Creating Innovative Pathways amidst uncertainty: the provision of information in anticipation initiatives

Transcript

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6. Metascan Foresight Workshop Interviews Distillation of future opportunities Opportunities description

   Stakeholder engagement Deep dives Participative, consultative: Expert-based, thought leaders, stakeholders Information provision, analytics
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17. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic • Reducible by

    information • Always subjective • Subjectivity introduces errors, unreliability, deficiency, noise • Information relates to control, efficiency, optimization • Predictability is possible – you can forecast Fundamental

18. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic • Information reduces

    or heightens uncertainty • Affects - Uncomfortable or excitement • Perceived as a threat to the self • Associated pathologies: anxiety disorders; groupthink or group polarization. • Predictability is desired Fundamental

19. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic Fundamental • Irreducible

    by information - aleatory • External world, subject independent • Indeterminacy beyond measurement • Probabilistic methodologies at the macrostate level, predictability at microstate is impossible

20. Cognitive (Analytical-Rational) Experiential (Intuitive - Experiential) Epistemic Fundamental • Information

    is less critical than tolerance to uncertainty • Assumed as a intrinsic condition of being; • A precondition for intelligence, freedom and creativity • Pathology associated is schizophrenia • Defies predictability, assumes emergence

21. Epistemic analytical Epistemic experiential Fundamental analytical Fundamental experiential Producing certainty;

    determinism; identity; entity; control; signal; precision; reducing subjectivity; anxiety; prediction; intolerance Noise; probabilities; equivocality; irresolution; potential; ambiguity; failure; schizophrenia; indeterminacy; creativity; tolerance Analytical; statistical; measurement; objectivity; formalism Psychological; subjective; experiential; affects; emotions; behaviors; meaning
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