HISTOIRE DU FUTUR (Future's history in EN)

Our world is confronted more and more to unprecedented events and situations.
Futurists are both predicting collapse and utopia.
What future do we need to prepare for.

How to prevent the next crisis?
Are our companies, sectors, institutions and us are resilient?

What can we do to develop resilience, how can we achieve a preferable future?

Transcript

1. 1 FUTUR IMMEDIAT! A lecture by Raphael Thys HISTOIRE DU FUTUR
2. HISTOIRE DU FUTUR? Introduction, program of the cursus
3. FUTURIST CREATE IMPACT BY SHARING KNOWLEDGE 47 9 10 16 20+ STRATEGIC DESIGNER - UX ARCHITECT HELP PEOPLE TO START MOVING TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE PREFERRED FUTURE
4. FUTUR IMMEDIAT! TOWARDS PREFERABLE FUTURES
5. FUTUR IMMEDIAT! INSPIRATION, NETWORKING, HELP TO START MOVING
6. FUTURE IS GOOD PARTNER & CO - FOUNDER
7. WE ARE A DIFFERENT KIND OF STRATEGY, CHANGE & TRANSFORMATION AGENCY
8. CHANGE FOR GOOD OUR FOCUS
9. SOME REFERENCES
10. RANSBECK THE LIFESTYLE OF OUR GRAND-PARENTS THE TECHNOLOGY OF OUR GRAND-KIDS
11. YOU? WHAT IS THE FUTURE YOU WANT? DO YOU THINK IT WILL HAPPEN? IF NOT WHY? IF NOT, WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO TO CHANGE IT?
12. SURVEY RESULTS GLOBAL OVERVIEW
13. SURVEY RESULTS ZOOM IN
14. FUTUR IMMEDIAT Before we start : Survey Days 3 & 4 : Workshop “Towards preferable futures” Between classes : videos, review slides, lectures Days 1 & 2 : Histoire du futur
15. TABLE OF CONTENT Unexpected is the new normal Transformation towards a preferable future The Upcoming 4th industrial revolution Past & digital age overview Future's shock & exponentiallity
16. OBJECTIVES Perspective change Mountain view Introduction to future thinking
17. BENEFITS General understanding of impacting concepts Navigation toolkit Better understanding of the context in which you are going to start your adult life Key insights to navigate towards your preferable future
18. NOTES It helps me to better understand why and what the class is speaking about. It will help me to stay alert and avoid mistakes. It will help me to take concrete actions. Quick wins.
19. DISCLAIMER
20. DISCLAIMER
21. DISCLAIMER
22. DISCLAIMER
23. UNEXPECTED IS THE NEW NORMAL
24. 2040/2050?
25. “Mankind will change more in the next 20 years, than in the last 300” Gerd Leonhard
26. “Change means movement, movement means friction” Saul Alinsky
27. 27 SOCIAL FRICTIONS
28. 28 SOCIAL FRICTIONS
29. 29 SOCIAL FRICTIONS
30. 30 SOCIAL FRICTIONS
31. 31 SOCIAL FRICTIONS
32. 32 SOCIAL FRICTIONS
33. HACTIVISTS ANONYMOUS, ARAB SPRINGS, WHISTLEBLOWERS
34. KEYBOARD WARRIORS
35. IDIOCRACY
36. IDIOCRACY READING TIME REPLACED BY SCREEN TIME
37. 37 7" 11" 15" 2000" 2005" 2010" 2015" 9"Seconds" ? Average attention span since public internet IDIOCRACY ATTENTION FRAGMENTATION
38. IDIOCRACY LANGUAGE PAUPERISATION
39. IDIOCRACY IQ DECREASE
40. 40 IDIOCRACY
41. IDIOCRACY BRAIN ROT THEORY
42. 42 TECHNOLOGICAL FRICTIONS
43. INFORMATIONAL CHAOS
44. THE MATRIX HAS YOU
45. THE MATRIX HAS YOU
46. 46 THE MATRIX HAS YOU
47. 47 INFORMATIONAL CHAOS OPINION DIVIDE
48. Source : washingtonexaminer.com FAKE NEWS
49. DEEP FAKE
50. CONSPIRACY THEORIES
51. 3D PRINTING
52. ROBOTICS
53. NANOTECHNOLOGIES
54. BIOTECHNOLOGIES
55. IOT
56. AI
57. 57 DIGITAL IS DEAD
58. 58 SKILLS SCARCITY
59. 59 ENVIRONMENTAL FRICTIONS
60. CARBON CRISIS
61. 61 ECO SYSTEM CRISIS
62. 62 POLLUTION CRISIS
63. 63 RESOURCES CRISIS
64. 64 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS
65. 65 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS A MORE BALANCED WORLD
66. A MORE BALANCED WORLD MINT, PIST, Emerging 7, Next 11
67. 67 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS THE “NEW” ECONOMY
68. ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS COLLUSION/CORRUPTION
69. ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS COLLUSION/CORRUPTION
70. 70 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS THE DEBT TRAP
71. 71 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS INEQUALITIES
72. 72 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS GLOBAL ENRICHMENT
73. 73 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS INEQUALITIES
74. $3 $6 $9 $12 million $0 1963 99th percentile $1,457,201 1983 99th percentile $3,323,063 2016 99th percentile $10,400,000 Source: Urban Institute calculations from Survey of Financial Characteristics of Consumers 1962 (December 31), Survey of Changes in Family Finances 1963, and Survey of Consumer Finances 1983-2016 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS INEQUALITIES
75. 75 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS HETERONOMOUS AND JUST-IN-TIME
76. 76 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS ECONOMICAL GROWTH = ENERGY
77. 77 ECONOMICAL FRICTIONS THE LIMIT OF GROWTH
78. 78 POLITICAL FRICTIONS
79. 79 GEOPOLITICAL SHIFTS
80. 80 POLITICAL SHIFTS
81. POST-DEMOCRACY
82. Is privacy important, if you have nothing to hide? POST-DEMOCRACY PRIVACY
83. “Donnez moi 6 lignes écrites de la main du plus honnête homme, et j’y trouverai de quoi l’y faire pendre” Cardinal Richelieu "Give me 6 lines from the most honest man, I will find enough therein to hang him” POST-DEMOCRACY
84. POST-DEMOCRACY
85. POST-DEMOCRACY
86. DIGITAL SURVEILLANCE
87. Source : Financial Time POST-DEMOCRACY
88. 88 THE WORLD IS VUCA
89. BUSINESS AS USUAL IS DEAD
90. WIDE FUTURES’ SPECTRUM
91. MANY FUTURES
92. MANY FUTURES
93. FUTURE’S TIMELINE
94. 94 GREAT FILTER Very distant future of mankind?
95. 95 GREAT FILTER
96. 96 GREAT FILTER
97. 97 4th WAVE
98. “Past success is no guarantee of future success” Steven Van Belleghem
99. “This telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us” Western Union internal memo (1876)
100. “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers” Thomas Watson, IBM Chairman (1943)
101. Remote shopping, while entirely feasible, will flop.” Time Magazine (1966)
102. “There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home” Ken Olsen Digital Equipement Corp. Founder (1977)
103. “There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share.” Steve Ballmer, Microsoft CEO (April 2007)
104. “Is Netflix a threat? Is the Albanian army going to take over the world?” Jeffery Bewkles CEO Time Warner, (2010)
105. “Success breeds complacency Complacency breeds failure Only the paranoid survive “ Andy Grove (former Intel CEO)
106. 106 SUCCESS “A Successful person isn’t necessarily better than her less successful peers at solving problems; Her pattern recognition facilities have just learned what problems are worth solving.” Ray Kurzweil
107. 107 IN THE ROOM
108. 108 “If you can describe your job, it can be automated” Geerd Leonhard
109. 109 FUTURE’S HORIZON Future’s shock, exponentially & VUCA
110. 110 Source : Duval union RELEASE DATE : 1970 THE FUTURE SHOCK* IS HAPPENING NOW! The trauma that results of going trough great changes in a short period of time
111. 111 EXPONENTIALITY
112. 0,01 2 3 4 10 20 0,3€ LINEAR
113. 0,01 2 3 4 10 10k€ 10 m€ EXPONENTIAL
114. Source: Ray Kurzweil, “The singularity is near: when humans transcend biology”, p.67, The Viking Press, 2006. Datapoints between 2000 and 2012 represent BCA estimates ELECTROMECHANICAL SOLID STATE RELAY TRANSISTOR INTEGRATED CIRCUIT VACUUM TUBE 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 OPTICAL, QUANTUM, DNA COMPUTING HUMAN BRAIN MOUSE BRAIN 0 104 108 1012 1016 10-4 CORE I7 QUAD PENTIUM APPLE II ALTAIR 8800 UNVAC I COLOSSUS IBM TABULATOR ANALYTICAL ENGINE CALCULATIONS PER SECOND PER $1000 EXPONENTIALITY
115. 115 EXPONENTIALITY 4Kb Vs 17 Kb
116. EXPONENTIALITY Storage capacity doubles every 18 months Computer power Storage KRYDER’S LAW (STORAGE)
117. 117 KRYDER’S LAW 1956 : 5MB 2005 : 128MB 2014 : 128GB 24 000 000 $/GB 772 $/GB 1,2 $/GB
118. 118 KRYDER’S LAW 1956 : 5MB 2005 : 128MB 2014 : 128GB 24 000 000 $/GB 772 $/GB 1,2 $/GB 10 TRILLION FOLD IMPROVEMENTS
119. Bandwidth grows at least three times faster than computer power Computer power Bandwidth EXPONENTIALITY GILDER’S LAW (BANDWITH)
120. 120 DIAL UP ADSL BROADBAND SUPER BROADBAND DATE SPEED EXPONENTIALITY GILDER’S LAW (BANDWITH)
121. EXPONENTIALITY GILDER’S LAW (BANDWITH)
122. EXPONENTIALITY GILDER’S LAW (BANDWITH)
123. EXPONENTIALITY GILDER’S LAW (BANDWITH)
124. EXPONENTIALITY GILDER’S LAW (BANDWITH)
125. 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2002 2004 1992 1999 Cell Cost $/Watt Cumulative Installations, MWp 100 1 K 10 K 100 K 1 M 1 B $ 0.10 $ 10 $ 1 EXPONENTIALITY SWANSON’S LAW (SOLAR ENERGY COST)
126. $10K $100K $1M $10M $100M $1K 2001 2005 2010 2015 Moore’s Law EXPONENTIALITY COST PER GENOME
127. EXPONENTIALITY Mid 90’s : 2.7 B$
128. EXPONENTIALITY 2017 : 99 $
129. Q1:97 Q1:01 Q1:05 Q1:09 Q1:13 25 50 0 Global PC (Desktop/Notebook) and Tablet Shipments by Quarter Q1:95– Q1:13 Desktop PCs Notebook PCs Tablets EXPONENTIALITY
130. 130 EXPONENTIALITY
131. EXPONENTIALITY
132. IBM AN/FSQ-7 – 1958 Whirlwind I – 1951 UNIVAC 1101 - 1950 EXPONENTIALITY 50’s BUILDING SIZE COMPUTERS
133. CDC6600 - 1964 HP 2116A - 1966 DDP-116 i - 1965 EXPONENTIALITY 60’s ROOM SIZE COMPUTERS
134. XEROX Parc - 1974 Apple I - 1976 Apple II - 1977 EXPONENTIALITY 70’s DESK SIZE COMPUTERS (PIONEERS)
135. Commodore VIC-20 - 1980 IBM pc - 1982 Apple Mac - 1984 EXPONENTIALITY 80’s DESK SIZE COMPUTERS (MATURITY)
136. Apple Mac portable - 1989 Apple PowerBook - 1991 IBM Thinkpad - 1995 EXPONENTIALITY 90’s LAP SIZE COMPUTERS
137. Apple iPhone - 2007 Amazon Kindle - 2007 Apple iPad - 2009 EXPONENTIALITY 00’s HAND SIZE COMPUTERS
138. Nest thermostat - 2011 Raspberry pie (25$) - 2012 Apple Watch - 2015 EXPONENTIALITY 10’s WRIST SIZE COMPUTERS
139. EXPONENTIALITY 20’s CELL SIZE COMPUTERS?
140. Global digital information created and shared each year - zettabytes 2 4 6 8 0 2005 2010 2015 Zettabytes 1 Zettabyte 1 000 Exabytes 1 000 000 Petabytes 1 000 000 000 Terabytes 1 000 000 000 000 Gigabytes 1/1 000 Yottabyte 1/1 000 000 Brontobyte 1 000 000 000 000 000 Megabytes EXPONENTIALITY
141. 1900 Knowledge doubling every century 1945 Knowledge doubling every 25 years 1982 Knowledge doubling every 12-13 months 2020 IBM predicts knowledge doubling every 11-12 hours Source : https://steemit.com/philosophy/@rsguardian/limitless-alih9vcs0x EXPONENTIALITY
142. EXPONENTIALITY
143. WORLD GDP OVER THE LAST TWO MILLENNIA Total output of the world economy; adjusted for inflation and expressed in 2011 international dollars. $20 trillion $40 trillion $60 trillion $80 trillion $100 trillion $0 1 2015 1500 1000 500 Source: World GDP – Our World In Data based on World Bank & Maddison (2017) GDP
144. SOCIO-ECONOMIC TRENDS (1750-2010) EARTH SYSTEM TRENDS (1750-2010) Real GDP World Population Foreign Direct Investment Nitrous Oxide Carbon Dioxide Methane Primary energy use Urban population Fertilizer consumption Surface temperature Stratospheric ozone Ocean acidification Water use Large dams Paper production Shrimp aquaculture Marine fish capture Coastal nitrogen Tele- communications Transportation International tourism Domesticated land Tropical forest loss Terrestrial biosphere degradation EXPONENTIALITY
145. 145 ? Biology Culture Technology EXPONENTIALITY
146. ACCELERATION OF THE ACCELERATION We are here
147. MATRIX OF KNOWLEDGE
148. 148 FRAGMENTATION
149. IMPREDICTIBILITY
150. 150 IMPREDICTIBILITY
151. IMPREDICTIBILITY
152. IMPREDICTIBILITY
153. IMPREDICTIBILITY
154. IMPREDICTIBILITY
155. IMPREDICTIBILITY
156. 156 IMPREDICTIBILITY
157. 157 MITIGATION
158. 158 LAWS OF PHYSIC
159. AMARA’S LAW “we tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.”
160. AMARA’S LAW “we tend to overestimate the e ect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the e ect in the long run.”
162. EVOLUTION Physiological needs Security needs Social needs Self esteem Meaning
163. 163 EXPONENTIAL HISTORY
164. 164 ? Biology Culture Technology MANKIND’S 3 WAVES
165. 165 12 000 YEARS AGRICULTURE WRITTING PRINTING STEAM OVER 12 000 years
166. 1st INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 1784
167. 1913 2d INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
168. 168 3D INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION The digital age 1969
169. 169 THE DIGITAL AGE INTERNET SOCIAL MOBILE CLOUD COMPUTER
170. 170 ECONOMY 3.0
171. DIGITAL DARWNISM “The evolution of customer behaviour when society & technology evolve faster than one’s ability to adapt” Brian Solis
172. 1995 + 2005 + 2015 + Music Photography Video Rental Print Media Tv Travel Retail Automotive Education Healthcare Banking/insurance 2020 All niches & safe markets will be subject to digital disruption 1995+ 2005+ 2015+ 2020 Music Photography Video rental Print media TV Travel Retail Automotive Education Healthcare Banking/Insurance All niches & safe markets will be subject to digital disruption Source : Duval Union EVERYWHERE From immaterial to material to everywhere
173. Kodak valuation decline DIGITAL DARWINISM
174. 1976 : Near to monopolistic situation 1990 : One of the most valuable brand in the world 1991 : Introduce the 1st digital camera 2000 : Main sponsor of Olympic Games choose to promote celluloid film (more money on short term) 2003 : People starts to take pictures with mobile phones 2007 : The iPhone is released 2012 : Bankruptcy 2015 : Announce release of selfie sticks KODAKISATION
175. NOT UNIQUE
176. CREATIVE DESTRUCTION
177. THE NETWORK ECONOMY
178. PLATFORMS The world’s largest taxi company, owns no vehicles The world’s most popular media owner, creates no content The most valuable retailer, has no inventory The world’s largest accommodation provider, owns no real estate
179. WINNER TAKES ALL
180. Ranked by n° of active users (01/2017) WINNER TAKES ALL
181. Ranked by n° of active users (01/2017) WINNER TAKES ALL
182. COMPETING WITH HOTELS using an ecosystem Source: PLATFORM THINKING Copyright © 2015 Sangeet Paul Choudary, Geoffrey Parker and Marshall Van Alstyne
183. 183 NEW WINNERS
184. 184 NEW WINNERS
185. 185 NEW WINNERS
186. GAFA ARE COMPETITORS
187. GAFA want to spread the internet Access is a strategical business enabler for GAFA and GAFA alike … Not a business model GAFA ARE COMPETITORS
188. GAFA ARE PARTNERS
189. More info on Gafa GAFA ARE PARTNERS
190. 190 Baïdu Tecent Xiomi Alibaba NEW WINNERS
191. 30,8 24 EXPECT THEM
192. 30,8 B$ 24 H Nov 2018 EXPECT THEM
193. 256 K Sec Nov 2017 transactions EXPECT THEM
194. 90% Nov 2017 Mobile EXPECT THEM
195. 195 THE DATA ECONOMY
196. ABUNDANCE OF DATA
197. GLOBAL REACH
198. 198 “WHEN INFORMATION IS FREE, ATTENTION IS EXPENSIVE” James Gleick ATTENTION ECONOMY
199. Source : Tristan Harris (TED)
200. SIMPLE.COM ATTENTION ECOLOGY
201. “In the digital space We earn it, we spend it” BRIAN SOLIS ATTENTION IS A CURRENCY
202. THE USER CENTRIC ERA
203. THE EXPERIENCE ECONOMY
204. Commoditisation COMMODITISATION2
205. EXPERIENCE ECONOMY $ 6.00 $ 5.00 $ 4.00 $ 3.00 $ 2.00 $ 1.00 Commodities Goods Services Experiences café en vrac Paquet de café café
206. TRANSFORMATION ECONOMY
207. TRANSFORMATION ECONOMY
208. Source : NIKE ADS
209. THE PURPOSE ECONOMY
210. BRAND ACTIVISM Source : adweek FROM MARKETING TO MATTERING
211. BRAND ACTIVISM
212. 212 A NEW WORLD 33% Future: installation in progress
213. NEWS VS FACTS Hans Rosling
214. If it bleeds, it leads Popular expression
215. 215 SHOCK THERAPY
216. 216 BIASES
217. 217 “The children now love luxury; they have bad manners, contempt for authority; they show disrespect for elders and love cha er in place of exercise. Children are now tyrants, not the servants of their households. They no longer rise when elders enter the room. They contradict their parents, cha er before company, gobble up dainties at the table, cross their legs, and tyrannise their teachers.” BIASES
218. 218 ― Socrates “The children now love luxury; they have bad manners, contempt for authority; they show disrespect for elders and love cha er in place of exercise. Children are now tyrants, not the servants of their households. They no longer rise when elders enter the room. They contradict their parents, cha er before company, gobble up dainties at the table, cross their legs, and tyrannize their teachers.” BIASES
219. 219 The NEGATIVITY instinct: forge ing how the world really was before. It is not because some things are bad today that they cannot be be er than they were before! BIASES
220. x BIASES
221. 221 The STRAIGHT LINE instinct: the danger of extrapolating from a known variable. There are straight lines of course, but more o en lines are curved or S-shaped; this is the case in demographics, for instance. BIASES
222. The FEAR instinct: some of our ancestral fears, justified at the time when we lived in caves, still haunt us today even though the situation has radically changed. And we have a tendency to grossly exaggerate modern threats such as terrorism, compared to other causes of death. BIASES
223. 223 The SIZE instinct: the tendency to look at individual figures without pu ing them in perspective. There are more than four million infant deaths (for 141 million births) per year in the world today, which is staggering and shocking. But in 1950 the number was 14.5 million for 97 million births. We also tend to look at individual victims and forget about the many victims who do not make it on to our TV screens. BIASES
224. 224 The GENERALISATION instinct: we divide the world into 'them' and 'us' and then think of the people in these groups as all being the same. BIASES
225. 225 The DESTINY instinct: best summed up by the phrase "things never change". BIASES
226. 226 The SINGLE PERSPECTIVE instinct: thinking that all problems have a single cause. BIASES
227. 227 The BLAME instinct (could also be called the 'conspiracy instinct'): it is always intellectually easier to find culprits rather than real causes. BIASES
228. The URGENCY instinct: pushing people to rush for solutions that are "simple, straigh orward and… wrong" BIASES
229. Every day ... 305.000 new people have access to clean water 295.000 new people have access to electricity 620.000 new people have access to internet Source : Hans Rosling via Dear Media “It’s still bad, but it getting better” Hans Rosling
230. 230 NEWS VS FACTS Life expectancy -100 years Today Literacy rate Democraties Poverty 51 y 32% 16 82% 71 y 85% 123 9%
231. FAMINE
232. 232 PRODUCTIVITY $20 trillion $40 trillion $60 trillion $80 trillion $100 trillion $0 1 2015 1500 1000 500 Source: World GDP – Our World In Data based on World Bank & Maddison (2017)
233. THE LONG PEACE
234. 234 POPULATION
235. WARNING
236. WARNING WARS IMPROVING FOR 8 YEARS
237. WARNING FAMINE IMPROVING FOR 3 YEARS
238. WARNING COVID-19 : WORLD FAMINE COULD DOUBLE IN 2020
239. DECLINE OF EXTREME POVERTY IS SLOWING DOWN WARNING
240. WARNING VS 12.5% 87.5% ATOM 2 ATOM
241. 241 WARNING ANTHROPOCENE
242. WARNING ANTHROPOCENE
243. 243 COLLAPSE
244. 244 FUTURE SPECTRUM
245. 245 Optimist Pessimist Entrepreneurship / Private centric Institutional centric Abundance Scarcity FUTURISTS THE FUTURES’ GAP
246. “We wanted flying cars, we got 140 characters” Peter Thiel
247. 4th INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION 2020 - 2050 100% Future : installation completed
248. TECH TSUNAMI IOT AI 3D ROBOTICS BIOTECHS NANO APIs BLOCKCHAIN AUTONOMOUS VEHICULES DRONES RENEWABLES SPACE QUANTUM COMPUTING NEXT 20-40 YEARS THE ACCELERATION OF ACCELERATION
249. ENABLERS
250. DIGITAL ENABLERS
251. DIGITAL ENABLERS INTERNET OF EVERYTHING
252. BLOCKCHAIN
253. VIRTUAL REALITY
254. AUGMENTED REALITY
255. AUGMENTED REALITY
256. AUGMENTED REALITY
257. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
258. AI
259. AI ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE NARROW GENERAL SUPER
260. AI ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
261. 10 building blocks of AI COGNITION SENSORY PERCEPTION MACHINE LEARNING DEEP LEARNING IMAGE ANALYSIS NATURAL LANGUAGE GENERATION NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING SPEECH RECOGNITION ROBOTICS KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING NARROW AI
262. DEEPMIND : AUTOML Alphago zero AI
263. NARROW SPAM, recommandations, marketing automation AI
264. AI NARROW Translation, natural language
265. Google duplex AI NARROW
266. AI NARROW Disease detection
267. PHYSICAL ENABLERS
268. 3D PRINTING
269. ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING
270. CONSTRUCTION EVERYWHERE
271. EVERYWHERE HEALTH
272. Source : Media Mice EVERYWHERE HEALTH
273. EVERYWHERE CONSTRUCTION
274. EVERYWHERE SPACE
275. RENEWABLES ENERGIES
276. RENEWABLES 8000 TIMES OUR CURRENT NEEDS
277. David Mackay Source : RENEWABLES CURRENT LIMITATIONS
278. QUANTUM TECHNOLOGIES
279. QUANTUM COMPUTING
280. QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
281. ROBOTICS Source : Wired
282. ROBOTICS Boston dynamics Boston dynamics INDUSTRIAL, MILITARY
283. Mine Kafon DRONES
284. Rwanda blood delivery DRONES
285. Read the full article View the video ROBOTICS KILLER ROBOTS
286. Source : theri .eu SPACE THE SECOND SPACE AGE
287. SPACE MOON
288. 34 missions planned in the next decade 10 manned missions 24 robotic missions 4 private missions SPACE MOON
289. SPACE MARS
290. SPACE MARS
291. Source : Peter Diamandis SPACE MINING & INDUSTRY
292. NANOTECHNOLOGIES “There is plenty of room at the bottom” Richard Feynman
293. NANOTECHNOLOGIES MED BOTS & DRUGS
294. NANOTECHNOLOGIES NANO MATERIALS
295. 250 stronger than steel Lighter than paper NANOTECHNOLOGIES GRAPHENE
296. BIOLOGICAL ENABLERS
297. CRISP 2.0 can change a signe Nuclotide 32000 out of 50000 diseases are caused by a single-point mutations BIOLOGICAL ENABLERS CRIPSR 2.0
298. BIOLOGICAL ENABLERS CURE, PREVENT, AUGMENT
299. BIO TECHNOLOGIES
300. NEW REALITY
301. SEAMLESS & UBIQUITOUS
302. ONE PHYGITAL WORLD
303. SHAZAM EVERYTHING
304. THE SIGNAL AGE OPEN & BIG DATA DATA INTEGRATED AI
305. INTERNETS
306. AND/OR INTERNETS
307. AUTOMATED WORLD
308. STORES PRODUCTS PACKAGING JOURNEYS MASS PERSONALISATION
309. ZERO MARGINAL COST
310. ZERO MARGINAL COST Source : Singularity university
311. 311 ASSISTANT THE LAST APP
312. CENTAUR CENTRIC
313. MaaC
314. MARKETING 4.0 Of advertising ? Sensor economy MaaC (MX?)
315. EDUCATION 4.0
316. HEALTHCARE 4.0
317. EARTHSHIP THE AGE OF LIMITS
318. 318 POLLUTION
319. UNEXPECTED CLIMATIC EVENTS
320. 320 THE END OF (CHEAP) OIL
321. OTHER PEAKS
322. OTHER PEAKS
323. OTHER PEAKS
324. 324 ECONOMICAL SHIFT
325. SECTORS’ BIG BANG?
326. 326 SO?
327. COMPLEX
328. HETERONOMOUS
329. POLARISED
330. BIAISED
331. BIAISED
332. COLLUDED
333. GREED WILL NEVER BE GREEN
334. INVISIBLE HANDS
335. OLD LEGACY
336. “We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.” A. Einstein 336 “On ne peut résoudre un problème avec le même mode de pensée utilisé lors de sa création.”
337. TRANSFORMATION
338. 338 “The future cannot be predicted, but futures can be invented” Dennis Gabor
339. UN SUSTAINABLE GOALS
340. RESILIENCE TO THE UNKNOWN & THE UNEXPECTED
341. PREFERABLE FUTURE
342. OBSOLETES FUTURES
343. ATTITUDE
344. GO WITH THE FLOW
345. “THE ILLITERATE OF THE 21ST CENTURY WILL NOT BE THOSE WHO CANNOT READ AND WRITE, BUT THOSE WHO CANNOT LEARN, UNLEARN, AND RELEARN. ALVIN TOFFLER
346. AGILITY & VELOCITY
347. USE NEURONS
348. ETHICS
349. HUMILITY EGO = 1 KNOWLEDGE
350. “TAKE MY IDEAS, I’LL HAVE OTHERS” COCO CHANEL CREATIVITY & CURIOSITY
351. 351 “GIVEN THE RIGHT CIRCUMSTANCES BEING DIFFERENT IS A SUPERPOWER.” Greta Thunberg
352. “JUDGE A MAN BY HIS QUESTIONS RATHER THAN HIS ANSWERS.” Voltaire ASK THE RIGHT QUESTIONS
353. 353 EMPATHY
354. SOLIDARITY
355. 355 SLOW & CRITICAL THINKING
356. REDEFINE VALUE
357. 357 DO YOU WANT TO KNOW MORE? ATTITUDE Arnold Schwarzenegger : Success Steve Jobs : 3 stories Tim Minchin : 9 lessons
358. USE THE FORCES
359. PURPOSE
360. NATURE
361. PAG E 361 HOLISTIC
362. MINIMALIST BY DESIGN
363. AUTONOMY
364. SYNERGIES & SYMBIOSIS
365. 365 DIVERSITY BIO, ETHNO, TECHNO
366. TECHNOLOGY
367. EXPONENTIAL2
368. HORIZONTAL & DISTRIBUTED
369. ALGORYTHMS
370. GRACEFUL DEGRADATION
371. DIGITAL
372. BUSINESS
373. POSITIVE ECONOMY
374. PAG E 374 TRIPLE TOP/BOTTOM LINE
375. DONUT ECONOMY
376. TRIPLE CAPITAL
377. TRIPLE CAPITAL
378. PAG E 378 SUSTANABLE OR TOXIC BUSINESS MODELS
379. OPTIMISATION
380. DEMATERIALISATION
381. DEMATERIALISATION
382. DESINNOVATION
383. DESINCUBATION
384. INCREASED FUNCTIONALITIES
385. USE EXCESS CAPACITY
386. 6 to 20 minutes SHARED ASSETS
387. MUTUALISATION
388. LEAN MANUFACTURE
389. LEAN MANUFACTURE
390. ADDITIVE MANUFACTURE
391. ADDITIVE MANUFACTURE
392. ON DEMAND PRODUCTION
393. CIRCULARITY
394. 394 “A WASTE IS A MISPLACED RESOURCE.” Philippe Samyn
395. CIRCULARITY USE EXCESS CAPACITY, MUTUALISATION
396. CIRCULARITY TAKE BACK MANAGEMENT, SLOW MANUFACTURING
397. CLOSED LOOP
398. OPEN LOOP
399. OPEN LOOP
400. OLD IS THE NEW BLACK
401. END OF LIFE PRODUCT MANAGEMENT
402. EXTENDED PRODUCER RESPONSIBILITY
403. INDUSTRIAL SYMBIOSIS
404. INDUSTRIAL SYMBIOSIS
405. ? RENEWABLES
406. RENEWABLES GREEN AND BIO CHEMISTRY
407. FOSSIL ENERGIES
408. NUCLEAR?
409. FUSION?
410. HYDROGENE
411. BLUE ECONOMY
412. BIOMIMETISM
413. IT VERT
414. PROPERTY FUNCTIONALITIES EVERYTHING AS A SERVICE
415. FUNCTIONALITY OVER OWNERSHIP RENTAL, LEASE, PAY PER USE
416. STEWARDSHIP
417. PROTECT BIODIVERSITY, PROMOTE HEALTH AND WELL BEING STEWARDSHIP
418. STEWARDSHIP TRANSPARENCE RADICALE
419. FAIR TRADE
420. FAIR TRADE
421. SLOW
422. PRODUCT LIFE EXTENSION
423. CUSTOMER EDUCATION
424. CUSTOMER EDUCATION
425. SLOW RESPONSIBLE SUPPLY CHAIN
426. SLOW SLOW TRENDS & FASHION DEMAND MANAGEMENT
427. SLOW FRUGALITY, PREMIUM OR LIMITED
428. SOBRIETY
429. SLOW CAPITAL
430. CO-CREATION
431. OPEN SOURCE
432. OPEN DATA
433. OPEN INNOVATION
434. INCUBATORS & ACCELERATORS
435. Source : Kevin Kelly PARTICIPATIVE
436. Le grand bois commun CROWD FUNDING
437. LOCAL SOCIAL HOME BASED FLEXIBLE COOPERATIVES NOT FOR PROFIT
438. CO-CREATION INCUBATORS, ACCELERATORS, BUSINESS SUPPORT, COLLABORATIVE APPROACHES, SLOW CAPITAL, CROWD SOURCING & FUNDING
439. LOCALISATION, COOPERATIVE, FLEXIBLE WORKING SOCIAL ENTREPRENEURSHIP
440. HUMAN
441. PLAY
442. PAG E 442 COLLABORATE
443. MYTHS & HEROES
444. LOVE & BENEVOLANCE
445. TRIALS & ERRORS
446. LEARN
447. STORYTELLING
448. “WITH GREAT POWER COMES GREAT RESPONSIBILITIES” Ben Parker
450. QUESTIONS?
451. PLEASE GIVE FEEDBACK Fill this 1 min form to help me improve the presentation
452. pinterest.com/Futur_Immediat/ raphael@thebeyonders.agency raphael-thys.com KEEP IN TOUCH futurimmediat.net thebeyonders.agency twitch.tv/futur_immediat be.linkedin.com/in/raphaelthys discord.gg/y2UMCfn youtube.com/futurimmediat be.linkedin.com/in/raphaelthys
453. COLLABORATORS WANTED
454. 454 SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS
455. SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS BOOKS
456. 456 SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS BOOKS
457. 457 SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS BOOKS
458. 458 SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS BOOKS
459. 459 SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS BOOKS
460. Yuval Noah Harari Pablo Servigne Peter Diamandis Gerd Leonhard Jeremy Ri in Gauthier Chapelle Ray Kurzweil Alvin To er Hans Rosling François Bégaudeau SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS PEOPLE & ORGANISATIONS
461. Rob Hopkins SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS PEOPLE & ORGANISATIONS
462. SOURCES & INSPIRATIONS h ps://www.ons.gov.uk h ps://ourworldindata.org h ps://www.weforum.org h ps://futurism.com h ps://www.andyhinesight.com/ h ps://qz.com/ h ps://www.youtube.com/thinkerview h ps://www.bbc.com/future WEBSITES
463. WHAT’S NEXT 1. Digest, watch videos, review content 2. Workshop •Question framing •Past •Present •Trends •Signals 3. Future scenarios 4. Pitch & presentation