behavioural data for selected states; ** No trend data available for behavioural data *** No trend data available for prevalence; # Needles and syringes distributed <10 per PWID per year & safe injection is <50%; ## Prevalence is declining but as high as 36% Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on National HIV Sentinel Surveillance Surveys, Integrated Bio-behavioural Surveys and Behavioural Surveillance Surveys >100 &
  24. Key  messages  from  country  mid-­‐term   reviews  of  the  HIV

     response  in  2013   Critical and priority actions that emerged from regional analysis of country HLM MTR Reports that would help to accelerate progress and sustain outcomes in the following years are: •  Removing barriers to the HIV response –  Almost every country in the region cited stigma and discrimination, punitive laws and insufficient political will as key barriers to response. In some countries, lack of a coordinated response was cited as a key barrier. •  Enhancing the scale and quality of the existing interventions –  A deeper understanding of the epidemic, the affected communities, risk-taking and health seeking behaviours, and appropriate responses required. –  Several countries are exploring a rights-based approach to HIV programming, involving communities; however, much more needs to be done in order to achieve tangible results.
  25. Game changer #1: Strategic prioritization 5.6 13.6 15.0 15.7 18.3

    21.1 6.6 12 12.1 18.6 19 19 22 22.5 9.3 14.9 18.8 30.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 HIV prevalence (%) Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on National HIV Sentinel Surveillance Surveys and Integrated Biological and Behavioural Surveys *Direct FSW **Indirect FSW MSM PWID FSW TG ü  Populations ü  Geographical areas ü  Strategies ü  Services
  26. Game Changer #2: Strategic testing and accelerated access to treatment

    •  Expand HIV testing in key populations wherever prevalence is high •  Community-led services to promote testing uptake and treatment adherence Data Source: UNAIDS Universal Access and GARPR HIV testing coverage among key populations, selected countries, 2007-2012 * MSM 2010; ** Female entertainment workers; ***MSM 2009 42 39 28 0 20 40 60 80 100 % FSW MSM PWID
  27. Countries should capitalize on the prevention benefits of treatment and

    adopt WHO 2013 Treatment Guidelines •  Treatment as Prevention with access to ARV regardless of CD4 count for HIV+: •  Sex workers, people who use drugs, men who have sex with men •  Sero-discordant couples •  Pregnant women and children <5 years •  Recommended first-line fixed dose combination of 3 ARVs in single pill •  Integrate and scale up management of co-infections (HIV-TB and HIV-HepC) Data Source: UNAIDS Universal Access and GARPR 84 79 76 73 58 51 50 48 43 42 34 33 27 26 17 14 12 8 5 0 20 40 60 80 100 ART coverage (%) 2010 2011 2012 Note: ART coverage based on WHO 2010 guideline <60% Trends in antiretroviral therapy coverage 2010-2012
  28. Full implementation of new WHO 2013 guidelines can lower the

    number of new infections and of AIDS deaths by an additional 36-39% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2010 Guidelines 2013 Guidelines eligible on ART Global: 28.6 million Asia: 4.2 million Global: 15.7 million Asia: 2.2 million
  29. Game Changer #3: Create enabling environments •  Adopt a rights-based

    approach in all HIV programming •  Amend laws and policies that criminalize key populations •  Eliminate harassment and violence and reduce stigma •  Remove registration and other geographical barriers that block access to services •  Work with police, public security, community and religious leaders to create a safe working and social environment
  30. Commitments made in Asia and the Pacific “…ground universal access

    in human rights and undertake measures to address stigma and discrimination, as well as policy and legal barriers to effective HIV responses, in particular with regard to key affected populations”. (ESCAP Resolution 66/10, 2010) “…initiate, as appropriate, in line with national policies, a review of national laws, policies and practices to enable full achievement of universal access to with a view to eliminating all forms of discrimination against people at risk of infection or living with HIV, in particular key affected populations.” (ESCAP Resolution 67/9, 2011)
  31. Progress  since  2010   •  At least 10 punitive laws

    have been lifted, including: –  Criminalization of same sex practices; of HIV transmission, exposure or non-disclosure –  HIV-related discrimination in employment –  HIV-related restrictions on entry, stay and residence –  Compulsory detention of sex workers and PWIDs •  14 countries have Stigma Index Study •  18 countries have conducted national reviews and/or consultations on legal barriers to access to services, resulting in prioritised action plans
  32. HIV expenditure from domestic sources, Asia and the Pacific, latest

    available year, 2009-2012 Source: Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on www.aidsinfoonline.org and India Global AIDS Response Progress Report 2012 Game Changer #4: Shared responsibility and investing in HIV 63%  CommiIed  for  NACP  IV  
  33. Afghanistan (1%; 687) Bangladesh (8%; 752) Cambodia (11%; 944) China

    (88%; 6,091) Fiji (17%; 4,467) India* (10%; 1,503) Indonesia (40%; 3,557) Lao PDR (7%; 1,417) Malaysia (97%; 10,432) Mongolia (31%; 3,673) Nepal (1%; 690) Pakistan (37%; 1,257) PNG (24%; 2,184) Philippines (52%; 2,587) Sri Lanka (53%; 2,923) Thailand (85%; 5,480) Viet Nam (17%; 1,755) 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 0 50 100 GDP per capita (current US$) Domestic public HIV spending (%) Countries in Asia and the Pacific are sharing responsibility as GDP per capita rises… Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on www.aidsinfoonline.org, http://databank.worldbank.org/data/views/reports/tableview and Kumar, U. A. (13 February, 2014). Azad Launches Rs 14,295 Crore Phase IV of NACP, The New Indian Express. Retrieved from http://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/Azad-Launches-Rs-14295-Crore-Phase-IV-of-NACP/2014/02/13/article2053712.ece
  34. Afghanistan (1%; 687) Bangladesh (8%; 752) Cambodia (11%; 944) China

    (88%; 6,091) Fiji (17%; 4,467) India* (63%; 1,503) Indonesia (40%; 3,557) Lao PDR (7%; 1,417) Malaysia (97%; 10,432) Mongolia (31%; 3,673) Nepal (1%; 690) Pakistan (37%; 1,257) PNG (24%; 2,184) Philippines (52%; 2,587) Sri Lanka (53%; 2,923) Thailand (85%; 5,480) Viet Nam (17%; 1,755) 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 0 50 100 GDP per capita (current US$) Domestic public HIV spending (%) … and sharing responsibility proportional to epidemic burden as well Prepared by www.aidsdatahub.org based on www.aidsinfoonline.org, http://databank.worldbank.org/data/views/reports/tableview and Kumar, U. A. (13 February, 2014). Azad Launches Rs 14,295 Crore Phase IV of NACP, The New Indian Express. Retrieved from http://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/Azad-Launches-Rs-14295-Crore-Phase-IV-of-NACP/2014/02/13/article2053712.ece * India committed to finance 63% of National AIDS Control Programme IV domestically (Feb.2014)
  35. Good  evidence  base  to  inform  acMons  –     improve

     strategic  informaMon   •  Need to understand the epidemic and response in the country in order to prioritize actions to where they will have the most impact. •  To make well-informed decisions on programming, strategic information systems need to be comprehensive, robust and accurate. Need to continue to invest in and focus on strengthening these systems. •  Information especially needed on gender issues, gender- based violence, stigma and discrimination, and costing and financial flows.
  36. Involve and empower communities •  Scaling up services and expanding

    reach requires community involvement in the design, delivery and monitoring of the HIV response •  Support key populations/CBO networks •  Actively engage communities in creating demand for services, in facilitating access to services and in identifying their needs and tailoring services accordingly •  Facilitate access to legal education and access to redress •  Work with police, public security, community and religious leaders to create a safe working and social environment
  37. Engaging  with  communiMes  to  deliver/  facilitate  a   range  of

     services  to  improve  the  HIV  response   Treatment   Prevention   Advocacy and vulnerability reduction   "   Testing and counselling "   Treatment literacy "   Adherence support "   Linkage to care/ support services "   Linkages to harm reduction services "   Management of health and psycho-social needs following testing "   Disclosure support "   Case management "   Nutritional support "   Prevention of vertical transmission "   Harm reduction services (syringe exchange, opioid substitution therapy [OST], etc.) "   Sexuality education "   Sexual and reproductive health and rights awareness "   Condom distribution/social- marketing "   Legal rights awareness "   Education on TB infection control "   Contact tracing/partner notification support "   Client negotiation, collectivization, peer outreach skills "   STI prevention "   Prevention of Sexual and Gender based Violence "   Monitoring and accountability (health systems, government responses, rights abuses, quality of services) "   Quality assurance of health services "   Anti-stigma, anti- discrimination, and decriminalization efforts(legal support, law reform, lobbying) "   Access to redress and justice "   Responding to violence and crisis management "   Policy analysis around access to and development of essential medicines "   Ensuring the meaningful involvement of people living with HIV and other key populations in policy and programme development "   Economic empowerment and access to social protection services
  38. “  It’s  not  where  you  start,    but   how

     high  you  aim  that  maIers  for   success  ”   Nelson  Mandela     1918-­‐2013  
  39.     Achieve  universal  access  to  HIV  prevenMon,   treatment,

     care  and  support  by  2015   ZERO  NEW  INFECTION     ZERO  DEATH       ZERO  DISCRIMINATION     2011  United  NaHons  General  Assembly  PoliHcal  DeclaraHon  on  HIV/AIDS  
  40. Where    are  we  now?     •  2015: HLM

    targets deadline •  PCB in December 2013 calls for treatment retargeting in the context of overall response •  Recent scientific developments and new guidelines ( WHO 2013 Treatment guidelines) •  Opportunity to shape post 2015 agenda- the unfinished business •  Sustain the response •  Help mobilise resources    
  41. Targets  for….   •  Last push to meet the Ten

    Targets of the 2011 Political Declaration •  Ending AIDS •  Accountability Targets drive progress, encourage innovation and accountability for RESULTS    
  42. TargeMng  Process:  Global  and  Regional       Global: • 

    New estimates and modelling projections April – May 2014 •  Discussions on targets as part of the post 2015 dialogue •  Realistic covering short-term; aspirational and ambitious for the medium term and towards the long term horizon •  Key milestones 2015: Acceleration; 2020: Aspirational; 2030 ending AIDS Regional: •  Create momentum and initiate discussion with countries •  Asia and the Pacific regional dialogue 12-13 June 2014
  43. TargeMng  Process:  Country  level   •  Countries need to evaluate

    their progress on HIV response and set their own targets •  Build on existing opportunities and have inclusive national consultations: ü Global Fund New Funding Model applications; ü Investment Cases; ü New National Strategic Plans ; ü 2015 end review of the 'Ten Targets'
  44. IndicaMve  global  targets  for  key   intervenMons  1    

    PROGRAMME ACTIVITIES Accelerate towards 2015 Aspire for 2020 Ending AIDS by 2030 Coverage People living with HIV who know their serological status - 90% 90% People living with HIV who know their status and are initiated in antiretroviral therapy 80% 90% 90% Viral load suppression among people on antiretroviral therapy - 90% 90% Pregnant mothers living with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy 90% 95% >95% Infants living with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy 90% 90% >90%
  45. Treatment  targets  90-­‐90-­‐90     90%   90%   90%

      TESTED     ON  TREATMENT     VIRALLY  SUPPRESSED     100% 90% 81% 73% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 People living with HIV Tested On treatment Virally suppressed
  46. PROGRAMME ACTIVITIES Accelerate towards 2015 Aspire for 2020 Ending AIDS

    by 2030 Coverage Access to services (including PrEP as appropriate) for female sex workers, transgenders, men who have sex with men Access to OST for PWID Outreach for PWID including needle exchange programme enrollment for PWID PrEP (Female Sex Workers, Men who have Sex with man, Serodiscordant couples in generalized epidemics and sexually active adolescents in hyper-endemic countries ) 80% 20% 60% - 85% 40% 85% 10% 90% 40% 90% >30% IndicaMve  global  targets  for  key   intervenMons  2    
  47. IndicaMve  global  targets  for  key   intervenMons  3   PROGRAMME

    ACTIVITIES Accelerate towards 2015 Aspire for 2020 Ending AIDS by 2030 Coverage Voluntary medical male circumcision (for specific countries) uptake (male 15-29 years circumcised) 80% 80% 80% Condoms and lubricants distributed and sold per adult (15–64 years old), in specific countries 25 25–40 40 Social and behaviour change programme (selected countries) •  Access to communication of prevention and demand generation for population (15-49 years) •  Access to cash incentives for young girls (hyper-endemic countries only) 50% - 80% 30% 80% 50%
  48. Expected  Impact     Potential impact to be expected 2015

    2020 2030 Reduction in new HIV infections (baseline 2010) 50% 75% 90% Reduction in new HIV infections among children (baseline 2009) 90% 95% >95% Reduction in Stigma (baseline 2010) – – 90% Reduction in AIDS-related deaths (baseline 2010) – – 90%
  49. AIDS-RELATED DEATHS NEW HIV INFECTIONS DISCRIMINATION GeLng  to  ZERO:  

    Ending  the  AIDS  epidemic  by  2030   Delivering equity: indicators to be disaggregated by: age, gender, key population, and income status to measure progress on leaving no one behind. The baseline year is 2010. -  90% reduction in new adult HIV infecHons, including among key populations -  Zero new infections among children - 90% reduction in stigma and discriminaHon faced by people living with HIV and key populations - 90% reduction in AIDS-­‐related deaths 90% 90% 90%
  50. No  one  leg  behind:  Universal  access  to  prevenMon  and  

    treatment,    and  resource  needs  in  the  post  2015  era    12-­‐13  June  2014,  Bangkok   •  Representatives of governments from China, Fiji, Indonesia, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam; •  Regional communities of people living with HIV; men who have sex with men; sex workers; transgender people; people who use drugs; •  UNAIDS Cosponsors and development partners Objectives: 1.  Consensus on need for ambitious targets for post 2015 era 2.  Validation of inputs for global resource needs estimates      
  51. Country  Ownership     2014   2015   2017  

    2020   2030   Use  NFM  to  set    ambiMous  targets   12  Countries  NSPs  end  in  2015   Use  next  generaMon  of  NSPs  to  develop  ambiMous  targets   Targets  essenMal  for  next  GF   Replenishment   Towards  Ending  AIDS   15  Countries  will  submit  NFM  during   2014/2015   Development  of  investment  cases    
  52. Regional  dialog  outcomes     •  Partners welcomed the global

    targets as accountability framework for intensified efforts to end AIDS by 2030. •  Scaling up HIV testing, geographical prioritization, focus on key populations, innovation in service delivery, and increased funding are all key to scaling up access to services and reaching the coverage milestones in 2020 and 2030. •  Country partners asked for flexibility in term of setting “ ambitious” targets within their county specific epidemic ( national and subnational) context and based on current coverage baselines •  Communities asked for quality of services to be ensured , not just merely to look at the numbers and would like to see Hep C included in the targets
  53. Vox  Populi     "The  preven*on  and  treatment  targets  for

     2020   and  2030  are  ambi*ous,  but  it’s  good  to  set  the   bar  high  as  it  encourages  health  professionals,   governments  and  civil  society  to  refocus,   innovate  and  collaborate.“     Myint  Shwe,  Programme  Manager,  Na*onal  AIDS   Programme,  Department  of  Health,  Ministry  of   Health,  Myanmar     "We  are  not  merely  numbers.       The  new  targets  for  post-­‐2015  have  to  ensure   universal  access  to  quality  preven*on  and  treatment   services,  including  hepa**s  C  diagnosis  and   treatment  for  people  who  use  drugs.      And  we  should  also  develop  indicators  for   community-­‐led  HIV  tes*ng  and  services.“     Anand  Chabungbam,  Regional  Coordinator,  Asian   Network  of  People  Who  Use  Drugs     "This  is  not  just  about  being  ambi*ous,   rather  working  out  a  way  to  deliver   preven*on  and  treatment,  in  partnership   with  communi*es,  to  maximize  impact  and   save  lives.     This  is  in  line  with  how  Indonesia  is  working,   and  having  an  aspira*onal  set  of  targets  will   give  focus  to  those  efforts.“     Kemal  N.  Siregar,  Secretary,  NaHonal  AIDS   Commission,  Indonesia  
  54. In  conclusion     •  Achieve (ten) 2015 HLM targets

    •  Set new ambitious targets: ü Acceleration; 2020: ü Aspirational; 2030 ending AIDS •  Countries need to set their own targets, build on existing opportunities
  55. GeLng  to  zero  new  infecMons  will  take:   §  Strengthened

    political leadership and national ownership §  Focus on key populations, key geographical areas, and effective coverage scale-up §  Sustain rights-based approaches that have been successful for sex work related infections – despite the legal barriers §  Current programming is not working effectively for MSM – innovation required taking into account behaviors §  Community Based HIV testing §  Maximized treatment benefits §  Community involvement and leadership §  Smart investments, maximum impact
  56. Countries are already moving: CD4 threshold for ART initiation *

     As  reported  at  Asia-­‐Pacific  PPTCT  Task  Force  meeMng,  Kathmandu,  Aug  2013;  most  countries  convening  policy  reviews  by  end  of   2014  to  make  decisions   Number of countries surveyed: 16 National policies as of August 2013 Likely changes
  57. Countries  are  already  moving:     PMTCT  –  move  to

     opMon  B  or  B+   *  As  reported  at  Asia-­‐Pacific  PPTCT  Task  Force  meeHng,  Kathmandu,  Aug  2013;  most  countries  convening  policy  reviews  by  end  of  2014  to  make  decisions   Number of countries surveyed: 16 National policies as of August 2013 Likely changes