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Application for prediction of content’s popularity

Application for prediction of content’s popularity

Marianna Diachuk

June 21, 2018
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  1. Definition of the problem Users care how the content they

    produced is received by their audience. Predicting popularity allows users to analyse the ways of promoting their content and to come up with better and more efficient approaches of doing it. 2
  2. Objective of work Effectively predict popularity of an Instagram post

    before posting it using Machine Learning anomaly detection algorithms. 3
  3. Proposed solution The concept of predictive modeling can be applied

    with use of anomaly detection algorithms. Popularity is considered to be an anomaly. Model built with anomaly detection algorithm is trained to detect the anomaly in data. 4
  4. Initial data 5 Data parsed from Instagram is in JSON

    format and requires further preprocessing.
  5. Modeling The idea of modeling is to create a model

    of known relationships between features values in the dataset. The impact of each feature on the model score can be checked . 8
  6. Model results Model performance metrics / Algorithms Anomaly detection with

    time series Decision Trees Logistic Regression AUC sample 1 0.8071264367 0.7057471264 0.7354022988 sample 2 0.8297458638 0.7819358690 0.7438001023 11