Creating Innovative Pathways amidst uncertainty: the provision of information in anticipation initiatives

Presented by Jean Archambeault, Director of Information and Analysis Services at NRC Knowledge Management at InfoNexus 2016 in Montreal, Canada. Visit http://info-nexus.org/ for more detail.

Transcript

6. Metascan Foresight Workshop Interviews Distillation of future opportunities Opportunities description Stakeholder engagement Deep dives Participative, consultative: Expert-based, thought leaders, stakeholders Information provision, analytics
17. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic • Reducible by information • Always subjective • Subjectivity introduces errors, unreliability, deficiency, noise • Information relates to control, efficiency, optimization • Predictability is possible – you can forecast Fundamental
18. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic • Information reduces or heightens uncertainty • Affects - Uncomfortable or excitement • Perceived as a threat to the self • Associated pathologies: anxiety disorders; groupthink or group polarization. • Predictability is desired Fundamental
19. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic Fundamental • Irreducible by information - aleatory • External world, subject independent • Indeterminacy beyond measurement • Probabilistic methodologies at the macrostate level, predictability at microstate is impossible
20. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic Fundamental • Information is less critical than tolerance to uncertainty • Assumed as a intrinsic condition of being; • A precondition for intelligence, freedom and creativity • Pathology associated is schizophrenia • Defies predictability, assumes emergence
21. Epistemic analytical Epistemic experiential Fundamental analytical Fundamental experiential Producing certainty; determinism; identity; entity; control; signal; precision; reducing subjectivity; anxiety; prediction; intolerance Noise; probabilities; equivocality; irresolution; potential; ambiguity; failure; schizophrenia; indeterminacy; creativity; tolerance Analytical; statistical; measurement; objectivity; formalism Psychological; subjective; experiential; affects; emotions; behaviors; meaning