Exploratory セミナー #60 時系列データの加工、可視化、分析手法の紹介

日付や時間の情報の入った時系列データの分析や可視化の手法、またはそのために欠かせない時系列データ特有の加工手法などに焦点を絞ったセミナーを行いました。

アジェンダ

* 時系列データの加工
* 時系列データの可視化
* 時系列データの分析 - 時系列予測 with Prophet
* 時系列データの分析 - 時系列クラスタリング

Transcript

1. EXPLORATORY
   ΦϯϥΠϯɾηϛφʔ #60
   ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ɺՄࢹԽɺ
   ෼ੳख๏ͷ঺հ
   

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2. ུྺ
   HP(Hewlett Packard)ͰeCommerceɺςϨηʔϧεɺϑΟʔϧυηʔϧε
   ͳͲଟذʹΘͨΔϏδωεͷϚωδϝϯτɺϓϥϯχϯάΛܦݧɻ
   ࣾ಺֎Ͱ஝ੵ͞Εͨ๲େͳσʔλΛ׆༻ͯ͠ϏδωεΛ੒௕ͤ͞ΔͨΊʹ
   ͸σʔλαΠΤϯεʹཪଧͪ͞Εͨҙࢥܾఆ͕ॏཁͩͱ਎Λ࣋ͬͯ஌Δɻ
   ݱࡏ͸Ϗδωε։ൃͱͯ͠ɺExploratoryͷಋೖࢧԉɺΦϯϥΠϯηϛφʔ
   ΍ษڧձͷاըɾӡӦΛ௨ͯ͠ɺص্ͷۭ࿦Ͱ͸ऴΘΒͳ͍ຊ౰ͷҙຯͰ
   ׆༻Ͱ͖ΔσʔλαΠΤϯεͷීٴʹऔΓ૊Ήɻ
   2
   εϐʔΧʔ
   ଜཬ Ү࠸
   Business Development
   EXPLORATORY
   @Ikuyamm
   

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3. Vision
   ͩΕ΋͕σʔλΛ΋ͱʹ
   ΑΓΑ͍ҙࢥܾఆ͕Ͱ͖Δ
   

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4. Mission
   σʔλαΠΤϯεͷຽओԽ
   

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5. σʔλαΠΤϯεɾϫʔΫϑϩʔ
   ఻͑Δ
   σʔλΞΫηε
   σʔλ
   ϥϯάϦϯά
   ՄࢹԽ
   ΞφϦςΟΫε
   ౷ܭ/ػցֶश
   ࣭໰
   

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6. ExploratoryɹϞμϯˍγϯϓϧ UI
   ఻͑Δ
   σʔλΞΫηε
   σʔλ
   ϥϯάϦϯά
   ՄࢹԽ
   ΞφϦςΟΫε
   ౷ܭ/ػցֶश
   ࣭໰
   

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7. EXPLORATORY
   ΦϯϥΠϯɾηϛφʔ #60
   ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻ɺՄࢹԽɺ
   ෼ੳख๏ͷ঺հ
   

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8. ΞδΣϯμ
   1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
   2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
   3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet
   4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά
   8
   

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9. ΞδΣϯμ
   1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
   2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
   3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet
   4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά
   9
   

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10. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
    1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵
    2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵
    3. ूܭͱ݁߹
    10
    

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11. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
    1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵
    2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵
    3. ूܭͱ݁߹
    11
    

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12. 12
    ച্σʔλ
    

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14. σʔλͷ֓ཁ
    • ͋ΔεʔύʔετΞͷߪങཤྺσʔλ
    • ֤ߦ͕Ұͭͷ੡඼ʹର͢ΔΦʔμʔ
    • ྻ͸ͦΕͧΕͷΦʔμʔʹؔ͢ΔҎԼͷΑ͏ͳଐੑΛද͢:
    • Կ͕ചΕͨͷ͔
    • Ͳ͜ͰചΕͨͷ͔
    • ͍ͭചΕͨͷ͔
    14
    

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15. จࣈܕ vs. ೔෇/࣌ؒ
    

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16. 16
    characterʢจࣈྻʣܕ
    

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17. California
    Texas
    New York
    Florida
    Oregon
    ࿈ଓੑͳ͠
    ॱংؔ܎͸ඞͣ͠΋͋Δͱ͸ݴ͑ͳ͍
    17
    characterʢจࣈྻʣܕ
    

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18. 18
    ೔෇σʔλΛcharacterܕͷ··νϟʔτͰՄࢹԽ͢Δͱɺσʔλͷฒ
    ͼ͕೔෇ॱʹͳΒͳ͍ɻ
    

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19. 19
    Dateʢ೔෇ʣ/ POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕ
    

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20. Dateʢ೔෇ʣ/ POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕ
    20
    ೔෇௨Γʹσʔλ͕ฒͿɻ
    

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21. ೔෇ʹؔ͢Δ༷ʑͳσʔλͷม׵͕Մೳ
    21
    

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22. characterʢจࣈྻʣܕͷ೔෇σʔλΛͲͷΑ͏ʹɺDate
    ʢ೔෇ʣܕ΍POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕʹม׵͢Δͷ͔ɻ
    22
    

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23. • Yearʢ೥ʣ
    • Monthʢ݄ʣ
    • Dayʢ೔ʣ
    • Hourʢ࣌ʣ
    • Minuteʢ෼ʣ
    • Secondʢඵʣ
    23
    ͜Ε͚ͩ஌͍ͬͯΕ͹େৎ෉
    

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24. 2017-01-01
    y m d
    2017-01-01 08:10:10
    y m d h m s
    24
    ೔෇ϑΥʔϚοτ
    

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25. 2017-01-01
    year month day
    ZNE
    ΋ͱͷσʔλ͕೥ʢyearʣɺ݄ʢmonthʣɺ೔ʢdayʣͷॱ൪Ͱ͋Ε͹
    ymdؔ਺Λ࢖ͬͯσʔλλΠϓΛcharacterܕ͔ΒDateܕ΁ม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ
    25
    

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26. ΋ͱͷจࣈྻͷฒͼॱͷΈ͕ॏཁɻͦΕͧΕͷؒʹ͋Δจࣈྻ͸ؔ܎
    ͳ͍ɻ
    ymd("2015-10-01")
    ymd("2015/10/01")
    ymd("Created on 2015 October 1st")
    26
    ymd
    

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27. ΋ͱͷσʔλ͕݄ʢmonthʣɺ೔ʢdayʣɺ೥ʢyearʣͷॱ൪Ͱ͋Ε͹
    mdyؔ਺Λ࢖ͬͯσʔλλΠϓΛcharacterܕ͔ΒDateܕ΁ม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ
    01-01-2017
    year
    month day
    NEZ
    27
    

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28. ΋ͱͷσʔλʹ࣌ؒ৘ใ͕͋Ε͹ymd_hmsؔ਺Λ࢖ͬͯσʔλλΠϓΛ
    characterʢจࣈྻʣܕ͔ΒPOSIXct ʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣܕ΁ม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ
    2017-01-01 09:12:00
    hour
    ZNE@INT
    second
    minute
    28
    

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29. Let’s Try
    

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30. characterܕͷྻDateܕʹม׵͍ͨ͠ɻ
    30
    

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31. Dateʢ೔෇ʣ/ POSIXctʢ೔෇࣌ؒʣλΠϓʹม׵͢Δɻ
    31
    

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32. Dateܕʹม׵͞Εͨɻ
    32
    

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33. αϚϦϏϡʔ͔Β͸DateܕͷαϚϦ৘ใΛ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ
    33
    

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34. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
    1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵
    2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵
    3. ूܭͱ݁߹
    34
    

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35. ΞϝϦΧͷҠಈ܏޲σʔλʢApple Mapʣ
    35
    

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36. 36
    • Ξοϓϧ͕ެ։͍ͯ͠ΔϚοϓ͔Βऔಘͨ͠ɺΞϝϦΧͷెาͷ
    Ҡಈ܏޲σʔλɻ
    • 1ߦ͕1भΛද͢ɻ
    • ೔෇ͷྻ͕͋Γɺ஋͸֤भͷ2020೥1݄13೔ͷҠಈྔΛج४ʹ͠
    ͨҠಈྔͷൺ཰Λද͢ɻ
    ΞϝϦΧͷҠಈ܏޲σʔλʢApple Mapʣ
    

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37. ϥΠϯνϟʔτΛ࢖ͬͯɺҠಈ܏޲ΛՄࢹԽ͍ͨ͠ɻ
    37
    

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38. νϟʔτͷλΠϓʹϥΠϯΛબͼɺX࣠ʹ೔෇ΛׂΓ౰͍ͯͨɻ͔͠͠ɺ
    ͜ͷσʔλ͸೔͝ͱʹྻ͕͋ΔͨΊʹ࣌ܥྻͷਪҠΛՄࢹԽͰ͖ͳ͍ɻ
    38
    

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39. ࠃ 2020/1/1 2020/1/2 2020/1/3
    ΞϝϦΧ 2,000 1,000 1,500
    ೔ຊ 4,000 2,000 2,500
    ΠΪϦε 500 1,000 1,200
    ϫΠυܕσʔλ
    σʔλ͕૿͍͑ͯ͘ͱɺԣํ޲ʢϫΠυʣʹ৳ͼΔσʔλͷܗɻ
    ച্
    39
    

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40. ϩϯάܕσʔλ
    ϫΠυܕσʔλ
    ࠃ ೔෇ ച্
    ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/1 2,000
    ೔ຊ 2020/1/1 4,000
    ΠΪϦε 2020/1/1 500
    ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/2 1,000
    ೔ຊ 2020/1/2 2,000
    ΠΪϦε 2020/1/2 1,000
    ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/3 1,500
    ೔ຊ 2020/1/3 2,500
    ΠΪϦε 2020/1/3 1,200
    ࠃ 2020/1/1 2020/1/2 2020/1/3
    ΞϝϦΧ 2,000 1,000 1,500
    ೔ຊ 4,000 2,000 2,500
    ΠΪϦε 500 1,000 1,200
    40
    ϫΠυܕͷσʔλ͸ϩϯάܕʹม׵Ͱ͖Δɻ
    Gather
    

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41. ࠃ ೔෇ ച্
    ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/1 2,000
    ೔ຊ 2020/1/1 4,000
    ΠΪϦε 2020/1/1 500
    ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/2 1,000
    ೔ຊ 2020/1/2 2,000
    ΠΪϦε 2020/1/2 1,000
    ΞϝϦΧ 2020/1/3 1,500
    ೔ຊ 2020/1/3 2,500
    ΠΪϦε 2020/1/3 1,200
    41
    ϩϯάܕͷσʔλʹม׵͢Δ͜ͱͰɺ೔෇ͷྻΛ࢖ͬͯ࣌ܥྻͷσʔλ
    ΛՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ
    

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42. Let’s Try
    

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43. 43
    ೔͝ͱʹ͋Δ೔෇ͷྻΛෳ਺બͼɺϫΠυ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷબ୒͞Ε
    ͨൣғΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    

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44. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷμΠΞϩά͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ
    44
    

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45. ։࢝ͷྻʹ࠷ॳͷ೔ɺ຤ඌͷྻʹ࠷ޙͷ೔ͷྻΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    45
    

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46. Ωʔྻʹ͸dateɺ஋ͷྻʹ͸valueΛೖྗ࣮ͯ͠ߦ͢Δɻ
    46
    

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47. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ม׵͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ͨɻ
    47
    

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48. ʮdateʯྻΛCharacterܕ͔ΒDateܕʹม׵͢Δɻ
    48
    

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49. σʔλλΠϓͷม׵͔ΒDate(೔෇)/POSIXct(೔෇࣌ؒ)λΠϓʹม׵Λ
    બͼɺYear, Month, DayΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    49
    

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50. ܭࢉΛ࡞੒ͷμΠΞϩά͕։͘ͷͰɺͦͷ··࣮ߦ͢Δɻ
    50
    

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51. Dateܕʢ೔෇ʣʹม׵Ͱ͖ͨɻ
    51
    

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52. 52
    ϩϯάܕͷσʔλʹม׵ͨ͠ΒɺνϟʔτͰՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ
    

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53. 3ͭͷՃ޻ͷϙΠϯτ
    1. ࣌ܥྻܕσʔλ΁ͷม׵
    2. ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ͷม׵
    3. ूܭͱ݁߹
    53
    

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54. 2ͭͷҟͳΔσʔλ
    ച্σʔλʢ1ߦ1஫จʣ අ༻σʔλʢ1ߦ1िؒ౰ͨΓͷඅ༻ʣ
    54
    

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55. 1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹ·ͱΊͯɺ2ͭࢦඪΛಉ࣌ʹՄࢹԽ͍ͨ͠ɻ
    55
    

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56. 1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹ2ͭͷࢦඪΛ·ͱΊΒΕΕ͹ɺച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂඅ༻
    Λಉ࣌ʹՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ
    56
    

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57. ೔෇ͷ୯Ґ͕ἧ͍ͬͯͳ͍ͷͰɺ1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹ·ͱΊΒΕͳ͍ɻ
    1ߦ1஫จ 1ߦ1िؒ
    57
    

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58. ͜ͷ··2ͭͷσʔλΛ݁߹͢Δͱɺिͷ࢝·ΓҎ֎͸ܽଛ஋ʹͳͬͨΓɺಉ͡
    ೔ͷ஫จ͕͋ͬͨͱ͖ɺશͯͷ஫จʹඅ༻͕௥Ճ͞Εͯ͠·͏ɻ
    58
    

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59. ച্ͷσʔλΛि͝ͱʹूܭ͢Ε͹ɺඅ༻ͷςʔϒϧͱ݁߹Ͱ͖Δɻ
    ച্σʔλʢ1ߦ1िؒʣ අ༻σʔλʢ1ߦ1िؒʣ
    59
    

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60. Let’s Try
    

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61. ஫จ೔ͷྻϔομϝχϡʔ͔ΒूܭʢSummarizeʣΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    61
    

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62. ि͝ͱʹूܭ͍ͨ͠ͷͰɺεέʔϧʹؙΊॲཧͷʮिʯΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    62
    

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63. ஋ʹച্Λબ୒͠ɺ࣮ߦ͢Δɻ
    63
    

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64. ि͝ͱʹച্ΛूܭͰ͖ͨɻ
    64
    

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65. ि͕݁߹ΩʔʹͳΔͷͰɺʮिʯͷྻϔομʔϝχϡʔ͔Βɺ
    ݁߹ʢྻΛ௥Ճ͢Δ/JoinʣΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    65
    

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66. ݁߹ઌͷσʔλϑϨʔϜΛબ୒͠ɺΩʔྻʹ೔෇Λબ୒͢Δɻ
    66
    

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67. 1ͭͷςʔϒϧʹि͝ͱͷച্ͱϚʔέςΟϯάඅ༻Λ·ͱΊΒΕͨɻ
    67
    

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68. νϟʔτϏϡʔʹҠಈͯ͠ɺച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂͷඅ༻ΛՄࢹԽ͢Δɻ
    68
    

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69. ച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂͷඅ༻Λಉ࣌ʹՄࢹԽ͢ΔͱɺͦΕͧΕେ͖͕͞
    ҟͳΔͨΊɺ஋͕খ͍͞ํͷτϨϯυ͕֬ೝͮ͠Β͍ɻ
    69
    

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70. Y࣠ϝχϡʔ͔ΒY2࣠ΛઃఆͰ͖Δɻ
    70
    

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71. Y2࣠ΛׂΓ౰ͯΔʹνΣοΫΛ෇͚ͯద༻͢Δɻ
    71
    

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72. Y2࣠Λઃఆͯ͠ɺ2ͭͷҟͳΔࢦඪͷτϨϯυΛൺ΂΍͘͢ͳͬͨɻ
    72
    

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73. ΞδΣϯμ
    1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
    2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
    3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet
    4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά
    73
    

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74. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
    74
    1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ
    2. ϑΟϧλ
    3. දܭࢉ
    

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75. 1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ
    2. ϑΟϧλ
    3. දܭࢉ
    75
    ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
    

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76. ࣌ܥྻσʔλ͸όʔ΍ϥΠϯνϟʔτͳͲͰՄࢹԽͰ͖Δɻ
    76
    

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77. όʔ͸ߴ͞Λൺ΂Δ͜ͱʹద͍ͯ͠Δɻ
    77
    

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78. ϥΠϯͷ৔߹ɺ্Լͷํ޲ੑΛݟΔ͜ͱʹద͍ͯ͠ΔͨΊɺτϨϯυ
    Λ͔ͭΈ΍͍͢ɻ
    78
    

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79. DateܕͷྻΛX࣠ʹબ୒͢ΔͱࣗಈͰɺʮ೥ʯ͝ͱʹूܭͨ݁͠Ռ͕Մ
    ࢹԽ͞ΕΔɻ
    79
    

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80. X࣠ͷεέʔϧ͔Βूܭ͢Δ೔෇ͷ୯ҐΛࢦఆͰ͖Δɻ
    80
    

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81. ؙΊॲཧʹʮ݄ʯΛࢦఆ͢Δͱ݄͝ͱʹूܭ͞ΕΔɻ
    81
    

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82. ؙΊॲཧʹʮिʯΛࢦఆ͢Δͱɺि͝ͱʹՄࢹԽ͞ΕΔɻ
    82
    

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83. 83
    ച্ͷτϨϯυΛཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ
    

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84. 84
    Y࣠ͷϝχϡʔ͔ΒɺτϨϯυϥΠϯΛઃఆͰ͖Δɻ
    

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85. τϨϯυϥΠϯͰ͸͍͔ͭ͘ͷλΠϓΛબ୒Ͱ͖Δɻ
    85
    

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86. ઢܗճؼΛબ୒͢Δͱɺ௚ઢతͳτϨϯυΛ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ
    86
    

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87. LOESSΛબ୒͢Δͱɺ೔෇ͷ۠ؒΛࣗಈͰ۠੾ͬͯɺͦͷ۠ؒͰͷσʔ
    λͷ͹Β͖͕ͭ࠷΋খ͘͞ͳΔઢΛҾ͘ɻ
    87
    

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88. LOESS͸ઢܗճؼΑΓ΋ࡉ͔͘τϨϯυΛଊ͑ΒΕΔͨΊɺྫ͑͹ɺ
    2021೥ʹച্͕େ͖͘૿Ճ͍ͯ͠Δ͜ͱΛ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ
    88
    

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89. ͱ͜ΖͰɺɺɺ
    89
    

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90. ച্Λ೥͝ͱʹൺֱ͍ͨ͠ɻ
    90
    

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91. ʮ݄ʯͷ৘ใΛநग़ͯ͠ɺ৭ʢάϧʔϓԽʣʹʮ೥ʯ
    Λબ୒͢Ε͹ྑ͍ɻ
    91
    

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92. X࣠ͷεέʔϧ͔Βɺநग़ɺʮ݄-ϩϯάʢ1-12݄ʣʯΛબ୒͢Δɻ
    92
    

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93. ஫จ೔͔Βʮ݄ʯͷ৘ใ͕நग़͞ΕΔɻ
    93
    

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94. ৭ʢάϧʔϓԽʣʹ஫จ೔Λબ୒͢Δͱɺ஫จ೔͕೥ͰؙΊΒΕΔͷͰɺ
    ֤೥ͷ݄͝ͱͷച্ਪҠ͕ՄࢹԽ͞ΕΔɻ
    94
    

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95. 2021೥ͱ2020೥ͷσʔλʹߜΓ͍ͨɻ
    95
    

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96. ຌྫΛΫϦοΫͯ͠ɺදࣔ͢ΔຌྫΛબ୒Ͱ͖Δɻ
    96
    

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97. σʔλ΍νϟʔτʹϑΟϧλΛ͔͚͍ͨɻ
    97
    

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98. 1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ
    2. ϑΟϧλ
    3. දܭࢉ
    98
    ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
    

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99. σʔλϥϯάϦϯά
    99
    σʔλϥϯάϦϯάͷεςοϓ΍νϟʔτ಺ͰϑΟϧλΛઃఆͰ͖Δɻ
    νϟʔτ/ΞφϦςΟΫε
    

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100. • ૬ର೔෇
     • ౳͍͠/౳͘͠ͳ͍
     • ͲΕ͔ʹ౳͍͠/ͲΕʹ΋౳͘͠ͳ͍
     • ΑΓલ/ΑΓޙ
     • Ҏલ/Ҏޙ
     • ൣғ಺/ൣғ֎
     • ܽଛ஋Ͱ͋Δ/ܽଛ஋Ͱͳ͍
     100
     ೔෇σʔλͷϑΟϧλԋࢉࢠͷछྨ
     

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101. Let’s Try
     

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102. 102
     • νϟʔτɾϑΟϧλΛબ୒͢Δɻ
     • ྻʹ೔෇ྻΛબ୒͢Δɻ
     • ԋࢉࢠʹͲΕ͔ʹ౳͍͠ʢෳ਺ͷ஋ʣ
     Λબ୒͢Δɻ
     

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103. 103
     • ೔෇λΠϓʹ೥Λબ୒͢Δɻ
     • ஋΋2020, 2021ͱλΠϓ࣮͠ߦ͢Δɻ
     

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104. 104
     2020೥ͱ2021೥ͷσʔλʹߜΓࠐΊͨɻ
     

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105. 105
     2021೥7݄ͷച্͕େ͖͘མͪࠐΜͰ͍Δɻ
     

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106. 106
     αϚϦϏϡʔͰ֬ೝ͢Δͱɺ7݄ͷσʔλ͕·ͩἧ͍ͬͯͳ͍ɻἧ͍ͬͯ
     ͳ͍ʮࠓ݄ʯͷσʔλ͸ϑΟϧλͰऔΓআ͖͍ͨɻ
     

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107. 107
     ϑΟϧλΛ௥Ճ͢Δɻ
     

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108. 108
     ϑΟϧλΛ௥Ճ͠ɺԋࢉࢠʹʮ౳͘͠ͳ͍ʯΛબ୒͢Δɻ
     

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109. 109
     ஋ͷλΠϓΛબ୒͢Δͱɺࠓ೔Λى఺ʹͨ͠஋ͷλΠϓ͕֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ
     

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110. • ࠓ೥
     • ࠓ࢛൒ظ
     • ࠓ݄
     • ࠓि
     • ࠓ೔
     • લظؒ
     • N೔લ
     • N೔िؒલ
     • Nϲ݄લ
     • N೥લ
     110
     ࠓ೔Λى఺ʹͨ͠஋ͷλΠϓ
     

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111. 111
     ·ͩɺἧ͍ͬͯͳ͍σʔλΛऔΓআ͘͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖ͨɻ
     

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112. 112
     σʔλιʔε͔Β࠶ΠϯϙʔτϘλϯΛΫϦοΫͯ͠ɺ࠷৽ͷσʔλΛ
     Πϯϙʔτͯ͠΋ɺৗʹʮࠓ݄ʯͷσʔλ͕ϑΟϧλ͞ΕΔɻ
     

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113. 1. εέʔϧʢؙΊॲཧɾநग़ʣ
     2. ϑΟϧλ
     3. දܭࢉ
     ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
     113
     

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114. 1. ྦྷੵ߹ܭ
     2. Ҡಈฏۉ
     දܭࢉ
     114
     

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115. ೥͝ͱʹྦྷܭʢྦྷੵ߹ܭ஋ʣͷച্Λൺֱ͍ͨ͠ɻ
     115
     ݄͝ͱͷച্ ݄͝ͱͷച্ͷྦྷੵ߹ܭ
     

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116. ஫จ೔ ച্ ྦྷੵ߹ܭ
     2021-01-01 100 100
     2021-02-01 200 300
     2021-03-01 140 440
     2021-04-01 120 560
     2021-05-01 110 670
     2021-06-01 110 780
     ྦྷੵ߹ܭ
     116
     

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117. Y࣠ϝχϡʔ͔ΒɺΫΠοΫදܭࢉɺྦྷੵ߹ܭ஋Λબ୒͢Δɻ
     117
     

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118. 118
     ྦྷੵ߹ܭ஋ΛՄࢹԽͰ͖ͨɻ
     

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119. 1. ྦྷੵ߹ܭ
     2. Ҡಈฏۉ
     දܭࢉ
     119
     

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120. ̍೔͋ͨΓͷച্ͷτϨϯυΛཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ
     120
     

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121. 121
     มಈ͕େ͖͍೔͝ͱͷച্ͷ͓͓·͔ͳτϨϯυΛཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ
     

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122. 122
     ҠಈฏۉΛར༻͢Δ͜ͱͰɺେ·͔ͳτϨϯυΛཧղͰ͖Δɻ
     

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123. 123
     Ұఆͷେ͖͞ͷ΢Οϯυ΢αΠζʢ۠ؒʣΛઃఆ͠ɺ
     ΢Οϯυ΢αΠζؒʹ͋ΔσʔλͷฏۉΛ֤஋Ͱܭࢉ
     ͨ͠΋ͷɻ
     ಥग़ͨ͠஋΋ฏۉΛऔΔ͜ͱͰͳΊΒ͔ʹͳΔͨΊɺ
     ͓͓·͔ͳτϨϯυΛ௫Ήͷʹద͍ͯ͠Δɻ
     Ҡಈฏۉ
     

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124. ೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ
     2021-01-01 100
     2021-01-02 120
     2021-01-03 150
     2021-01-04 200
     2021-01-05 300
     ΢Οϯυ΢αΠζΛ3ͱͨ͠৔߹
     124
     ฏۉ஋ͷҠಈܭࢉ - Ҡಈฏۉ (Moving Average)
     

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125. ೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ
     2021-01-01 100
     2021-01-02 120
     2021-01-03 150 123.33
     2021-01-04 200
     2021-01-05 300
     ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλͷฏۉΛܭࢉ͢Δɻ
     ( 100 + 120 + 150 ) / 3 = 123.33
     125
     

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126. ೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ
     2021-01-01 100
     2021-01-02 120
     2021-01-03 150 123.33
     2021-01-04 200 156.67
     2021-01-05 300
     ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλͷฏۉΛܭࢉ͢Δɻ
     ( 120 + 150 + 200 ) / 3 = 156.67
     126
     

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127. ೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ
     2021-01-01 100
     2021-01-02 120
     2021-01-03 150 123.33
     2021-01-04 200 156.67
     2021-01-05 300 216.67
     ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλͷฏۉΛܭࢉ͢Δɻ
     ( 150 + 200 + 300 ) / 3 = 216.67
     127
     

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128. ೔෇ ച্ Ҡಈฏۉ
     2021-01-01 100
     2021-01-02 120
     2021-01-03 150 123.33
     2021-01-04 200 156.67
     2021-01-05 300 216.67
     ௚ۙͷ3ͭͷσʔλ͕ແ͍৔߹͸ɺܭࢉ͕Ͱ͖ͳ͍
     ͷͰܽଛ஋ʹͳΔɻ
     128
     

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129. ച্ 100 120 150 200 300
     Ҡಈฏۉ ܽଛ஋ ܽଛ஋ 123.33 156.67 216.67
     ӈدͤ (Right Aligned)
     ച্ 100 120 150 200 300
     Ҡಈฏۉ ܽଛ஋ 123.33 156.67 216.67 ܽଛ஋
     தدͤ (Center Aligned)
     ച্ 100 120 150 200 300
     Ҡಈฏۉ 123.33 156.67 216.67 ܽଛ஋ ܽଛ஋
     ࠨدͤ (Left Aligned)
     ΢Οϯυ΢ͷ഑ஔ (Window Align)
     129
     

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130. 130
     ೔͝ͱͷച্ΛՄࢹԽ͢Δɻ
     

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131. 131
     ࠓ೥ͷσʔλʹϑΠϧλ͢Δɻ
     

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132. 132
     Y࣠ʹച্Λબ୒͢Δɻ
     

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133. 133
     Y࣠ͷ஋ʹച্Λ௥Ճ͢Δɻ
     

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134. 134
     2ͭ໨ͷY࣠ϝχϡʔ͔ΒΫΠοΫදܭࢉɺҠಈฏۉΛબ୒͢Δɻ
     

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135. 135
     1೔͋ͨΓͷച্͕૿Ճ܏޲ͳ͜ͱ͕Θ͔Δɻ
     

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136. ΞδΣϯμ
     1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
     2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
     3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet
     4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά
     136
     

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137. ະདྷͷച্Λ༧ଌͯ͠ɺϏδωεͷଧͪखͷݕ౼ʹ׆͔͍ͨ͠ɻ
     ࣮ଌ஋ ༧ଌ஋
     137
     

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138. Prophet
     • Facebookʹ͍ͨσʔλαΠΤϯςΟετ
     ʢSean J. Taylor & co.ʣ͕࡞ͬͨ࣌ܥྻ༧
     ଌΞϧΰϦζϜͰɺΦʔϓϯιʔεͱͯ͠
     ެ։͞Ε͍ͯΔɻ(https://
     facebook.github.io/prophet)
     • ౷ܭɺ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌͷઐ໳஌͕ࣝͳͯ͘΋
     ࢖͑ΔΑ͏ʹσβΠϯ͞Ε͍ͯΔɻ
     Sean J. Taylor
     @seanjtaylor
     138
     

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139. • ҎԼͷཁૉͷ࿨ͱͯ͠ද͢͜ͱͷͰ͖Δ׈Β͔ͳۂઢͷ͏ͪɺաڈ
     σʔλʹ࠷΋ϑΟοτ͢Δ΋ͷΛ୳͢ɻͦͷۂઢΛະདྷʹԆ௕͢Δ
     ͜ͱʹΑͬͯ༧ଌ͢Δɻ
     • େہతͳτϨϯυ
     • पظͷقઅੑ (೥ɺिɺ೔ͳͲ)
     • ॕ೔ޮՌ - ΫϦεϚεɺ৽೥ɺ೥࣍ΠϕϯτɺͳͲɻ
     Prophet
     139
     

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140. ΞφϦςΟΫεɾϏϡʔ͔Β࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ(Prophet)Λબ୒͢Δɻ
     140
     

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141. ೔෇ͷ৘ใͱ༧ଌΛ͍ͨ͠஋Λબ୒ͯ͠ɺ࣮ߦ͢Δɻ
     141
     

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142. কདྷͷച্ͷ݅਺Λ༧ଌͰ͖Δɻ
     142
     

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143. τϨϯυ λϒΛΫϦοΫ͢ΔͱτϨϯυϥΠϯͷೖͬͨνϟʔτ͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ
     άϦʔϯͷઢ͕τϨϯυϥΠϯ
     143
     

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144. ੺ͷόʔ͸ɺτϨϯυʹมԽ͕͋ͬͨ࣌఺ʢνΣϯδϙΠϯτʣΛද͢ɻ
     ๮ͷߴ͞͸ɺνΣϯδϙΠϯτͰͷ
     τϨϯυϥΠϯͷ܏͖ͷมԽྔɻ
     144
     

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145. ೥पظλϒΛΫϦοΫ͢Δͱ೥पظͷقઅੑͷνϟʔτ͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ
     145
     

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146. ຖ೥ɺ7݄͔Β11݄ͷؒʹച্͕མͪࠐΉ܏޲͕͋Δɻ
     146
     

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147. िपظͷقઅੑΛݟΔͨΊʹɺ࣌ؒ୯ҐΛ೔ʹมߋ࣮ͯ͠ߦ͠௚͢ɻ
     147
     

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148. िपظλϒΛΫϦοΫ͢Δͱिपظͷقઅੑͷνϟʔτ͕දࣔ͞ΕΔɻ
     148
     

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149. ຖि຤ʹ͔͚ͯച্͕མͪࠐΉ܏޲͕ΈͯͱΕΔɻ
     149
     

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150. ม਺ॏཁ౓λϒΛΫϦοΫ͢ΔͱԿ͕༧ଌʹେ͖ͳӨڹΛ༩͍͑ͯΔͷ͔͕ݟ͑Δɻ
     150
     

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151. ͱ͜ΖͰɺɺɺ
     151
     

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152. ച্ͱσδλϧ޿ࠂͷඅ༻͸૬͍ؔͯͨ͠ɻ
     152
     

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153. ച্ͱΩϟϯϖʔϯඅ༻΋૬͍ؔͯ͠ΔΑ͏ͩɻ
     153
     

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154. Ͳͷඅ༻͕ച্ʹ༩͑ΔӨڹ͕Ұ൪େ͖͍͔஌Γ͍ͨɻ
     154
     

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155. ProphetͰ͸ɺ֎෦༧ଌม਺Λར༻ͯ͠ɺ༧ଌͨ͠஋ͱ
     ͷଞͷม਺ͷ૬ؔͷڧ͞ΛൺֱͰ͖Δɻ
     155
     

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156. ֎෦༧ଌม਺ʹσδλϧ޿ࠂɺμΠϨΫτϝʔϧɺΩϟϯϖʔϯͷඅ༻
     Λ௥Ճ࣮͠ߦ͢Δɻ
     156
     

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157. ม਺ॏཁ౓λϒͰ͸ɺ೥ͷपظੑͷ΄͔֎෦༧ଌม਺ͷྻ͕༧ଌ஋ͷਫ਼౓Λ
     ্͛ΔͨΊʹͲͷม਺͕ͲΕ͚ͩߩݙ͍͔ͯͨ͠Λ֬ೝ͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖Δɻ
     157
     

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158. ޮՌλϒͰ͸ɺ೥ͷपظੑͷ΄͔֎෦༧ଌม਺ʹબ୒ͨ͠ྻͷ༧ଌ஋΁ͷޮՌΛ
     ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ
     158
     

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159. ΞδΣϯμ
     1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
     2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
     3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet
     4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά
     159
     

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160. ਓͷҠಈ܏޲ͷνϟʔτ
     160
     

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161. Ҡಈ܏޲ͷύλʔϯ͔ΒभΛΫϥελʔʹ෼͚ͯɺभ͝ͱͷಛ௃Λཧղ͍ͨ͠ɻ
     161
     

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162. ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯάʂ
     162
     

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163. ΞϝϦΧͷभ͝ͱͷҠಈσʔλʢApple Mapʣ
     163
     

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164. • 1ߦ͕1ͭͷभͷ1೔ͷҠಈྔΛද͢ɻ
     • ֤஋͸ɺ֤भͷ2020೥1݄13೔ͷҠಈྔΛج४ʹͨ͠Ҡಈྔͷൺ
     ཰Λද͢ɻ
     ΞϝϦΧͷभ͝ͱͷҠಈσʔλʢApple Mapʣ
     164
     

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165. ࣌ܥྻ෼ੳ͔Βɺ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯάΛબ୒͢Δɻ
     165
     

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166. άϧʔϓʹɺΫϥελʔʹ෼͚͍ͨର৅Λબ୒͢Δɻ
     166
     

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167. ೔෇/࣌ؒɺΫϥελʔ෼͚ʹར༻͢Δ஋Λબ୒͠ɺ࣮ߦ͢Δɻ
     167
     

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168. Ϋϥελʔͷ਺ΛσϑΥϧτͷ3͔Βมߋ͍ͨ͠ͱ͖͸ɺϓϩύςΟ͔Β
     มߋ͢Δɻ
     168
     

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169. ࠓճͷσʔλ͸ى఺Ͱ͋Δ2020೥1݄13೔͔Βͷൺ཰ͳͷͰɺඪ४Խͳ
     ͠Ͱͦͷ··Ϋϥελʔ෼͚͢Δɻ
     169
     ஋Λඪ४Խ͢ΔʹFALSEΛબ୒͢Δɻ
     

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170. ҠಈྔͷมԽͷύλʔϯ͔ΒभΛ5ͭʹΫϥελʔʹ෼͚ΒΕͨɻ
     170
     

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171. ΫϥελʔɾϝϯόʔͷλϒΛબ୒͢Δͱɺάϧʔϓʹઃఆͨ͠Χςΰ
     Ϧ͕ɺͲͷΫϥελʹଐ͍ͯ͠Δ͔ΛදܗࣜͰ֬ೝͰ͖Δɻ
     171
     

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172. Ϋϥελ1ͷभ͸2020೥3݄ʹҠಈྔ͕େ͖͘ݮΓɺ7݄ʢՆʣʹ͔͚ͯճ
     ෮͍ͯ͠Δɻ͞Βʹ2021೥ʹೖΔͱҠಈྔ͕Ұؾʹ૿Ճ͍ͯ͠Δɻ
     172
     

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173. Ϋϥελ2ͷभ͸Ҡಈྔ͕΄ͱΜͲ૿͑ͣɺগͳ͍··ɻ
     173
     

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174. Ϋϥελ3ͷभ͸2020೥ɺ2021೥ͱ΋ʹ7݄ʹ͔͚ͯɺಉ͡Α͏ͳਫ४
     ͰɺҠಈྔ͕രൃతʹ૿͍͑ͯΔɻ
     174
     

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175. Ϋϥελ4ͱ5͸ࣅͨΑ͏ͳ࣌ܥྻͷύλʔϯ͕͋ΔΑ͏ʹݟ͑Δ͕ɺΫϥελ4ͷํ
     ͕ى఺೔͔ΒͷҠಈྔͷ૿ݮ͕େ͖͘ɺΫϥελ5ͷ૿ݮ͸؇΍͔ɻ
     175
     

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176. ΫϥελϦϯάͷ݁Ռ͸σʔλϑϨʔϜͱͯ͠อଘͯ͠ɺࣗ༝ʹՄࢹԽ͢
     Δ͜ͱ΋Ͱ͖Δɻ
     176
     

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177. 177
     ྫ͑͹ʮUS Statesʯͷ஍ਤΛ࢖ͬͯɺΫϥελʔ͝ͱʹ৭෼͚ͯ͠ɺ
     ஍ཧతͳτϨϯυΛՄࢹԽͯ͠Έͨɻ
     

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178. ΞδΣϯμ
     1. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
     2. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
     3. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ with Prophet
     4. ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ - ࣌ܥྻΫϥελϦϯά
     178
     

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179. 179
     ࢀߟϦϯΫ - ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՃ޻
     • ϫΠυܕ͔Βϩϯάܕ΁ม׵͢Δํ๏ - ϦϯΫ
     • ଞͷσʔλϑϨʔϜͷྻΛ݁߹͢Δํ๏ - ϦϯΫ
     • ՄࢹԽͷͨΊͷσʔλϥϯάϦϯά - ϦϯΫ
     

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180. • νϟʔτΪϟϥϦʔ - ϦϯΫ
     • ηϛφʔ #54 - ίϩφσʔλͷՄࢹԽ - ϦϯΫ
     • ηϛφʔ #47 ExploratoryͷϑΟϧλʔɺશһू߹ʂ - ϦϯΫ
     180
     ࢀߟϦϯΫ - ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷՄࢹԽ
     

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181. 181
     ࢀߟϦϯΫ - ࣌ܥྻσʔλͷ෼ੳ
     • ηϛφʔ #25 - ProphetΛ࢖ͬͨ࣌ܥྻ༧ଌ - ϦϯΫ
     • Prophetͷ࢖͍ํ - ϦϯΫ
     

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182. ࣍ճηϛφʔ
     

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183. EXPLORATORY
     ΦϯϥΠϯɾηϛφʔ #61
     Φʔϓϯσʔλͷ׆༻
     

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184. View Slide

185. View Slide

186. Exploratory presents.
     σʔλαΠΤϯεษڧձ ˌ20
     2021೥8݄20೔ʢۚʣ12:00 PM
     

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187. 187
     ࣌ؒ λΠτϧ ൃදऀ
     12:00 ΦʔϓχϯάɾExploratory v6.7ͷ͝঺հ Exploratory, inc
     ੢ా צҰ࿠
     12:25 Ϛʔέοτɾόεέοτ෼ੳΛ׆༻ͨ͠ECαΠτͷߪങ෼ੳ גࣜձࣾΤʔτΡδΣΠ
     ࠤ౻ ࢙ব༷
     12:50 ٳܜ
     13:00 ౷ܭϞσϧΛ࢖ͬͯύʔιφϧσʔλΛޮ཰త͔ͭ҆શʹ׆༻͢Δํ๏ DSInnovationגࣜձࣾ
     ໺৲ ধ༷
     13:25 ະఆ ೔ຊ੒௕౤ࢿΞϥΠΞϯεגࣜձࣾ
     ૔෋ ༤ฏ༷
     13:50 ࣭ٙԠ౴
     ΞδΣϯμ
     

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188. View Slide

189. View Slide

190. σʔλαΠΤϯεɾϒʔτΩϟϯϓ #22
     EXPLORATORY
     2021೥8݄։࠵
     σʔλαΠΤϯεͷख๏Λϓϩάϥϛϯάͳ͠ʹجૅ͔Βମܥతʹֶͼɺ
     ͞Βʹ࣮ࡍͷۀ຿Ͱ࢖͏ͨΊͷεΩϧΛ਎ʹ͚͍͖ͭͯͨͩ·͢ɻ
     

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191. 8݄ΦϯϥΠϯ։࠵ʂ
     ೔ఔɿ8݄17೔(Ր), 18೔(ਫ), 19೔(໦)
     

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192. View Slide

193. • ϏδωεͰ࢖͑Δࢥߟྗͷҭ੒
     σʔλαΠΤϯεͷεΩϧशಘ͚ͩͰͳ͘ɺσʔλΛ࢖ͬͨΑΓΑ͍ҙࢥܾఆΛߦ͏ͨ
     Ίʹඞཁͳ౷ܭతɾ֬཰తࢥߟྗ΋शಘͰ͖Δɻ
     
     • ݱ৔Ͱ࢖͑ΔεΩϧͷशಘ
     ڭࣨͷத͚ͩͰ௨༻͢Δཧ࿦ΑΓ΋ɺ࣮ࡍͷϏδωεͷݱ৔Ͱͷ໰୊Λղܾ͢ΔͨΊʹ
     ࢖͑ΔεΩϧͷशಘʹॏ৺Λ͓͍ͨτϨʔχϯάɻ
     
     • ϓϩάϥϛϯάͳ͠
     RݴޠͷUIͰ͋ΔExploratoryΛ෼ੳπʔϧͱͯ͠࢖༻͢ΔͨΊɺࢥߟྗͱσʔλαΠΤϯ
     εͷख๏ͷशಘʹ100ˋूதͰ͖Δɻ
     ಛ௃
     

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194. σʔλϥϯάϦϯάɾτϨʔχϯά
     9݄։࠵ʂ
     EXPLORATORY
     

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195. 9݄ΦϯϥΠϯ։࠵ʂ
     ೔ఔ: 9݄9೔(໦),10೔(ۚ)
     ૣׂ: 7݄8೔(໦)·Ͱ
     

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196. View Slide

197. ࿈བྷઌ
     ϝʔϧ
     ikuya@exploratory.io
     ΢ΣϒαΠτ
     https://ja.exploratory.io
     ϒʔτΩϟϯϓɾτϨʔχϯά
     https://ja.exploratory.io/training-jp
     Twitter
     @ExploratoryJp
     

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198. EXPLORATORY
     

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