3. a) probability - the chance that something will happen b) prediction - saying what might happen in the future c) event - what occurs in order to produce a result / outcome d) outcome - the result of an event e) probability scale be. f) relative frequency - the number of times an outcome occurs divided by the total number of events that happened. g) theoretical probability - the expected probability of an outcome based on what we know about the event and its possible outcomes. h) tree diagram - a diagram that shows all the possible combinations for more than one event. a) very likely b) almost never c) never d) equally likely and unlikely e) unlikely a) d) 1 6 1 2 - a way to measure how likely or unlikely an outcome will b) e) 3 6 0 1 =2 c) 0
60% b) = 0.1667 = 16.67% 6 d) 5 1 7 8 = 0.875 = 87.5% f) 8 4 5 1 5 1 a) 80% = 0.8 = 10 = 5 c) 50% = 0.5 = 10 = 2 e) 5% = 0.05 = 100 = 20 a) c) 1 9 10 1 20 = 0.01 = 1% = 0.9 = 90% = 0.05 = 5% 55 11 b) 55% = 0.55 = 100 = 20 d) 100% = 1 b) 2 1 100 1 2 For this question I used the random number generator on the EL-W535SA: Press Your results will be different from mine: T i) d) H H H T 7 H ii) 10 H H H T 3 10 iii) No, I was expecting that heads and tails would be evenly spread with the same number of heads and tails. That is, the theoretical probability is 1 and that is no the relative frequency that I got. 2 H H i) Yes, the relative frequency of heads is now 20 = 10 while the relative T H T H T T T 12 8 H 6 4 frequency of tails is 20 = 10 ii) e) Yes, it is closer We cannot always expect the theoretical probability to occur immediately, but the more events take place the more the relative frequency will tend towards the theoretical probability.