Follow up: now using 15 years - SBR prevalence All years (2005 - 2019) 2 States (south) PR and RS Commercial soybean fields First (date) report in a county 2,027 records ~15,000 records PR RS
Conclusions ● Large scale spatiotemporal spread varies among seasons and states ● Multiple inoculum sources affect initial epidemic area ● Early- and mid- season weather plays a major role ● ENSO conditions useful as early warning Tactical Strategical Pre-season Growing season Risk prediction Outlook Forecasting Warning What's next? Develop models for predicting and mapping disease risk at the regional level Thank you! @edelponte