Mining Software Repositories 2020: Intelligent Data

Presented at Mining Summer School MSR Vision 2020. http://msrcanada.org/msrvision2020/

Transcript

1. Mining Software Repositories 2020:
   INTELLIGENT DATA
   Thomas Zimmermann
   Amateur Futurist
   © Microsoft Corporation
   

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2. Accenture survey among 254 US managers in industry.
   http://newsroom.accenture.com/article_display.cfm?article_id=4777
   40 percent of major decisions are based
   not on facts, but on the manager’s gut. ”
   “
   

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3. Software development analytics
   Empower software development teams
   to gain and share insight from their data
   to make better decisions. ”
   “
   http://research.microsoft.com/apps/pubs/default.aspx?id=144543
   

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4. INTELLIGENCE IN EVERYTHING
   Photo via http://www.flickr.com/photos/intelfreepress/6793363054
   Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
   Brian David Johnson, Futurist, Intel
   

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5. INTELLIGENCE IN EVERYTHING
   "The models I develop explore what it will feel like to
   be a human in the year 2020. […] The models I build
   are based on a mix of social and computer science,
   statistical data and my constant travels around the
   world talking to people about the future. […]
   As we approach 2020 the size of computing moves to
   zero. […] How do we want to make the lives of people
   all over the world better by infusing our lives with
   intelligence?"
    Brian David Johnson, Futurist, Intel
   Photo via http://www.flickr.com/photos/intelfreepress/6793363054
   Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
   

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6. CLOUD BECOMES THE NORM
   Photo via http://www.prweb.com/releases/2011/12/prweb9052671.htm
   Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
   Jack Uldrich
   

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7. "My prediction is that the term 'cloud' will
   have disappeared from the phrase 'cloud
   computing' by 2020, because the majority
   of computing will simply assumed to be
   done in the cloud. […]”
    Jack Uldrich, Futurist
   CLOUD BECOMES THE NORM
   Photo via http://www.prweb.com/releases/2011/12/prweb9052671.htm
   Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
   

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8. CONNECTING THE CLOUD WITH THE CROWD
   Photo via http://www.mediafuturist.com/about.html
   Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
   Gerd Leonhard
   

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9. “Everything will have moved into the cloud: content,
   media, health records, education. Connecting the cloud
   with the crowd will become a huge business.
   Related to this, access will replace ownership in almost all
   forms of media. Future media 'consumers' will simply
   have music, films, TV shows, games, etc. in the cloud, paid
   'with attention […] Most importantly, many consumers
   will not pay for 'content' per se, but for all the added
   values around the content, such as curation, packaging,
   design, social connections, interfaces, apps, etc. […]“
    Gerd Leonhard, Futurist
   CONNECTING THE CLOUD WITH THE CROWD
   Photo via http://www.mediafuturist.com/about.html
   Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
   

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10. NEW ALGORITHMS AND TOOLS
    Photo via http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/docs/bio/Dave_Evans_Exec_Bio_Final.pdf
    Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
    Dave Evans, Cisco Chief Futurist
    

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11. “Predicting the future will be commonplace for
    the average person – futurists could be out of a job.
    We are amassing unprecedented amounts of data – a
    zettabyte alone this year. […]
    New […] algorithms and tools will unlock this rich
    source of data, creating unprecedented insight. Cloud
    based tools will allow anyone to mine this data
    and perform what-if analysis, even using it to predict
    the future.”
     Dave Evans, Cisco Chief Futurist
    NEW ALGORITHMS AND TOOLS
    Photo via http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/docs/bio/Dave_Evans_Exec_Bio_Final.pdf
    Quote via http://mashable.com/2012/04/04/predictions-digital-future/
    

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12. My MSR predictions for 2020
    • More + different data
    • More algorithms
    • More people
    • More roles (analysts!)
    • More real-time
    • More social
    • Less recommendation
    • Privacy becomes more important
    MY MSR PREDICITIONS FOR 2020
    

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13. • More + different data
    • More algorithms
    • More people (everyone mines data)
    • More roles (data scientists!)
    • More real-time
    • More social
    • More curation, less recommendation (maybe)
    • Privacy becomes more important
    MY MSR PREDICITIONS FOR 2020
    

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