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Propensity to Cycle Tool - CTC-Cyclenation Conference

67b1027cca3877a76a9024425519ddde?s=47 Robin
October 24, 2015

Propensity to Cycle Tool - CTC-Cyclenation Conference

Slides for a presentation on the Department for Transport funded Propensity to Cycle Tool (PCT)



October 24, 2015


  1. The propensity to cycle tool (PCT) Robin Lovelace, University of

    Leeds. Cyclenation-CTC Conference Created with open source software Slides: speakerdeck.com/robinlovelace Source: http://www.cyclingmegacities.com/2015/08/10/day-3-disconnected-cycle-ways/
  2. 1: Context http://homepag e.ntlworld.com/ pete.meg/wcc/f acility-of-the- month/January 2015.htm

  3. Isolated, hemmed-in routes

  4. Space re-allocation

  5. Knowledge -> power

  6. The Coventry Cycling Network?

  7. Transport planning tools of the trade: pricey and inaccessible http://www.oasys-software.com/products/engineering/massmotion.html

  8. Empower yourself with the open source revolution • New free

    software coming on-line all the time. Sometimes the best. New 'plugin' for free GIS system QGIS: Aequilibrae http://www.aequilibrae.com/
  9. Source: http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=1184 Cycling in the wider context

  10. Exploring the wider benefits: • “Cycling has saved me” •

    “You feel fresh and alert at work” • “I've saved a packet since selling the car” • “My bicycle has given me independence”
  11. Collaboration Credit: flickr CC license

  12. A free planning tool: CycleStreets.net http://www.cyclestreets.net/journey/44700192/

  13. A caveat about open source • We want less stuff

    like this… • • • And more like this!
  14. 2: The Propensity to Cycle Tool (PCT) Credit: Robin Lovelace

  15. What does it do? • Visualises current cycling rate •

    Interactive visualisation of cycling 'desire lines' • Illustrates scenarios of the future... • At high-geographical resolution • Including route-allocated potential
  16. Policy context • Department for Transport funded • Phase 1

    – Prototype: Feb – July '15 • Phase 2 – Nationwide deployment: 2016 – 2017 – Version 1 – aggregate level model: Summer 2016 – Version 1.5 – aggregate level model++: winter 2016 – Version 2 – 'microsimulation version': early 2017
  17. Technological context http://blog.rstudio.org/2015/06/24/leaflet-interactive-web-maps-with-r/

  18. It's all open source – 'fork my code!' https://github.com/npct

  19. How the model works Source: NPCT model Output (Leeds) See

  20. Tool Features • Scenario selection • Cycle route information to

    show • Top n lines • Top n% of network segments • Freeze scope • Satellite view
  21. 3: Live demo!

  22. Next steps • Deploy the NPCT nationwide • Add education

    layer • Tweaks to the model • Micro-level model • Include 'amplifier' effects • Training – allow others to modify
  23. Thanks for listening! Credit: Robin Lovelace Email. r.lovelace@leeds Twitter: @robinlovelace

    GitHub: robinlovelace
  24. Key references • Goodwin, P. (2013). Get Britain cycling: report

    from the inquiry. London. Retrieved from http://allpartycycling.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/g et-britain-cycling_goodwin-report.pdf • Kay, D., Reynolds, J., Rodrigues, S., Lee, A., Anderson, B., Gibbs, R., … Gill, T. (2011). Fairness in a car dependent society. Sustainable Development Commission: http://www.sd- commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=1184 • Lovelace, R., Goodman, A., Aldred, R., Berkoff, N., Abbas, A., Woodcock, J. (2015). The Propensity to Cycle Tool: An open source online system for sustainable transport planning. arXiv:1509.04425 [cs]. • Melia, S. (2015). Urban Transport Without the Hot Air. Cambridge: UIT.
  25. The Propensity to Cycle Academic Team • James Woodcock •

    Rachel Aldred • Anna Goodman • Robin Lovelace
  26. Cycling is contagious! Credit: Tom Gutowski, Sustrans

  27. Positive social feedback Credit: Tom Gutowski, Sustrans