Lovelace, University of Leeds. 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
2 I: Software 3 II: The Propensity to Cycle Tool (PCT): context, design and features 4 III: Uses of the PCT 5 IV Future research ideas Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
transport Propensity to Cycle Tool (PCT): design and development Uses of the PCT Future work Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
from transport models (Hollander 2015) See also work by Robert Bain Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
is big business Many planners are scrambling to make their cities healthier and cleaner But if solutions cannot be controled and shared, how can they scale? Which companies are ready for a transition away from fossil fuels: Arup? Steer Davies Gleave? Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
visualisation ‘apps’. A framework for making R output interactive An ‘app’ development framework A (small) growing community of developers centred around RStudio A way to structure online tools: separation of GUI and server via server.R and ui.R files. Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
features Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
closed models ‘Impact’ and ‘engagement’ increasingly important for research funding Complex data cannot be adequately summarised in a single static graphic Phase I: proof of concept (February - August 2015) Phase II: nationwide deployment (November 2015 - March 2017) National launch: July 2016 See: cedar.iph.cam.ac.uk/research/modelling/npct-tool Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
‘Energy 2050’ planning tool Walkability index site Interactive download of bicycle paths Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
of different scenarios Tidy! Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
orgin-destination) level Uses ‘distance decay’ + hilliness to estimate which existing trips could be cycled Other factors (e.g. demographics, route network characteristics) could be added Local impacts of meeting national targets Any model could be used to create scenarios of the future - e.g. for local targets Check out our paper: http://arxiv.org/abs/1509.04425 Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
prototype model Identify ‘desire lines’ of greatest potential Make the tool scalable nationally Create a website that will make the Propensity to Cycle Tool a publicly accessible resource Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
nationwide (V1 launch: June 2016) Route-allocated hilliness, network layer (complete) Include health outcomes (HEAT) National-level results (Anna Goodman) V1.5 - smaller (LSOA) zones (Jan 2017) Training Version 2 - local deployment Include non-commute trips Compatibility with Local Authority trip demand models Micro-level analysis (V 2.2) Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Yorkshire) Method for identifying severance Case study along HS2 route ‘Hackathons’ to stimulate the tool’s development Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
we build for existing cyclists? New cyclists in the medium term? Long-term strategy? The question depends on the city Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Ebikes Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
road network with https://t.co/DuzyCQCA50. Looks like streams + rivers! pic.twitter.com/geaV0mVKdG — Robin Lovelace (@robinlovelace) August 17, 2015 Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
by 2020 in Bristol) Combining with route-network data, e.g. via link to sDNA Scenarios estimating impacts from specific interventions International comparisons of propensity to cycle A global propensity to cycle map? Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Figure 19: Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53
2015/04/20/r-vs-qgis-for-transport.html Aequillibrea: transport planning toolbox - http://www.aequilibrae.com/ Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., & Woodcock, J. (2015). The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. arXiv preprint arXiv:1509.04425. Use Google and your imagination Code is good but start with a pen and paper! ## [1] FALSE Robin Lovelace, University of Leeds. Modelling cycling potential for sustainable transport planning: the ‘PCT’ 2016-05-09. Slides: rpubs.com/RobinLovelace / 53