Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Correct Maps Are Useless: A guide to mental models

Andreas Mosti
October 21, 2022

Correct Maps Are Useless: A guide to mental models

A practical guide to mental models with examples.

Andreas Mosti

October 21, 2022
Tweet

More Decks by Andreas Mosti

Other Decks in Science

Transcript

  1. “Noen ganger må man rive ned gjerdet for å vite

    hvorfor det er der.” – Sigbjørn Lund Olsen
  2. Occam’s razor Among competing hypotheses, the one with the fewest

    assumptions should be selected. https://fs.blog/occams-razor/
  3. Occam’s razor When you have two competing theories that make

    exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is better. https://fs.blog/occams-razor/
  4. Hanlon’s razor “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately

    explained by stupidity.” - Robert J. Hanlon https://fs.blog/occams-razor/
  5. Hanlon’s razor “Never attribute to malice that which is plainly

    explained by stupidity incompetence or ignorance ” https://fs.blog/occams-razor/
  6. Regression Toward the mean “The rule goes that, in any

    series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones.” – Daniel Kahneman
  7. Team Apps Goals Goal/App Red Bull Salzburg 27 29 1.07

    Borussia Dortmund 89 86 0.966 Manchester City 13 20 1.53 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erling_Haaland
  8. Team Apps Goals Goal/App Red Bull Salzburg 27 29 1.07

    Borussia Dortmund 89 86 0.966 Manchester City 13 20 1.53 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erling_Haaland
  9. Team Apps Goals Goal/App Red Bull Salzburg 27 29 1.07

    Borussia Dortmund 89 86 0.966 Manchester City 13 20 1.53 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erling_Haaland Overall: 1.0465116279
  10. “All models are wrong, but some are useful” - George

    Box https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All_models_are_wrong