Next Generation Warnings

Next Generation Warnings

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Colin Lord

July 20, 2012
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Transcript

  1. Next Generation Warnings How Smartphones Can Dramatically Improve The Severe

    Weather Warning Process
  2. Today I’m Not A Front End Developer • FLORIDA STATE

    UNIVERSITY 2008 • BACHELORS OF SCIENCE: METEOROLOGY • BACHELORS OF SCIENCE: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • MINOR: CHEMISTRY • MINOR: MATHEMATICS • MINOR: PHYSICS • CERTIFICATION: SKYWARN STORM SPOTTER
  3. Warnings Prior To 2007 • Issued by county • Generally

    for 45 minutes • We’re all familiar with this concept
  4. Warnings Since 2007 • Counties no longer used • Forecasters

    draw a polygon over the storm’s path • The science has gotten advanced enough we can be more precise than large county areas
  5. None
  6. Nobody uses the new system. (Yet!)

  7. Nobody Sees The New Warnings • TV stations still show

    warnings by overall counties, not polygons • NOAA Weather Radios are incapable of handling polygon warnings • Nobody takes advantage of 21st century technologies
  8. The science of meteorology is outpacing our ability to communicate

    it.
  9. The 4/27/11 Outbreak •359 tornadoes •Four EF-5 tornadoes •346 people

    killed •$11 billion in damage
  10. Every fatal tornado had at least 22 minutes of warning

    lead time.
  11. How Did 350 People Die?! • Forecast models predicted a

    major outbreak 5 days ahead • Tornado warnings were extremely accurate and issued with substantial lead time • TV coverage was excellent with several tornadoes broadcast live on tower cams
  12. None
  13. What Went Wrong • Two waves of storms 6 hours

    apart • Warnings so far advance people ignored them! • Adobe Flash: nobody could stream coverage on their phones
  14. What We Can Do Today •We can use smartphones to

    warn people on a very specific basis right now! •More accurate than any other medium for conveying warnings.
  15. None